Nacional vs Trinidense Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Nacional come into this match in second place, competing for top spot. Sporting Trinitense sit fourth, also in the hunt for first place and just three points behind. One notable statistic is the corner count: Nacional have a run of matches with a high total in that department.

    What can we expect from this match based on head-to-head statistics?

    Sportivo Trinidense and Nacional drew 1-1 in their Premier División match on 15 August 2026. The hosts had 25 shots to the visitors' six, but the score remained 1-1 after the first half.

    In 24 official meetings, Nacional have won nine times, Sportivo Trinidense five, with ten draws. The goal record is close: 28-25 in Nacional's favour.

    Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Trinidense

    38%
    9 Wins
    42%
    10 Draws
    21%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    24
    Avg. total goals
    2.21
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.17
    Average total
    1.04
    Last matches
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Nacional
    Nacional
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    10
    15
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    10
    15
    3
    2
    09.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    1
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    4
    0
    10
    16
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    0
    10
    16
    2
    1
    09.03.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    3
    3
    23
    12
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    23
    12
    3
    3
    01.11.25
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    2
    3
    9
    15
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    9
    15
    0
    3
    02.10.25
    Copa Paraguay
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    1
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    0
    7
    9
    7
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    4
    -
    -
    0
    7
    9
    7
    4
    3
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    What’s behind Nacional’s consistency

    In their previous Primeira Divisão match on 17 October 2026, Nacional won away at Guaraní 2-0. After a goalless first half, the visitors scored twice despite being outshot 14-16.

    Nacional have had a consistent season - 18 wins and 5 defeats from 37 matches, averaging 1.46 goals scored and just 0.81 conceded per game. Their last five matches brought two wins, two draws and one defeat, with the defence remaining solid: they have lost only three times in ten matches, winning six. Their attacking output has been sustained throughout the season, and a high rate of corners is reflected in long runs of totals going over 8.5 and even over 9.5 in recent rounds.

    Match Results: Nacional

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    10
    6
    11
    11
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    10
    6
    11
    11
    1
    2
    W
    12.10.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    2
    Cd Recoleta
    Cd Recoleta
    -
    -
    6
    7
    10
    12
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    7
    10
    12
    1
    3
    W
    06.10.26
    Primera Division
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    3
    2
    D
    30.09.26
    Copa Paraguay
    Independiente Nanawa
    Independiente Nanawa
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    5
    5
    12
    10
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    4
    3
    -
    -
    5
    5
    12
    10
    3
    0
    L
    25.09.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Sportivo Ameliano
    Sportivo Ameliano
    -
    -
    12
    8
    6
    6
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    12
    8
    6
    6
    1
    1
    D
    Empty
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    Sportivo Trinidense: attack delivers, but defense falters

    Sportivo Trinidense beat Libertad 1-0 at home in their last Primera División match 18 October 2026. The goal came before half-time; the hosts had 17 shots to their opponents' 13.

    Sportivo Trinidense have had an inconsistent season - ten defeats against sixteen wins point to erratic results - but their attack is producing almost one and a half goals per game, a figure comparable to the hosts'. In their last five matches the visitors have won three, drawn one and lost one, which makes their recent form look stronger than earlier in the season.

    Match Results: Sportivo Trinidense

    Last matches
    18.10.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    1
    1
    13
    15
    2
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    1
    13
    15
    2
    4
    W
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    5
    10
    10
    11
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    10
    10
    11
    2
    3
    D
    05.10.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Sportivo Luqueno
    -
    -
    5
    7
    13
    8
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    7
    13
    8
    2
    2
    W
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    3
    6
    12
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    12
    3
    2
    1
    W
    18.09.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    1
    Guarani
    Guarani
    -
    -
    7
    7
    11
    9
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    7
    11
    9
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Corners Prediction

    In 10 of their last 11 matches, Nacional have seen the total corners exceed 8.5, which supports the current trend in this market. Such corner counts are also not unusual for teams with similar scoring levels. The price on Total Corners - Over 8.5 is 1.45*.

    High-Risk Bet

    Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 7 home matches, which points to a solid defence on their own ground. However, Sportivo Trinidense have scored away from home in 11 of their last 12 matches, which works against this selection. Even so, the trend in Nacional's favour is strong enough to consider a bet on Sportivo Trinidense Team Total - Under 0.5 at odds of 2.67*.

    Safer Bet

    Nacional have scored in 12 of their last 13 matches - a consistent attacking record. Their average goals at home stands at 1.71 for the season and 2 over their last 10 home matches, which further supports the likelihood of the hosts scoring. The price on Nacional to Score is 1.28*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13.02%), 1-0 (11.08%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The 1-1 result has the highest probability of all, though the chances of the other two scorelines are fairly close. This points to a reasonably even and likely low-scoring match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The key factor here is Nacional's run of home matches featuring a high number of corners: seven consecutive games have gone over 8.5 corners, or even higher than nine - a trend that has been consistently confirmed both at home and across the tournament for Nacional in recent weeks. The editorial prediction is Total Corners - Over 8.5.

    Corners - Total Over (8,5)
    Odds-222
    Published: 22/10/2026, 11:48
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    133
    6
    123
    262 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

    Will this prediction come true?

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    Betting Tips: Nacional - Sportivo Trinidense

    Sportivo Trinidense have not lost:
    sportivo-trinidensein 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    Sportivo Trinidense will not lose
    Everygame
    -192
    Nacional have not lost:
    nacional-fcin last 14 home games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 13 of last 14 games.
    nacional-fcin 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
    Nacional will not lose
    Everygame
    -294
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    nacional-fcin 13 of last 14 Nacional games.
    nacional-fcin last 12 Nacional games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin last 10 Nacional home games (Primera Division).
    sportivo-trinidensein 14 of last 15 Sportivo Trinidense away games.
    sportivo-trinidensein 13 of last 14 Sportivo Trinidense away games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -500
    Nacional have scored:
    nacional-fcin 12 of last 13 games.
    nacional-fcin 10 of last 11 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    Sportivo Trinidense have conceded:
    sportivo-trinidensein 8 of last 9 games.
    Nacional will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 5
    +12
    +4
    15 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    1
    2
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    15
    5
    Conceded
    11
    2.2
    Average total per match
    2.6
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    0.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    3
    Both teams scored
    6
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats