Wrexham vs Cardiff City Prediction 28 October 2025
🔊 This is likely the most evenly matched pair in the 4th round of the English League Cup. Wrexham and Cardiff City will face off against each other. The hosts are competing in the Championship, while the visitors played there last season and are now vying for a return. The match is set for October 28th at the Racecourse Ground, and there's no clear favorite. Who will advance to the quarterfinals?
Head-to-Head
⚠ The teams haven't faced each other in over 20 years.
Head-to-head statistics Wrexham - Cardiff City

Wrexham Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Middlesbrough, away team - Wrexham). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Wrexham vs Middlesbrough):
- ball possession: 31% vs 69%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 17 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Wrexham continue to impress. The team currently sit 16th in the Championship, yet they've managed to avoid defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches. Their climb up the table is hindered by a string of draws, with the Dragons notching up four in the past month alone.
Interestingly, their League Cup journey also began with a draw (3-3), advancing past Hull City only after a penalty shootout (5-3). Their next game against Preston (3-2) nearly ended in a stalemate as well, but Kieffer Moore's stoppage-time goal secured the win. They only cruised through the previous round without any drama, as Nathan Broadhead's brace delivered a victory over Reading (2-0).
Match Results: Wrexham

Cardiff Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the League One tournament (home team - Bolton Wanderers, away - Cardiff ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Cardiff vs Bolton Wanderers):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 0 vs 1.
Cardiff sit in second place in League One, but their current form leaves much to be desired, as evidenced by three losses in their last five matches. All three defeats were goalless, ending with the same 0-1 scoreline.
In the League Cup, the Bluebirds had a stroke of luck with their opponents in the initial rounds, as they faced teams from League Two, the fourth tier of English football. However, the competition got significantly tougher in the previous round. In a closely contested match, Brian Barry-Murphy's side managed to secure an away victory against Burnley (2-1).
Match Results: Cardiff
Prediction on the outcome
- Cardiff won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games.
- Cardiff won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Wrexham vs Cardiff
- average total in the tournament: 4.33 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 2.67 vs 2.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 2;
- average total in the 2nd half: 2 vs 0.33;
- Wrexham: average total at home in the tournament - 2.5;
- Cardiff : average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.2) vs 1.3 (away - 1.2).
- Wrexham have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games.
Prediction on corners
Wrexham: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 5.8.
Cardiff : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 8, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 5.4.
- Wrexham have taken under 5.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on cards
Wrexham: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.67; at home - 0.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 1.2.
Cardiff : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.33, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 1.4.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 10 of last 11 Wrexham home games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Cardiff away games.
Editorial Prediction
Wrexham have recently seen a dip in their scoring form compared to their bright start to the season. It's no surprise that the Dragons' last high-scoring game was over a month ago. Cardiff, on the other hand, have only scored more than once in two of their last seven away matches, so we're not expecting fireworks from them either, and we're going with under 2.5 goals. We anticipate a narrow home victory, possibly a 1-0 win, in a game short on chances.