San Lorenzo vs Nacional Prediction 22 March 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Sp. San Lorenzo and Nacional are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 21:30. The tournament match Primera Division will take place in the city of San Lorenzo at the Estadio Gunther Vogel stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Nacional being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 24 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nacional):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sp. San Lorenzo and Nacional:
- played 8 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 5, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 6 against 15;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.25, in the 2nd half - 1.38;
- average total goals in the match - 2.63.
Head-to-head statistics San Lorenzo - Nacional

Sp. San Lorenzo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 17 March 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Sp. San Lorenzo, away team - 2 de Mayo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Sp. San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Sp. San Lorenzo delighted their fans with 0 victories, settled for a draw in 4 matches, and lost 6 times.
⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 0.7, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 0.8, and the average number of goals conceded is 2.4.
Match Results: Sp. San Lorenzo

Nacional Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 18 March 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Libertad, away - Nacional). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Nacional vs Libertad):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Nacional gifted its fans with 3 victories, played to a draw 4 times, and finished 3 games with a defeat.
⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:
- total number of goals - 16;
- average goals scored - 1.6;
- average goals conceded - 1.1.
Match Results: Nacional
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 5, draws - 2.
- Sp. San Lorenzo have not won in last 7 games against Nacional (Primera Division).
- Sp. San Lorenzo have not won in last 11 games (Primera Division).
- Sp. San Lorenzo have not won in last 5 home games (Primera Division).
- Nacional have not lost in 7 of last 8 games.
- Nacional have not lost in 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.75, the guests - 1.88;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.63;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional
- average total in the tournament: 2.91 vs 2.64;
- average total goals scored: 0.64 vs 1.64;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.18 vs 0.64;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.45 vs 1;
- Sp. San Lorenzo: average total at home in the tournament - 0.8;
- Nacional: average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.8) vs 1.6 (away - 1.5).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Sp. San Lorenzo games against Nacional (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Sp. San Lorenzo games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Sp. San Lorenzo home games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Nacional games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Nacional games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Nacional away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.88 (5.63 - for home team and 5.25 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 10.25 (5.25 - for home team and 5 - for away team).
Sp. San Lorenzo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.27; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 6.
Nacional: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.82, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 4.
- Sp. San Lorenzo have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
- Nacional have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (14/66, 21.2%);
- Sp. San Lorenzo at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/5, 40%);
- Nacional away most often play: 0:2 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 2:2 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.8% (odds 5.45)
0:1 - 10.46% (odds 5)
0:2 - 9.61% (odds 7.1)
- Sp. San Lorenzo drew 1:1 in last 3 games (Primera Division).
Editorial Prediction
- Sp. San Lorenzo conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Nacional (Primera Division).