PSV vs Liverpool Prediction 29 January 2025

🔊 Will Liverpool complete the first stage of the Champions League without dropping any points? The chances are excellent, considering that PSV is not in the best form. This can be judged by the Eredivisie, as the team will likely make it to the playoffs in the UCL even if they don't earn points at the "Philips" stadium. Bookmakers offer quite high odds on Liverpool's victory, so it's worth considering different options to make the prediction optimal.

📊 Head-to-Head

In the past decade, the opponents have frequently met in European competitions, but PSV has never won. In 2006, they managed to take points from Liverpool at home for the only time (0:0). The last time the teams met was in the 2008/09 Champions League group stage. The Merseysiders won at home (3:1) and then away (3:1).

⚪ PSV

PSV remains the leader of the Eredivisie, but the advantage over Ajax is minimal. The team has unexpectedly started dropping points. For example, they lost to Heerenveen (0:1) and recently fell to Zwolle (1:3). Peter Bosz's side also secured a hard-fought victory over Breda (3:2) last weekend. As for the Champions League, it's premature to talk about a decline. PSV lost to Juventus (1:3) at the tournament's start and Brest in the sixth round (0:1), both away games. Last week's trip to Belgrade was also challenging. Nothing predicted issues against Crvena Zvezda, especially after the first half, where PSV scored three unanswered goals. However, after the break, Ryan Flamingo, who scored one of the goals, left his team short-handed. The visitors barely held on to win, allowing the score difference to narrow to a minimum (3:2). In the upcoming match, Ryan Flamingo, serving a suspension, and injured players Fode Fofana, Malik Tillman, Sergiño Dest, and Adamo Nagalo will not play.

🔴 Liverpool

Liverpool continues to lead with a solid margin in the English Premier League, although they have dropped points multiple times recently. For instance, in January, Arne Slot's team couldn't defeat Manchester United (2:2) and Nottingham Forest (1:1). As a result, they lead Arsenal by six points with a game in hand. They also lead in the Champions League. They only need not lose to PSV to advance to the playoffs in first place. The Merseysiders show excellent defense, conceding only two goals in seven matches (only Inter has fewer). One of those goals against Liverpool came in the last round when they hosted Lille, whose performance was one of the tournament's surprises. The hosts scored in the first half, confidently controlled the game, and even had a numerical advantage for the last half hour. It was during this time that Liverpool conceded. However, five minutes later, they regained the lead and secured their seventh consecutive Champions League victory (2:1). Note that injured Diogo Jota and Joe Gomez will not play in the upcoming match. Curtis Jones' participation is also in doubt after he missed the match against Ipswich last weekend.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The main referee for the match is Tobias Stieler (Germany). This season he has officiated six Champions League matches, including qualifiers. During this period, he averaged 25 fouls and showed 4.67 yellow cards per game.

In the Champions League, PSV has an advantage in yellow cards - 3.6 compared to 2. On average, there are 5.8 warnings in matches involving them. Considering the referee's statistics, it's worth paying attention to total yellow cards over 2.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

This season, Liverpool has often improved after halftime in all tournaments they participate in. For example, in 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches, they scored in the second half. During this period, PSV has conceded in five consecutive games. Therefore, consider betting on Liverpool to score in the 2nd half.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Both teams approach the match with upward trends on corners. PSV has had no fewer than five corners in 15 consecutive matches. The same applies to 8 of Liverpool's last 9 away games. Therefore, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified.

📝 Match Prediction

Liverpool is the favorite for the upcoming match as they haven't dropped any points in the Champions League. It's expected that Arne Slot will field a reserve team in Eindhoven. Even so, the class advantage remains. Moreover, PSV hasn't been performing well in recent matches. Therefore, note a potential exact score of 1:2.

Teams representing the Netherlands in European competitions don't know how to play defensively. Of course, there are successful examples, but this isn't one of them. PSV has been conceding too many recently. In five consecutive matches, they've allowed at least two goals. The Merseysiders can handle such a task quite well. Therefore, as a key bet, we suggest Liverpool total goals over 1.5.