Everton vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 29 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Everton and Newcastle are set to meet in a knockout cup tie where the slightest mistake means an immediate exit from the tournament. The Merseysiders will look to use the advantage of their home crowd to stop a forceful Newcastle side. The League Cup at this stage traditionally gives managers room to experiment with their squads. The tactical contest between Everton's organised defensive structure and Matthias Jaissle's direct football promises to keep things tense until the final whistle, with cup pragmatism set to come to the fore.

    🔁 This prediction will be updated as important news emerges. Check back closer to kick-off.

    Cautious football

    📊 Meetings between these two sides have always been about heightened caution and physical intensity. The teams know each other's strengths well, so in knockout matches they tend to minimise the risks at their own end.

    Head-to-head statistics Everton - Newcastle

    46%
    18 Wins
    21%
    8 Draws
    33%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Avg. total goals
    2.82
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.54
    Average total
    1.28
    1.95
    Yellow cards
    1.85
    Last matches
    28.02.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Everton
    Everton
    1.04
    2.13
    7
    2
    15
    7
    3
    3
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1.04
    2.13
    7
    2
    15
    7
    3
    3
    29.11.25
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.28
    1.36
    8
    7
    4
    6
    0
    0
    1
    4
    0
    3
    1
    1
    1.28
    1.36
    8
    7
    4
    6
    0
    0
    25.05.25
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Everton
    Everton
    1.28
    0.97
    12
    3
    12
    9
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.28
    0.97
    12
    3
    12
    9
    1
    4
    05.10.24
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    -
    -
    0
    10
    11
    8
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    10
    11
    8
    1
    2
    02.04.24
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Everton
    Everton
    -
    -
    7
    3
    8
    14
    0
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    8
    14
    0
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Everton: a pragmatic approach to the game

    Everton come into this cup tie with a strong desire to prove themselves after a difficult run of Premier League matches. Under David Moyes, they are known for setting up in a low defensive block and imposing a physical battle all over the pitch. The home crowd will push them forward, but the coaching staff are unlikely to abandon their philosophy in pursuit of entertainment.

    The main challenge for the hosts, with rotation inevitable, will be maintaining focus on the result. Everton's motivated fringe players will fight for every ball, looking to slow the tempo as much as possible and deny their opponents the space for quick breaks - their main weapon. Everton failed to score in their last two Premier League matches, and they may well struggle to convert chances today too.

    Match Results: Everton

    Last matches
    24.10.26
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Everton
    Everton
    2.3
    0.57
    12
    3
    11
    13
    1
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.3
    0.57
    12
    3
    11
    13
    1
    3
    L
    17.10.26
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.51
    1.38
    5
    7
    8
    15
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.51
    1.38
    5
    7
    8
    15
    3
    4
    L
    11.10.26
    EPL
    Hull City
    Hull City
    Everton
    Everton
    1.16
    1.79
    7
    6
    15
    4
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.16
    1.79
    7
    6
    15
    4
    2
    0
    D
    19.09.26
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    1
    1.57
    1.27
    4
    4
    5
    9
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.57
    1.27
    4
    4
    5
    9
    2
    2
    W
    16.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Everton
    Everton
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    1.67
    0.34
    6
    2
    13
    13
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.34
    6
    2
    13
    13
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Newcastle: Searching for Balance on the Road

    The Magpies view the League Cup as a priority target this season, seeing it as the quickest route to a trophy they won not so long ago. Away matches against defensively organised sides, however, have always been a significant challenge for Newcastle. Mathias Jäissle has considerable squad depth, which allows him to freshen up the attacking line without a significant drop in quality, but breaking down Everton's defensive structure is no straightforward task.

    Newcastle will look to take control of the ball and use a high press to punish the hosts for any sloppiness in transition. That said, the cup context and the away setting will require the Magpies to be more cautious than usual, to avoid being caught on the counter in the early stages. Away form has been difficult of late - just one win from their last three away matches.

    Match Results: Newcastle United

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    EPL
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.83
    1.11
    7
    4
    12
    10
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.83
    1.11
    7
    4
    12
    10
    3
    3
    W
    17.10.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.3
    1.73
    4
    5
    14
    11
    6
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.3
    1.73
    4
    5
    14
    11
    6
    2
    L
    12.10.26
    EPL
    Coventry
    Coventry
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.7
    2.26
    2
    6
    3
    10
    1
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1
    1.7
    2.26
    2
    6
    3
    10
    1
    1
    L
    19.09.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Hull City
    Hull City
    1.36
    1.64
    4
    7
    4
    10
    1
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.36
    1.64
    4
    7
    4
    10
    1
    4
    W
    14.09.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.96
    0.77
    5
    5
    8
    13
    1
    2
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    1.96
    0.77
    5
    5
    8
    13
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Everton

    ❓ Jarrad Branthwaite missed the match against Arsenal as he was still undergoing concussion assessment, and whether he will be available is unknown. Jack Grealish was absent from the last match after feeling unwell before the game. Vitaliy Mykolenko went off during the Arsenal fixture with an apparent injury, and nothing is yet known about his condition.

    Newcastle United

    ❌ Valentino Livramento will not feature in this match, with his return still several weeks away.

    ❓ Matías Fernández-Pardo's involvement is in doubt after he was limited in team training due to a health issue. Whether Lewis Miley will take part in this match was unknown at the time of publication.

    Predicted Lineups

    📋 Everton predicted starting XI: Travers - O'Brien, Keane, Tarkowski, Maitland-Niles - Garner, Armstrong - Johnson, Dewsbury-Hall, George - Barry.

    📋 Newcastle predicted starting XI: Pope - Hall, Botman, Thiaw, Dedić - Gonzalez, Willock - Barnes, Wissa, Murphy - Osula.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    The cup nature of this tie calls for maximum caution. Neither side will show their hand from the opening minutes, and Everton's defensive style at home is capable of stifling virtually any opponent. There is no reason to expect a goal-fest in a knockout match. We believe the hosts' solid defence can prevent Newcastle from scoring more than once. Our prediction is Newcastle United Team Total - Under 1.5, priced at 1.51*.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    We expect Newcastle to take control and consistently load Everton's penalty area with crosses and deliveries, which against the Toffees' low block should produce a high number of blocked passes and clearances behind the line. The hosts will respond with set pieces from the corner flag after the occasional counter-attack. On top of that, Everton have won more than 3.5 corners in five consecutive home matches. Our prediction is Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.46*.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    David Moyes will set his side up to play tight and physical. Newcastle's quick wingers will stretch the hosts' defensive shape, which should inevitably lead to tactical fouls and cynical stops on the counter from the home side. The visitors will give as good as they get with aggressive pressing. All of this points to a high number of bookings. The prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.

    🚀 Player Stats Bet

    Harvey Barnes is a winger for Newcastle. In his most recent Premier League match, the Englishman helped his side to victory by scoring. With an excellent long-range shot and an eye for goal, he will regularly threaten the Merseyside club's net when cutting inside. The prediction is Barnes to Score - Yes, priced at 3.5*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    We have an interesting option for those looking for a higher price. It is quite possible that both sides will manage to find the net despite the low-scoring game expected. The cup format will push teams to play pragmatically and hold on even to a draw, looking to take the match to penalties. The risky bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes + Draw, priced at 4.25*.

    🎯 Reliable Bet

    In Everton's last three home matches, a low-scoring pattern has been consistent: both sides take a long time to get going, and the opening goal came in the first half in only one of those games - meaning just one goal in total was scored before half-time across Everton's last three home matches. On that basis, we can expect few goals in the first half. The reliable bet is 1st Half Total Goals - Under 2, priced at 1.17*.

    👀 If the match doesn't go to plan

    If the Magpies hit their stride and score early in the first half, Everton's defensive plan will fall apart. The hosts will have to open up and chase the game, which will create space for Newcastle's quick vertical runs. In that scenario, the match would instantly lose its cup-tie, grinding character. The alternative bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5, priced at 1.76*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐️ Editorial Prediction

    Cup ties are a time for total pragmatism, where the ability to stay patient and defend without mistakes comes first. Everton's tactical approach at home will be entirely geared towards neutralising the visitors' attacking threat. Newcastle will face a genuine wall in the form of the Toffees' low block and will not risk opening up their own defensive line. The two sides will produce tight, compact, closed football with very few clear-cut chances, where the outcome could be decided by a single moment or a set piece. The main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3. Predicted score: 1-1.

    Total goals Under (3)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-164
    Published: 28/10/2026, 05:15
    Daniil Shilovich
    Daniil Shilovich
    Football expert
    98
    2
    85
    185 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Everton - Newcastle United

    Newcastle United have scored:
    newcastle-unitedin 16 of last 18 away games.
    newcastle-unitedin 9 of last 10 games.
    Newcastle United will score goal
    -303
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    newcastle-unitedin 12 of last 14 Newcastle United games.
    newcastle-unitedin 6 of last 7 Newcastle United away games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Thunderpick
    -435
    Everton have scored under 2.5 goals:
    everton-fc-1in 12 of last 13 games.
    everton-fc-1in last 6 home games.
    Everton Total goals Under (2,5)
    -526
    Everton have scored:
    everton-fc-1in 9 of last 10 home games.
    Everton will score goal
    -500
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 9
    +4
    0
    16 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    4
    Draws
    2
    2
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    16
    9
    Conceded
    16
    2.2
    Average total per match
    3.2
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    3
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats