Milan vs Verona Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 December 2025
📢 What will the scenario be for the match between AC Milan and Verona in the 17th round of Serie A at San Siro? The teams are on opposite ends of the table: the Rossoneri are among the leaders, while the Mastiffs are fighting for survival. At first glance, the favorite seems obvious, but it's not that straightforward. Verona have delivered two convincing performances in a row and have noticeably improved their game. In this form, the visitors clearly aren't planning to give up points without a fight.
Head-to-Head
📊 Recent head-to-head results between AC Milan and Verona heavily favor the Rossoneri. The teams have clashed 29 times, and the advantage for the hosts is significant: Milan have claimed 18 victories, there have been 7 draws, and Verona have managed only 4 wins. Moreover, the current streak is entirely one-sided-Milan have emerged victorious in the last nine encounters. Last season followed a similar pragmatic pattern, with the Rossoneri securing 1-0 wins on both occasions, denying their opponents even a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Milan - Verona
Milan Team Overview
🔴 AC Milan approach the upcoming clash in less than ideal spirits. On December 14, they were unable to secure a victory at home against Sassuolo (2-2), a newcomer to Serie A, which cost them the top spot in the standings and dropped them to second place. This was largely attributed to the "Rossoneri" already having their minds on the Italian Super Cup, leading to a lack of focus during crucial moments.
⚫ However, the Italian Super Cup itself did not turn out well for Milan either. In the semifinals, they fell to Napoli with a 0-2 scoreline, and it's fair to say the result was justified. Massimiliano Allegri's side failed to outplay their opponents in any aspect, and after conceding the second goal, Napoli expertly controlled the game, leaving Milan with no chance for a comeback.
Match Results: Milan
Hellas Verona Team Overview
🔵 Unlike AC Milan, Verona have shown much more confidence in their last two matches, securing wins on both occasions. The Mastiffs first handled Atalanta on home turf with relative ease, winning 3-1 against a side that has been consistently picking up points and dominating opponents. Then, on the road, Verona clinched three crucial points against Fiorentina (2-1), a direct rival in the battle for survival. Despite still being in the relegation zone, this successful run has reduced the gap to the safety of 17th place to just two points, with Verona having a game in hand.
🟡 Notably, before these two victories, Verona had gone nearly four months without a win. Their last triumph was recorded back in mid-August during the Coppa Italia's round of 64, where the Mastiffs edged past Audace Cerignola, but only after a penalty shootout (1-1, pens. 4-2).
Match Results: Hellas Verona
Latest news
Milan
📣 Following their 2-0 defeat to Napoli in the Super Cup, Rossoneri coach Massimiliano Allegri acknowledged the opponent's superiority and urged his team to use the setback as a catalyst for growth: "Napoli deserved the victory - they defended much better than us. We concede too easily and must work on that... The opponent was very strong, but we could have performed better in the situations where we conceded. This defeat should be an opportunity to rise and move forward."
🚫 Milan continue to face some minor squad issues. Defender Matteo Gabbia is sidelined with a knee injury and is not expected to return before early January 2026. Forward Santiago Gimenez is also unavailable due to a serious ankle injury, with his recovery anticipated around February.
Hellas Verona
📣 Following a 2-1 victory over Fiorentina, Verona's coach Paolo Zanetti highlighted the team's belief and resilience that enabled them to defeat two formidable opponents back-to-back: "We've faced many tough matches and haven't always been as reliable as we should. Yet, we believed in ourselves, and at certain moments, that belief helps us push forward. Securing six points against Atalanta and Fiorentina is a significant achievement."
🚫 Verona will head into the match with a depleted squad. Firstly, Paolo Zanetti is suspended and will be unable to manage the team from the sidelines following his dismissal in the last round. Additionally, due to an accumulation of yellow cards, Rafik Belghali (who is also on international duty) and Martin Frese will miss the game. In the treatment room, Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro is recovering from a muscle injury, while Tomas Suslov continues his rehabilitation from a cruciate ligament tear.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Even though AC Milan are among the frontrunners in Serie A, they haven't been prolific scorers. Over 15 league matches, the Rossoneri have netted 24 goals, which is a modest tally for a club of their stature. Moreover, they rarely score more than two goals: Milan's total under 2.5 goals has occurred in 12 of their last 13 matches across all competitions. This will be our bet.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Head-to-head clashes with Verona typically see Milan dictating the tempo, especially when playing at San Siro. The Rossoneri spend a lot of time on the attack, consistently pressuring the opponent's box with shots, and as a result, they regularly earn corners. The stats back this up: Milan have taken more than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 home encounters against Verona. The upcoming match is unlikely to deviate from this script - the hosts are expected to control the game again, making this bet a solid choice.
Editorial Prediction
According to bookmakers, AC Milan are expected to secure three points with ease in the upcoming clash. This prediction is understandable: the Rossoneri are in the title race, have won their last nine head-to-heads, and boast a significantly stronger squad than their opponents. However, our editorial team doesn't foresee an easy outing for the hosts. This season, Milan have consistently struggled against weaker sides, notably dropping points in all three home games against league newcomers-losing to Cremonese (1-2) and drawing with Pisa (2-2) and Sassuolo (2-2). Moreover, Verona are currently in high spirits, with two consecutive wins boosting their confidence considerably. Therefore, we recommend betting on Verona to win with a +1.5 handicap. Nonetheless, our team still anticipates a final score of 2-1 in favor of the hosts.
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Betting Tips: Milan - Hellas Verona
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