AIK vs Elfsborg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 October 2026
🔊 AIK have been far more impressive on the road than at home this season. On October 24, José Riveiro’s side claimed a 2-1 away win over league leaders Sirius. Back in August, AIK also saw off Djurgården, the team currently sitting second in the table, on their travels. Since August 30, however, AIK have managed just two points from a possible twelve at home, conceding 13 goals in the process. Can AIK finally end their winless home run against an Elfsborg side boasting one of the league’s stingiest defences?
Head-to-Head
The last Allsvenskan meeting between the two sides ended 1-1. AIK had the majority of possession (62%) and more shots on target (5-3), but Elfsborg edged them on expected goals - 1.05 to 0.88.
Across 38 head-to-head meetings, AIK have won 14 and Elfsborg 12, with 12 matches ending in draws. At AIK's ground the home side's advantage is more pronounced: 11 wins from 18 matches, with Elfsborg winning there five times.
Head-to-head statistics AIK - Elfsborg
AIK Team Overview
AIK beat Sirius 2-1 in their last Allsvenskan match, despite being outshot 11-23 and losing the expected goals battle 1.94 to 2.52. All three goals were scored before half-time.
There have been few dull matches involving AIK this season: 40 goals scored and 43 conceded. Despite that negative goal difference, Riveiro's side - he took charge in January - sit eighth, five points behind Elfsborg. The head-to-head record, though, favours AIK: they have won three of the last four meetings, and drew away in May. At home, they have not lost to this opponent by more than one goal in 17 consecutive matches.
Match Results: AIK
Elfsborg Team Overview
Elfsborg drew 0-0 with Malmö in their last Allsvenskan match. Both sides had 14 shots each, but only two apiece were on target. Elfsborg had the better of it by expected goals, with 1.00 against 0.67.
Elfsborg are solid defensively - only Hammarby and Djurgården have conceded fewer than 24 goals. That is why the team managed by Björn Hamberg, who took charge of the club in February, rarely go away empty-handed and currently sit fifth. In their last 11 league matches they have lost just once - on 6 September away at Brommapojkarna. Their attack is more modest: in 22 consecutive away matches in Allsvenskan they have not scored more than two goals. And on 23 October at home they failed to find a way past Malmö, taking one point despite hitting the crossbar in the first half.
Match Results: Elfsborg
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head matches at AIK's ground have not produced more than three goals in eight consecutive meetings. We don't expect that run to end this time. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: AIK vs Elfsborg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for AIK at home - 7 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Elfsborg away - 9 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for AIK at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Elfsborg away - 4 (80%).
- AIK have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Allsvenskan).
- AIK have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
Safer Bet
Over the last seven head-to-head meetings between AIK and Elfsborg, neither side has produced fewer than two goals. Both teams have been scoring freely this season. We're expecting at least two goals. The bet is Total Goals - Over 1.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10.43%), 1-2 (8.15%) and 2-1 (7.47%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
AIK have both scored and conceded in 8 of their last 9 Allsvenskan matches. The only exception was a goalless draw in Malmö on 7 September. That suits Elfsborg: the visitors have scored in 13 of their last 14 away matches across all competitions. But Hamberg's side have also conceded in 9 of their last 10 Allsvenskan away matches. We expect the visitors' defence to be breached, and Elfsborg to reply with at least one goal. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: AIK - Elfsborg
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