Independiente vs Newell's Prediction 31 July 2026
📢 Both sides have made solid starts to the Clausura and arrive at this match in decent shape. But this game could start to separate those who are genuinely in the mix for the top spots from those who aren't. Independiente will want to build on their strong start in front of their own fans, while Newell's Old Boys are looking to take something from one of the trickier away days in the division.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Newell´s Old Boys):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente and Newell´s Old Boys:
- played 32 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 12, for the away team - 10, draws - 10;
- number of goals - 42 against 33;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.22, in the 2nd half - 1.13;
- average total goals in the match - 2.34.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente - Newell's
Independiente Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Estudiantes de La Plata, away team - Independiente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Independiente vs Estudiantes de La Plata):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Independiente started the Clausura in style, winning 2-0 away at Estudiantes. The form is solid: six wins, one draw and three defeats in their last ten matches. Over that run they've averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They create chances regularly and will look to impose themselves again in matchday two.
Match Results: Independiente
Newell´s Old Boys Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Newell´s Old Boys, away - Talleres de Cordoba). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Newell´s Old Boys vs Talleres de Cordoba):
- ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 9;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Newell's Old Boys also started the Clausura well, picking up a narrow win in the opening round. Over their last ten matches, they've averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. They haven't lost in six straight, which is a clear step up from where they were at the start of the Apertura. Organized and hard to break down, Newell's can make life difficult for one of the league's top sides even away from home.
Match Results: Newell´s Old Boys
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.34;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Independiente vs Newell´s Old Boys
- average total in the tournament: 2.78 vs 2.53;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 0.94;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.61 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.89 vs 0.65;
- Independiente: average total at home in the tournament - 1.88;
- Newell´s Old Boys: average total away in the tournament - 1.13;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.25) vs 1.1 (away - 1.75).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 15 of last 16 Independiente games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 13 of last 14 Independiente games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Independiente home games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 13 Newell´s Old Boys away games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 12 Newell´s Old Boys away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Independiente: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.39; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 6.
Newell´s Old Boys: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.71, away - 2.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 2.5.
- Independiente have taken under 5.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games against Newell´s Old Boys.
- Independiente have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games against Newell´s Old Boys (Primera Division).
- Independiente have taken under 5.5 corners in last 5 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (40/274, 14.6%), 1:1 (40/274, 14.6%);
- Independiente at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Newell´s Old Boys away most often play: 1:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.76% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 9.73% (odds 8)
1:0 - 9.66% (odds 5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The gap in squad quality makes Independiente the clear favourite here. The hosts should take control of the ball early, push forward and gradually turn the screw on the opposition defence. If Newell's Old Boys can hold on until half-time, the second half will be even harder - Independiente have scored in the second half in six consecutive home matches. That's why a bet on Independiente to score in the second half makes the most sense. We're backing a 2-1 final score.
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Betting Tips: Independiente - Newell´s Old Boys
in 10 of last 11 home games (Primera Division).
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