Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 October 2026
📢 Atalanta and Venezia are among the teams who were particularly glad of the three-week break. Atalanta have given their supporters little to cheer about so far: they sit in the bottom half of the table with just six points, though their performances could arguably have yielded even less. Venezia have had an even harder start - they are the only side in Serie A to have lost all five of their league matches. For both teams, the upcoming match at the New Balance Arena carries enormous weight: points are desperately needed, and another defeat would only increase the pressure.
🔁 This prediction is updated on match day. Keep an eye on the Latest News section.
Atalanta maintain their advantage in the head-to-head against Venezia
📊 In recent years, Atalanta and Venezia have not met all that often - just six times in total. Atalanta have the clear edge, having won four of those meetings. One match ended in a draw, and Venezia have come out on top just once. The two sides last met in the 2024/25 season: Atalanta won comfortably away from home 2-0, but then surprisingly dropped points on their own ground, failing to break down Venezia's defence in a 0-0 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Atalanta - Venezia
Atalanta are far from their usual standards
🔵 Atalanta are one of the teams for whom the international break came at a good time. They have been far from impressive at the start of the season, with neither the quality of play nor the consistency of results to show. After five rounds they have just six points and find themselves 11th in Serie A. For a club that has grown accustomed to challenging at the top in recent years, that is a real disappointment. If things do not improve, qualifying for the Champions League again will be very difficult.
⚫ What made the break all the more welcome was that Atalanta went into it on the back of three consecutive defeats. The most recent came away at Juventus, where they lost 0-2 - a result that accurately reflected what happened on the pitch. Juventus were clearly the better side, while Atalanta struggled badly in attack, creating almost nothing in front of goal and leaving with nothing to show for it. At least the team had plenty of time to work out what has gone wrong at the start of the season.
Match Results: Atalanta
Defensive woes are dragging Venezia down
🟢 Venice have had absolutely nothing to smile about so far. They have lost all five of their opening Serie A matches, are yet to pick up a single point, and sit bottom of the table as a result. Their biggest problem is a defence that has been badly exposed - they have conceded 13 goals in five rounds, more than any other side in the division.
🟠 Before the international break, Venice lost 0-2 at home to Lazio. That said, their performance on the day deserved a far better return than the final scoreline suggested. The Lagunari created chances worth 1.90 xG and even earned a penalty in the first half. But they failed to convert, and then conceded twice early in the second half.
Match Results: Venezia
Latest news
Atalanta
❌ Atalanta head into matchday six with five injury concerns. Thomás Pompeu, Odilon Kossounou, Giacomo Raspadori and Kamaldin Sulemana are all continuing their recoveries and will miss the next match. Isak Hien's participation remains in doubt.
Venezia
❌ Venezia have an even longer injury list. Bartol Franjić, Marin Sverko, Gianluca Busio and Andrea Adorante are all continuing their recovery from injury. Joël Schingtienne and Matteo Dagasso are dealing with muscular problems, while Ridgeciano Haps has a physical issue. All three remain doubts.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Since Gian Piero Gasperini's departure, Atalanta have stopped being the freewheeling side that regularly produced high-scoring affairs. They now play in a far more restrained manner, and in their last nine matches no game has seen more than three goals. Venezia, following five consecutive defeats, will almost certainly look to be as cautious and compact as possible. Our bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.57*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
For those who like betting on set-piece markets, we can suggest Total Corners - Under 9.5 at odds of 1.59*. This market has been landing consistently for both sides: Atalanta have seen it come in in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches, while Venezia have seen it land in five consecutive matches. We are not expecting any departure from that pattern.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Venezia's matches rarely feature a large number of bookings. In 6 of their last 7 matches, referees showed no more than four yellow cards. The most recent head-to-head meeting with Atalanta is telling: just three bookings in total, and all of them came after the 85th minute. With that trend in mind, we are backing Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers make Atalanta clear favourites for this match, and we agree with that assessment. Yes, the Bergamo side are far from their best right now and results have been disappointing, but the gap in class between the two teams is still too large to ignore. Venezia have lost all five of their league matches and have the worst defence in Serie A. If the "queen of the provincials" cannot get the better of the division's bottom side even at home, then any talk of a Champions League place can be shelved right now. Our main bet is Atalanta to win. We expect the scoreline to read 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Atalanta - Venezia
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