Apollon vs Pafos Prediction 29 May 2026
🔊This Friday, the Cyprus Cup final will see Apollon and Pafos go head-to-head. Both clubs have enjoyed strong campaigns and fully deserve their place in the season’s showpiece. Apollon have built their success on aggressive, attacking football, while Pafos have made their mark with a disciplined, defense-first approach. That sets the stage for a fascinating clash between Apollon’s forward line and Pafos’ rock-solid back four. Which philosophy will prevail? Let’s break down the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Apollon Limassol):
- ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Apollon Limassol and Pafos:
- played 35 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 13, draws - 9;
- number of goals (home/away) - 53 against 43;
- average total goals in the match - 2.74.
Head-to-head statistics Apollon - Pafos

Apollon Limassol Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the 1st Division tournament (home team - Omonia Nicosia, away team - Apollon Limassol). The match concluded with a scoreline of 5:2.
Here's the game statistics (Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
Apollon have shown a penchant for high-scoring encounters - they have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven home matches. Four wins and just one defeat in their previous five games at home highlight their confidence in front of their own fans, with an impressive average of 2.8 goals scored and just one conceded per match on their own turf.
However, when you look at the last ten games, the defensive numbers are less reassuring: Apollon have allowed an average of 1.9 goals per game, suggesting their back line struggles to contain opponents even as their attack thrives. It’s also worth noting that the Cyprus Cup final will be played on neutral ground in Nicosia. In the semi-finals, Apollon advanced past APOEL over two legs, with a crucial 4-2 home victory proving decisive. Portuguese winger Tomas was the standout performer that night, not only finding the net himself but also orchestrating attacks and creating space for his teammates with intelligent movement and precise passing.
Match Results: Apollon Limassol

Pafos Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the 1st Division tournament (home team - Pafos, away - APOEL Nikosia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Pafos vs APOEL Nikosia):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 11 vs 3.
Pafos head into this crucial clash in somewhat inconsistent form-two wins, two defeats, and a draw in their last five outings. Still, they rarely lose over an extended run: just two defeats in their previous ten matches, alongside four victories and four draws. The side averages 1.7 goals scored per match, while their defence has proven more reliable than their opponents’, conceding just 1.3 goals per game over that same stretch.
In the Cyprus Cup, the visitors have also showcased disciplined football, blending defensive solidity with clinical finishing in attack. This balance gives them a real shot even against Apollon’s more dynamic frontline. In the previous round, Pafos saw off AEL Limassol twice-winning 2-1 away and 3-1 at home. Brazilian striker Jaja was the standout performer, netting both goals in the first leg and adding another in the return fixture. The question now is whether he can capitalise on the opportunities that are likely to come his way against Apollon’s unconvincing back line.
Match Results: Pafos
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Apollon Limassol (Home) vs Pafos (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 3 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average total goals scored: 2.67 vs 3;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.67 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 2 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 2.1 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.8 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.8).
- Apollon Limassol scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games.
- Pafos conceded in the 1st half in last 6 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 13, draws - 9.
- Apollon Limassol have not lost in 13 of last 14 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.51, the guests - 1.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.74;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
- average total in the tournament: 3.8 vs 3.25;
- average total goals scored: 2.8 vs 2.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.8 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
- Apollon Limassol: average total at home in the tournament - 3;
- Pafos: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2.6) vs 1.7 (away - 1.8).
- Apollon Limassol have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 home games.
Prediction on corners
Apollon Limassol: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.2; at home field - 8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; at home field - 3.2.
Pafos: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.75, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 4.8.
- Over 8.5 corners in last 6 Apollon Limassol games (Cyprus Cup).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
- Apollon Limassol have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
- Pafos have scored and conceded in last 5 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (4/28, 14.3%);
- Apollon Limassol at home most often finish matches: 2:0 , 3:2 , 4:2 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Pafos away most often play: 1:2 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.72% (odds 6.41)
2:1 - 7.67% (odds 9.25)
2:2 - 7.41% (odds 14)