Sporting vs Rio Ave Prediction

    🔊 In this Round 16 clash, Sporting will host Rio Ave at the José Alvalade Stadium. Both teams aim to deliver their best football: the hosts are confidently sitting in second place in the standings, while the visitors are in tenth. Sporting are in excellent form in the league, boasting an impressive scoring rate of 2.8 goals per game. Meanwhile, Rio Ave have shown decent resilience on the road, but their defense remains a concern. The intrigue lies in whether Rio Ave can withstand the challenge in Lisbon.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams took place on 22 April 2025 and ended in a 1-2 result. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Rio Ave as the home side):

    • possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
    • corners: 4 vs 3;
    • fouls: 18 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 10.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Sporting and Rio Ave:

    • 42 matches played;
    • home wins - 28, away wins - 6, draws - 8;
    • goals scored - 78 against 35;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.4, in the second half - 1.29;
    • average total goals per match - 2.69.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    68%
    30 Wins
    18%
    8 Draws
    14%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    44
    Total Goals Avg
    2.77
    Both teams scored
    45%
    1.95
    Total average
    0.82
    1.86
    Yellow cards
    1.91
    Last matches
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    28.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    3.35
    0.16
    8
    1
    13
    6
    1
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    3.35
    0.16
    8
    1
    13
    6
    1
    1
    22.04.25
    Taca de Portugal
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    1.8
    4
    3
    18
    13
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.8
    4
    3
    18
    13
    3
    1
    03.04.25
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2.5
    0.31
    10
    4
    13
    6
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2.5
    0.31
    10
    4
    13
    6
    1
    1
    18.01.25
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.05
    3.95
    0
    8
    16
    11
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.05
    3.95
    0
    8
    16
    11
    1
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on during the 15th round of the Primeira Liga, with Vitória Guimarães hosting Sporting. The match concluded with a 1-4 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Sporting vs Vitória Guimarães):

    • possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corners: 5 vs 2;
    • fouls: 14 vs 21;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 5.

    🟢 Sporting continue to impress with their performances in the league, currently sitting in second place. Rui Borges' side are unbeaten in 11 matches, boasting 9 wins and 2 draws. In their last outing, the "green-and-whites" hammered Vitoria Guimaraes away from home (4-1). The team averages 2.8 goals per match, highlighting their potent attack. Sporting have not lost to Rio Ave in 12 consecutive meetings since 2019, and given Lisbon's current form, it’s hard to see that streak ending this weekend. Currently, they trail leaders Porto by five points and are three points ahead of third-placed Benfica, making it crucial for them to avoid dropping points in the upcoming game.

    Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    W
    04.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    W
    29.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Tondela
    Tondela
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Rio Ave Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on during the 15th round of the Primeira Liga (home team - Gil Vicente, away team - Rio Ave). The game ended in a 2-2 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente):

    • possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 10;
    • fouls: 16 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 5.

    ⚪ Rio Ave are struggling this season, sitting tenth in the standings with a four-point cushion above the relegation zone. Over their last five matches, they have secured just one win, alongside two draws and two losses. Sotirios Silaidopoulos's side wrapped up matchday 15 with a draw against Gil Vicente (2-2). Despite their challenges, Rio Ave deliver intriguing performances on the road, managing to score in nearly all of their away fixtures (9 out of 10), although they often falter defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. A positive result in Lisbon could elevate them to eighth place, while a setback might edge them closer to the relegation zone.

    Match Results: Rio Ave

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2.5
    0.43
    9
    0
    17
    14
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    2.5
    0.43
    9
    0
    17
    14
    1
    0
    D
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    L
    03.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    2.03
    0.75
    9
    7
    9
    12
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.03
    0.75
    9
    7
    9
    12
    1
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    1.46
    0.45
    3
    5
    7
    13
    4
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.46
    0.45
    3
    5
    7
    13
    4
    4
    L
    17.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    AVS Futebol Sad
    AVS Futebol Sad
    2.07
    1.36
    4
    9
    9
    11
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2.07
    1.36
    4
    9
    9
    11
    1
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 42;
    • First-half wins at home - 14; away team wins - 1; draws - 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.4;
    • Today's home team averages 1.05 goals, visitors - 0.36.

    First-half Statistics: Sporting (home) vs Rio Ave (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 8;
    • Wins: 4 (57.14%) vs 2 (25%);
    • Losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (25%);
    • Draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 4 (50%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.43 vs 0.75;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.38.

    Last 10 Matches (overall):

    • Wins: 5 vs 3;
    • Losses: 0 vs 3;
    • Draws: 5 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 2 (scored - 1.6, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Sporting have won the first half at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these teams (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Sporting Lisbon Win(odds: 1.47)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 42;
    • Home wins - 28, Away wins - 6, Draws - 8.

    Statistics: Sporting vs Rio Ave

    • Matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • Wins: 12 vs 3;
    • Win percentage: 80% vs 20%;
    • Losses: 1 vs 4;
    • Draws: 2 vs 8.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 7 vs 3;
    • Losses: 1 vs 3;
    • Draws: 2 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Sporting have won with a -1.5 handicap at home in 6 consecutive matches.
    👉Prediction: Sporting Lisbon Handicap (-1.5)(odds: 1.43)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Today's home side average goals - 1.86, away side - 0.83;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.69;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 19 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.

    Statistics: Sporting vs Rio Ave

    • Average total in the tournament: 3.33 vs 2.87;
    • Average goals scored: 2.8 vs 1.27;
    • Average total in the first half: 1.2 vs 0.6;
    • Average total in the second half: 1.6 vs 0.67;
    • Sporting: average home total in the tournament - 3.29;
    • Rio Ave: average away total in the tournament - 1.5;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 2.8 (home - 4) vs 1.3 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Sporting have scored under 3.5 goals in 23 of the last 24 head-to-head encounters.
    • Sporting have scored under 3.5 goals in 19 consecutive head-to-head matches (Primeira Liga).
    • Sporting have scored under 3.5 goals at home in 9 consecutive head-to-head matches (Primeira Liga).
    • Sporting have scored under 3.5 goals at home in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches.
    👉Prediction: Sporting Lisbon Total goals Under (3.5)(odds: 1.43)

    Corner Prediction

    Sporting: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 7; at home - 5.86;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.6; at home - 7.

    Rio Ave: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 3.67, away - 4.13;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; away - 5.67.
    Trends
    • Sporting have delivered fewer than 7.5 corners at home in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches (Primeira Liga).
    • Sporting have delivered fewer than 7.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Sporting Lisbon Total Under (7.5)(odds: 1.93)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 42;
    • Both teams scored overall - 19 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 7 times.

    Statistics: Sporting vs Rio Ave

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • Matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): Sporting - 7, Rio Ave - 10;
    • Sporting BTTS at home - 2 (29%);
    • Rio Ave BTTS away - 7 (88%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • BTTS matches: Sporting - 6, Rio Ave - 6;
    • Sporting BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
    • Rio Ave BTTS away - 5 (83%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 2.13)

    Exact Score Prediction

    Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):

    • The most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (16/135, 11.9%);
    • Sporting's most frequent home result: 6-0 (2/7, 28.6%);
    • Rio Ave's most frequent away results: 1-1, 1-2 (2/8, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:

    2-0 - 12.45% (odds 6.4)
    3-0 - 11.15% (odds 6.5)
    1-0 - 9.67% (odds 8.8)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:0)(odds: 6.4)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Sporting appear to be the favorites in this clash due to their consistent form and strong home performances. However, Rio Ave's ability to find the back of the net on the road should not be underestimated, as evidenced by their away goal-scoring stats. Considering the hosts' potent attack alongside the visitors' defensive instability, a Sporting win with a -1.5 handicap seems to be the most reasonable prediction. We anticipate that Lisbon's unbeaten streak against Rio Ave will extend to 13 matches.

    Our choice
    Sporting Lisbon Handicap (-1.5) at odds of -233*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 December 2025, 13:57)

    Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave

    Sporting Lisbon have won the 1st half
    sporting-cprio-ave-fc-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
    1st Half Sporting Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    -263
    Sporting Lisbon have won the 2nd half
    sporting-cpin last 7 home games.
    2nd Half Sporting Lisbon Win
    Everygame
    -357
    Sporting Lisbon have won
    sporting-cprio-ave-fc-1in 9 of last 10 games against Rio Ave.
    sporting-cprio-ave-fc-1in 6 of last 7 games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
    sporting-cpin last 7 home games.
    sporting-cpin 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon Win
    Everygame
    -1250
    Rio Ave have not lost
    rio-ave-fc-1in 6 of last 7 away games.
    Rio Ave will not lose
    Everygame
    +670
    View more facts

    Sporting - Rio Ave Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Porto
    Porto
    34284266-1888
    2.
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    34257289-2482
    3.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    342311074-2580
    11.
    Alverca
    Alverca
    341091535-5239
    12.
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    348121435-5736
    13.
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    34991632-4136

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 9
    +9
    -1
    12 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    3
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    12
    9
    Conceded
    13
    2.7
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats