Heidenheim vs Hamburger Prediction 28 October 2025
🔊 In the DFB-Pokal Round of 16, Hamburg travel to face Heidenheim. The teams have already clashed this season in the Bundesliga, and for the hosts, it's a chance to avenge their 2-1 away defeat. Despite being the visitors, Hamburg remain a formidable opponent and are not seen as underdogs. Merlin Polzin's side aims to showcase their strength and advance to the next stage of the tournament. Both teams enter the match following defeats in their recent league fixtures, leaving open the question of whether the coaches will opt for squad rotation, adding intrigue to this upcoming cup encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 20 September 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (with Hamburg as the home side):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 1 vs 12;
- fouls: 15 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 8.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Heidenheim and Hamburg:
- 11 matches played;
- home victories - 3, away wins - 5, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 14 for Heidenheim, 18 for Hamburg;
- average total in the first half - 1.09, in the second half - 1.82;
- average total goals per match - 2.91.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Heidenheim Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Bundesliga, with Hoffenheim hosting Heidenheim. The game concluded with a 3-1 victory for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim):
- possession percentage: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
🔴 In the previous round of the DFB-Pokal, Heidenheim cruised past Bahlinger from the Southwest Regional League with a commanding 5-0 away victory. Leo Schenker, who has since transferred to Southampton, netted a brace, while Mathias Honsak, Mikkel Kaufmann, and Sirlord Conte also got on the scoresheet, securing a confident progression to the Round of 32. However, things are looking grim for Frank Schmidt's side in the Bundesliga. In their latest outing, the Red-Blue-Whites suffered a 3-1 defeat away to Hoffenheim, leaving them in 17th place with just one win, one draw, and six losses over eight matches, accumulating only four points.
Match Results: Heidenheim
Hamburger Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Bundesliga, with Hamburg hosting Wolfsburg. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Hamburg vs Wolfsburg):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 11 vs 1;
- fouls: 8 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
🔵 In the previous round of the DFB-Pokal, Hamburg narrowly edged past Pirmasens from the Oberliga, securing a 2-1 victory. The "City Dwellers" conceded first and only managed to equalize in the 90+2nd minute, courtesy of a goal from Guilherme Ramos. It was Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer who clinched the win for the team in extra time, scoring in the 100th minute. In their debut Bundesliga season after a seven-year absence, the club under Merlin Polzin's leadership sits in 13th place with 8 points from 8 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, one of which came in their recent home game against Wolfsburg (0-1).
Match Results: Hamburger
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- Home wins - 3, Away wins - 5, Draws - 3.
- Heidenheim have failed to win in their last 6 head-to-head matchups against this team.
- Heidenheim have not won at home in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Heidenheim have not secured a victory in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average goals scored by home team - 1.27, away team - 1.64;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.91;
- Both teams scored: overall - 6 times; at the home team's ground - 4 times.
- Heidenheim have conceded in 15 of their last 16 home games.
- Heidenheim have conceded in 8 consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total corners in head-to-head matches - 11.82 (7.55 for home team and 4.27 for away team);
- Average total corners at the home ground - 12.6 (7.6 for home team and 5 for away team).
Heidenheim: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 5; at home - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 5.5.
Hamburg: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 13, away - 13;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.2; away - 6.17.
- Hamburg have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 7 consecutive head-to-head matchups against this team.
- Hamburg have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.9 (1.45 for home team and 1.45 for away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.4 (1.8 for home team and 2.6 for away team).
Heidenheim: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 2; at home - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; at home - 1.5.
Hamburg: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 1, away - 1;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; away - 1.33.
- Total over 3.5 yellow cards has occurred in 15 of Hamburg's last 16 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- Both teams scored overall - 6 times;
- At the home team's ground - 4 times.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Heidenheim enter this match eager to bounce back from their disappointing Bundesliga start and seek revenge for their loss to Hamburg. At home, Frank Schmidt's side show decent attacking potential but struggle significantly in defense. Hamburg, on the other hand, know how to grind out results in tough matches and have demonstrated resilience in knockout games, as evidenced by their hard-fought victory over Pirmasens. Merlin Polzin's team will aim to extend their cup run despite being the visitors. Expect a fiercely contested battle with opportunities for both sides: the visitors are capable of scoring, but Heidenheim will look to capitalize on their home advantage. Our prediction: Hamburg will not lose, given that Heidenheim have failed to win in their last 6 head-to-head encounters with this team and have not secured a victory at the Voith-Arena in 8 of their last 9 matches. The visitors might just edge out a narrow 1-0 win in regular time.
Betting Tips: Heidenheim - Hamburger
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