Pisa vs Fiorentina Prediction 28 September 2025
📢 What to expect from the clash between Pisa and Fiorentina in the 5th round of Serie A? The match will take place at the Arena Garibaldi and promises to be a battle for much-needed points. Both teams have had a rough start and find themselves in the lower part of the standings, striving to break out of their slump. For Pisa, this is a chance to prove that their losses are merely due to a tough schedule, while for the "Viola," it's an opportunity to end their prolonged winless streak and climb above the danger zone. The atmosphere is expected to be tense from the first to the final whistle.
Head-to-Head
📊 Pisa and Fiorentina have yet to face each other in the 21st century, making the upcoming clash their first head-to-head in many years and marking a new chapter in their history.
Head-to-head statistics Pisa - Fiorentina
Pisa Team Overview
🔵 Pisa can't boast about their start to the season. In the first four rounds, the "Nerazzurri" suffered three defeats and sit in 19th place with just one point. However, their position is largely explained by a tough schedule: they've already faced Atalanta (1-1), Roma (0-1), and Napoli (2-3). It's also worth noting that all three losses were by a narrow margin, and with a bit more luck, the league newcomers could have secured more points. In the last round, Pisa traveled to face the reigning champions and created four scoring opportunities, outclassing their opponents in xG (2.59 to 1.05), but failed to even snatch a draw due to a notably weak defensive performance.
📌 Three days after the Napoli match, Pisa faced Torino in the Coppa Italia Round of 16, and it was a complete contrast to their previous game. The team looked helpless in attack, failing to create any real chances and narrowly avoided a rout, losing by the smallest of margins (0-1).
Match Results: Pisa
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina's start to the season has been just as underwhelming as Pisa's. After four rounds, they find themselves languishing in a lowly 17th position with only 2 points (two draws and two losses). Moreover, these results appear entirely justified. For instance, in the previous round, the "Viola" put on a lackluster performance at home against Como (1-2): scoring an early goal in the 6th minute, they essentially abandoned their attacking efforts, managing just eight shots throughout the game with an xG of 0.54, and ultimately deservedly lost.
❌ Additionally, Fiorentina have not even had cup matches against lower-division sides to boost player confidence or improve the team's psychological state.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Latest news
Pisa
📣 Pisa's head coach Alberto Gilardino, following their 1-0 defeat to Torino, emphasized that his team created enough chances but failed to capitalize on them: "In the final third, we need to be more decisive and attack the goal with greater determination. We had 6-7 opportunities where we should have scored an equalizer." According to the coach, the start of the match was promising, but then the team lost its compactness and allowed the opponent to play their game: "We started very well. Then we increased the distance between our lines, and Torino were able to create problems for us. We need to maintain a high level of confidence; we have the desire to grow and improve."
🚫 Pisa face one personnel issue: Calvin Stengs is sidelined with a muscle injury and will return only at the beginning of October.
Fiorentina
📣 Fiorentina's head coach Stefano Pioli expressed his disappointment over the poor start to the season and the team's organizational errors: "Two points from four matches is far too little. If we don't improve our ball handling, we're in for serious trouble. I don't want these long balls; when the team plays compactly, such passes are doomed to be lost." The coach admitted that finding solutions has taken longer than expected and took responsibility for the results: "I thought we would find the right options faster, but that hasn't been the case. I understand the fans' frustration, but it's up to me to work better and do more. The first half was our best since the season began, but it wasn't enough."
🚫 Fiorentina have relatively few injury concerns. Tariq Lamptey is recovering from a knee injury and is expected to return by early October. Christian Kouamé remains doubtful as he continues his recovery from a cruciate ligament injury and may not reach full fitness in time for the match.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Fiorentina have been struggling offensively on the road for quite some time, managing to score no more than once in 6 of their last 7 away matches, a trend that stretches back to the end of last season. The start of the new season has been particularly bleak for the Viola; they appear unconvincing, especially in attack, lacking both sharpness and consistent finishing. Therefore, we predict Fiorentina's total goals to be under 1.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Fiorentina rarely apply enough pressure in away games, as evidenced by their corner statistics. In 16 of their last 18 Serie A away fixtures, the Viola have won no more than four corners, indicating a lack of aggressive wing play and pressure on the opponent's defense. The team tends to play cautiously, avoiding unnecessary forward exposure, which directly impacts their corner count. Our prediction is Fiorentina's total corners to be under 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
According to bookmakers, Fiorentina are the favorites for the upcoming clash. However, they were also tipped to win against Cagliari (1-1), Torino (0-0), and Como (1-3) - yet the "Viola" failed to secure victories in any of those matches. Pisa, despite being new to Serie A, could pose a challenge. Yes, they have lost their last four matches including the Coppa Italia, but three of those defeats came with a narrow scoreline of 1-0, demonstrating solid defensive organization. Against this Fiorentina side, the hosts should once again be defensively sound at the back. A prudent betting option is under 2.5 goals. We wouldn't be surprised if the match ends in a goalless draw, 0-0.
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Betting Tips: Pisa - Fiorentina
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in 6 of last 7 Pisa games.in 8 of last 9 Fiorentina away games.
in 13 of last 14 Gianluca Manganiello games.in 8 of last 9 games.in 10 of last 11 games.
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