Estoril Praia vs Alverca Prediction 27 December 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Estoril and Alverca promises to be an exciting battle in the 16th round of the Primeira Liga. Both teams are eager to climb up the standings, adding an element of intrigue to the matchup. Estoril currently sit in ninth place, while Alverca are in eleventh, yet both teams have amassed 17 points. The home side have shown relatively stable performances with a focus on attack, whereas the visitors tend to adopt a more defensive approach. It will be interesting to see if Alverca can capitalize on their counter-attacking opportunities or if the Primeira newcomers will extend their losing streak to three matches.
Head-to-Head
⚠ These teams have never faced each other before.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Estoril Praia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 15th round of the Primeira Liga, with Estoril hosting Braga. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Estoril vs Braga):
- possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corners: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
🟡 Estoril managed to break their winless streak in the last round by defeating Braga at home (1-0). Since the start of the season, the "Canaries" have shown some inconsistency, alternating between wins and losses, making their results unpredictable. They boast strong attacking capabilities, averaging 1.53 goals per game, but they concede quite a few as well, with an average of 1.67 goals against per match. Over the summer, Estoril faced Alverca in a friendly and narrowly lost (1-2), which serves as extra motivation for them to secure a victory this time around.
Match Results: Estoril Praia
Alverca Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on during the 15th round of the Primeira Liga, with Alverca hosting Porto. The match ended with a 0-3 victory for Porto.
Here are the match statistics (Alverca vs Porto):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
🔴 Alverca head into the match on the back of two consecutive defeats: first, they lost away to Arouca (0-1), and then suffered a heavy home defeat to Porto (0-3). The "Red and Blues" average one goal per match, but their defense is a concern as they concede around 1.9 goals per game. However, as newcomers to the Primeira Liga, they have the potential to showcase their skills on counterattacks, thanks to their organized play in midfield. It's quite possible they could outplay their opponent on their turf as they did in the summer, but Alverca struggle on the road, with just one win from seven attempts.
Match Results: Alverca
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Estoril (home) vs Alverca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 7;
- wins: 3 (37.5%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- losses: 2 (25%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 6 (85.71%);
- average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.29;
- average goals conceded: 0.63 vs 0.57.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 0;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 5;
- average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.8).
- Alverca have drawn the first half in their last 5 away matches (Primeira Liga).
Outcome Prediction
Statistics: Estoril vs Alverca
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- win percentage: 27% vs 33%;
- losses: 6 vs 8;
- draws: 5 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Alverca cover a +1.5 handicap away in 23 of their last 25 matches.
- Alverca cover a +1.5 handicap away in 6 of their last 7 matches (Primeira Liga).
Total Goals Prediction
Statistics: Estoril vs Alverca
- average total in the tournament: 3.2 vs 2.53;
- average goals scored: 1.53 vs 1;
- average first-half total: 0.8 vs 0.47;
- average second-half total: 0.73 vs 0.53;
- Estoril: average home total in the tournament - 1.63;
- Alverca: average away total in the tournament - 1.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2) vs 1 (away - 1.33).
- Estoril concede at home in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Estoril concede at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Primeira Liga).
- Alverca score away in 15 of their last 17 matches.
Corners Prediction
Estoril: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.73; at home - 4.88;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6.6; at home - 7.6.
Alverca: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 3.13, away - 2.71;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.4; away - 4.67.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Statistics: Estoril vs Alverca
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- matches with both teams scoring (BTTS) this season: 8 vs 6;
- Estoril's BTTS at home - 5 (63%);
- Alverca's BTTS away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- Estoril's BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Alverca's BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent scorelines (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (16/135, 11.9%);
- Estoril's most frequent home result: 0-1, 1-1 (2/8, 25%);
- Alverca's most frequent away result: 2-1 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-1 - 12.55% (odds 5.4)
1-0 - 9.08% (odds 6.4)
2-1 - 8.68% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This clash promises to be action-packed due to the playing styles of both teams: Estoril's aggressive attack will face off against Alverca's defensive maneuvers. Considering their previous encounters and current form, the bet for both teams to score (yes) seems the most reasonable. Both sides have issues with defensive reliability, increasing the likelihood of a goal exchange.
Betting Tips: Estoril Praia - Alverca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
