Puerto Montt vs Deportes Concepcion Prediction 29 June 2026
🔊 In Group H, the battle for a place in the next round is heating up. With just three rounds played, there’s barely anything separating the teams, making every point increasingly valuable. Puerto Montt recently made headlines with a statement win over one of the group’s favorites, while Deportes Concepción keep picking up points thanks to their disciplined style of play. All signs point to a cautious encounter, where a single mistake could prove decisive.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these sides met was in 2024 during the Segunda campaign. Their first clash ended in a 1-1 draw, while Deportes Concepción edged the second encounter with a narrow 1-0 win. Overall, their head-to-head battles tend to be tightly contested affairs, rarely producing a high number of goals.
Head-to-head statistics Puerto Montt - Deportes Concepcion
Puerto Montt Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in the Copa Chile, with Huachipato hosting Puerto Montt. The match ended in a 2-0 victory for the visitors.
Here’s how the key stats broke down (Puerto Montt vs Huachipato):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Puerto Montt currently sit second in the group with five points from three matches. Their recent highlight was a 2-0 win over Huachipato. Although they conceded the majority of possession (42% to 58%), Puerto Montt were clinical with their chances and delivered a solid defensive performance.
Looking at the broader picture, the hosts have struggled for consistency, recording just one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five outings. Squad issues also persist. Midfielder Cristóbal Vargas remains sidelined as he recovers from a muscle injury, while defender Jonatan Espínola is doubtful for this fixture. Additionally, Puerto Montt tend to play a physical brand of football and often pick up more yellow cards than their opponents.
Match Results: Puerto Montt
Deportes Concepcion Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Chile, facing off against Deportes Concepción away from home. The game ended in a 3-2 victory.
Here’s a look at the key stats from Deportes Concepción vs Huachipato:
- Possession: 34% vs 66%;
- Corners: 1 vs 6;
- Fouls: 2 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 7.
The visitors currently sit third in the table with four points, having played fewer matches than their rivals. They opened the tournament with a 1-1 draw against Deportes Temuco, and overall, they head into this fixture on the back of two wins and a draw from their last three outings.
To be fair, Deportes Concepción’s main strength appears to be their organization. The squad approaches this clash with virtually no injury concerns, giving the coaching staff the luxury of relying on almost their entire first-choice lineup. Most likely, the visitors will once again focus on a compact defensive setup and look to capitalize on quick transitions after winning possession.
Match Results: Deportes Concepcion
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 2;
- Home wins - 0, Away wins - 1, Draws - 1.
Stats: Puerto Montt vs Deportes Concepción
- Matches in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
- Wins: 1 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 33% vs 50%;
- Losses: 1 vs 0;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 4;
- Losses: 4 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Puerto Montt have avoided defeat at home in 15 of their last 17 matches.
- Deportes Concepción have failed to win away in 7 of their last 8 outings.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 0.5, Away side - 1;
- Head-to-head average - 1.5 goals;
- Both teams scored: all-time - once; at Puerto Montt’s ground - once.
Average total stats: Puerto Montt vs Deportes Concepción
- Tournament average: 2.33 vs 3.5;
- Goals scored: 1.33 vs 2;
- First half: 0.33 vs 1;
- Second half: 1 vs 1;
- Puerto Montt at home in the tournament - 1;
- Deportes Concepción away in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 0.9 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
- Deportes Concepción have scored under 1.5 goals on the road in 11 of their last 12 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 2;
- Both teams have scored all-time - once;
- At the home ground - once.
Stats: Puerto Montt vs Deportes Concepción
- Tournament matches: 3 vs 2;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
- Puerto Montt, BTTS at home - 1 (100%);
- Deportes Concepción, BTTS away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
- Puerto Montt, BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Deportes Concepción, BTTS away - 3 (75%).
- Deportes Concepción have both scored and conceded in five consecutive games.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (5 out of 41, 12.2%);
- Puerto Montt’s most frequent home result: 1-1 (1/1, 100%);
- Deportes Concepción’s most frequent away result: 1-1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistical models and probability distribution, the algorithm suggests the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 12.73% probability (odds: 4.1)
0-1 - 11.58% probability (odds: 4.7)
1-0 - 9.92% probability (odds: 5.2)
Editorial Prediction
At first glance, it’s tough to expect an open, attacking contest here. The main argument is clear: the under 2.5 goals bet has landed in nine of Puerto Montt’s last ten home matches, as well as in six of their last seven overall fixtures. Add to that the last two head-to-head meetings, where both sides combined for no more than two goals each time. After their win over Huachipato, Puerto Montt are unlikely to throw caution to the wind, while Deportes Concepción traditionally favour a disciplined, pragmatic approach themselves. In this context, a high-scoring affair seems highly unlikely. Our pick: under 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Puerto Montt - Deportes Concepcion
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