Corinthians vs Flamengo Prediction
🔊 On September 28 in São Paulo, we're in for a classic Brazilian football showdown as Corinthians take on Flamengo. This isn't just a clash of clubs; it's a battle of character and ambition. The hosts will aim to turn their home crowd into a fortress, while the visitors seek to affirm their reputation as a team that thrives under pressure. Historically, Flamengo have the upper hand in this rivalry, but in matches like these, statistics take a back seat. It's the atmosphere, emotions, and the ability to withstand pressure that will be decisive. Everything is set for a Sunday evening in Brazil to become a true football spectacle.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Flamengo were the home side):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Corinthians and Flamengo:
- 49 matches played;
- home team victories - 14, away team victories - 25, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 47 versus 65;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1.02, in the 2nd half - 1.27;
- average total goals per match - 2.29.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Corinthians Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament (home team - Sport Recife, away team - Corinthians). The game ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Corinthians vs Sport Recife):
- possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 8;
- fouls: 9 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 6;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
⚫ In the last round, Corinthians stumbled unexpectedly with a defeat to Sport Recife (0-1), who sit at the bottom of the table. This loss was a real wake-up call. A goal conceded early in the second half dashed all their plans and ended their five-match unbeaten streak.
⚪ Despite this setback, the team remains mid-table (11th place). However, such slip-ups can be costly, as rivals vying for top positions won't forgive these losses. Corinthians face a challenging stretch ahead, and to keep their hopes alive for international competition spots, they must quickly regain their confidence and stability in play.
Match Results: Corinthians
Flamengo Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Estudiantes La Plata hosting Flamengo. The match ended with a scoreline of 1-0.
Here are the match statistics (Flamengo vs Estudiantes La Plata):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
🔴 Flamengo shared the spoils with Vasco da Gama at the Maracanã in their last league outing, ending in a 1-1 draw. Dropping points wasn't a major setback as the "red and blacks" still hold the top spot in the table. However, Cruzeiro and Palmeiras are hot on their heels, and any further slip-ups could jeopardize their title ambitions.
⚫ Meanwhile, Felipe Luis's squad faced a more intense challenge midweek in the Copa Libertadores quarter-final second leg against Estudiantes. Despite a 2-1 victory at home providing them with a slight edge, Flamengo fell 0-1 in Argentina. The tie was decided first in extra time and then in a penalty shootout, where the "red and blacks" displayed resilience and precision, winning 4-2 to advance to the continent's final four. Flamengo will now face Argentine side Racing Club for a spot in the final.
Match Results: Flamengo
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 25, Draws - 10.
Statistics: Corinthians vs Flamengo
- Matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 23;
- Victories: 7 vs 15;
- Win percentage: 29% vs 65%;
- Losses: 9 vs 2;
- Draws: 8 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 8;
- Losses: 3 vs 0;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- Corinthians cover the +1.5 spread in 26 of their last 27 matches.
- Corinthians cover the +1.5 spread at home in 24 of their last 25 matches.
- Corinthians cover the +1.5 spread in 17 of their last 18 Serie A matches.
- Corinthians cover the +1.5 spread at home in 9 consecutive Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's hosts average goals scored - 0.96, visitors - 1.33;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.29;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 19 times; at the host's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Corinthians vs Flamengo
- Average total in the tournament: 2.21 vs 2.57;
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 2.09;
- Average total in the first half: 0.33 vs 0.83;
- Average total in the second half: 0.67 vs 1.26;
- Corinthians: average total at home in the tournament - 1.27;
- Flamengo: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.25) vs 2.2 (away - 1.75).
- Corinthians have scored at home in 14 of their last 15 head-to-head Serie A meetings.
- Corinthians have scored in 11 of their last 12 matches.
Corners Prediction
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.63; at home - 5.45;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; at home - 4.75.
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.57, away - 5.9;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.7; away - 5.5.
- Total under 10.5 corners has hit in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches at the host's ground.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.9 (1.45 for hosts and 1.45 for visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the host's ground - 3.46 (1.54 for hosts and 1.92 for visitors).
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.92; at home - 2.64;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 2.
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.7, away - 1.9;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.3; away - 1.
- Total over 4.5 yellow cards has hit in 8 of Corinthians' last 9 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- Both teams have scored overall - 19 times;
- At the hosts' ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Corinthians vs Flamengo
- Total matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 23;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 9;
- BTTS for Corinthians at home - 6 (55%);
- BTTS for Flamengo away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS for Corinthians at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS for Flamengo away - 1 (25%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The upcoming match poses a real challenge for Corinthians: after a slip-up against an underdog in the last round, they now face the league leaders while not at their best. Flamengo, on the other hand, remain sharp and consistent despite a packed schedule.
Head-to-head stats also favor the "Red-Black" side: in their last five encounters, they have won three times, lost once, and drawn once. Notably, Corinthians failed to score in four of those matches. Fresh in memory is the 4-0 thrashing in the first round of this season at the Maracanã. Taking into account form, statistics, and the psychological backdrop, our bet is on total over 1.5 goals, which has occurred in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matches on Corinthians' home turf, as well as 6 of Flamengo's last 7 away games.
Betting Tips: Corinthians - Flamengo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
