Penarol vs Racing Prediction

    💥 The upcoming clash between Peñarol and Racing Montevideo promises to be thrilling. Both teams are in excellent form this season, making their encounter particularly captivating. Peñarol sit at the top of the table and showcase confident performances at home, while Racing Montevideo hold the second spot and match the quality of play on the road. The game is set to be intense, with plenty of attacking actions from both sides.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams ended in a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Peñarol were the hosts):

    • possession: 36% vs 64%;
    • corners: 4 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2.

    📊Analytical review of the previous official encounters between Peñarol and Racing Montevideo:

    • 32 matches played;
    • home wins - 15, away wins - 6, draws - 11;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 66 to 40;
    • average total goals per match - 3.31.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    45%
    15 Wins
    33%
    11 Draws
    21%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    33
    Total Goals Avg
    3.3
    Both teams scored
    67%
    2.03
    Total average
    1.27
    1.48
    Yellow cards
    1.73
    Last matches
    29.03.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20.01.26
    UCL
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    3
    2
    31.08.25
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    5
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    5
    2
    09.03.25
    Primera Division
    CA Penarol Montevideo
    CA Penarol Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    0
    0
    10
    4
    0
    0
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    10
    4
    0
    0
    3
    1
    30.09.24
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    2
    Empty
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Primera tournament with Boston River as the hosts and Peñarol as the visitors. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-2.

    Here are the match statistics (Peñarol vs Boston River):

    • possession percentage: 74% vs 26%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 2.

    Peñarol continue to impress with their performances on home turf. The team have clinched victory in 16 of their last 18 home matches in the Primera, underscoring their dominance at their stadium. In their last five games, they boast four wins and a draw, further confirming their excellent form. On average, they score 1.57 goals per game while conceding just 0.71, highlighting their effective attack and solid defense.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    W
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
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    Racing Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, where the home side, Racing Montevideo, faced off against Progreso. The encounter ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Racing Montevideo vs Progreso):

    • possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 1.

    Racing Montevideo are also delivering strong performances this season, currently sitting in second place in the league. The team have won five of their last ten matches, demonstrating solid scoring ability with an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding an average of 0.9 goals. However, their recent form has shown some inconsistency, with four wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games.

    Match Results: Racing Montevideo

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    Primera Division
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    0
    10
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    10
    -
    -
    4
    3
    D
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    0
    1
    D
    22.05.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    6
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    6
    3
    D
    17.05.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    2
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    Primera Division
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    4
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    4
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 32;
    • home team wins - 15, away team wins - 6, draws - 11.

    Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo

    • matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • wins: 5 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 71% vs 57%;
    • losses: 1 vs 1;
    • draws: 1 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 7 vs 5;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 1 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Racing Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games against Penarol Montevideo.
    • Racing Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 games.
    • Racing Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 away games.
    • Racing Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 games (Primera Division).
    • Racing Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Racing Montevideo Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.43)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2.06, the guests - 1.25;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.31;
    • both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo

    • average total in the tournament: 2.29 vs 2.86;
    • average total goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.86;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.71;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 1.14;
    • Penarol Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament -  2;
    • Racing Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.83) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Racing Montevideo.
    👉Prediction: Penarol Montevideo Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.83)

    Prediction on corners

    Penarol Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.71; at home field - 6;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 4.67.

    Racing Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.43, away - 6.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; away - 6.4.
    Trends
    • Over 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Penarol Montevideo home games against Racing Montevideo.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (9.5)(odds: 1.95)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 32;
    • both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.

    Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 3 (100%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Racing Montevideo away - 2 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 5 (83%);
    • BTTS matches for Racing Montevideo away - 2 (40%).
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 2.2)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (13/57, 22.8%);
    • Penarol Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 , 3:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
    • Racing Montevideo away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:3 (1/3, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 12.94% (odds 5.5)
    1:1 - 11.68% (odds 7)
    2:0 - 9.77% (odds 6.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0)(odds: 5.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Peñarol are formidable at home in the Uruguayan Primera Division. They have triumphed in 16 of their last 18 matches on their own turf. While the visitors are also in decent form, facing the league leaders away from home will make it challenging to maintain the same performance level. Betting on a home win appears to be the most logical choice based on current data.

    Our choice
    Penarol Montevideo Win at odds of -161*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 March 2026, 06:48)

    Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Racing Montevideo

    Penarol Montevideo have won the 2nd half
    ca-penarolin 17 of last 18 home games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin 16 of last 18 home games.
    2nd Half Penarol Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    +105
    Penarol Montevideo have won
    ca-penarolin 16 of last 18 home games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo Win
    Bovada
    -147
    Penarol Montevideo have drawn
    ca-penarolracing-club-mdeo-in 5 of last 6 home games against Racing Montevideo (Primera Division).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +240
    Penarol Montevideo have not won
    ca-penarolracing-club-mdeo-in last 6 home games against Racing Montevideo (Primera Division).
    Racing Montevideo have not lost
    racing-club-mdeo-in 7 of last 8 games.
    Racing Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    +108
    View more facts

    Penarol - Racing Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1594223-1431
    2.
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    1592424-1629
    3.
    Albion
    Albion
    1584326-1628
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583423-1627
    5.
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1573523-2224

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 5
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 10
    +1
    +2
    9 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    5
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    9
    10
    Conceded
    7
    2.1
    Match goals average
    1.6
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats