Dinamo Zagreb vs Thun Prediction 28 July 2026
🔊 The draw in the first leg keeps things open. But at Maksimir, Thun are going to find it very hard to get a positive result - the bookmakers give them minimal chances of advancing to the third qualifying round of the Champions League. Thun will try to add another chapter to their fairytale run. Whether they can - that's what we'll look at in this prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides met for the first time last week and couldn't be separated - a 1-1 draw. The Zagreb favourites were the ones chasing the game late on, and it was Miha Zajc who got them level.
Head-to-head statistics Dinamo Zagreb - Thun
Dinamo Zagreb Team Overview
The Croatian giants go into the second leg as clear favourites, and it's not hard to see why. Mario Kovačević's side are on a 19-match unbeaten run in official competition - that's a serious streak. That said, Dinamo were far from their best in Switzerland, particularly in the first half. They avoided defeat, but Thun edged them on chances (1-2 in dangerous moments). Maksimir will be a different story.
The injury situation isn't critical. Luka Stojković remains suspended in European competition after his red card for unsporting behaviour in February's match against Genk. He was a key midfielder last season, but Miha Zajc and Gabriel Vidović can cover the creative load in his absence - especially with Mislav Oršić in the mix, who was very active on his return to Zagreb, leading the team in shots with four.
Match Results: Dinamo Zagreb
Thun Team Overview
Thun are in the Champions League for just the second time in their history - they won the Swiss Super League in sensational fashion, in their first season back in the top flight. Expectations were low after the club lost several key players and their head coach in the summer. But new manager Gian-Luca Privitelli has made a strong start. His side held Dinamo at home, then kicked off the domestic season well, beating Luzern 3-1 with goals from two new signings - Niko Mayer and Nicolas Bürgy.
The return leg is a different story, though. The biggest concern is a run of 14 competitive matches without a clean sheet. Even with the old, settled squad, Thun couldn't keep a goal out. So what to expect now, after a major overhaul in the transfer window? There are injury problems too, nothing critical but still. Midfielder Matthias Kait missed the first leg with a foot injury and won't play in Zagreb, and new signing Mats Seiler won't be available either.
Match Results: Thun
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The match will be refereed by a Bulgarian crew led by Radoslav Gidzhenov. The 34-year-old averages a whopping 5.4 yellow cards per game over his last five matches. That high figure is skewed by one outlier in the Bulgarian league, where Gidzhenov handed out 11 bookings in a single game. Still, in this one, we think he'll be reaching into his pocket often enough. Thun's last ten official matches have averaged 5.6 yellows, and just last week the two sides combined for five bookings. We're backing total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Thun haven't kept a clean sheet in 14 straight games - a terrible record for a side travelling to Maksimir. Dinamo at home score consistently and in volume, netting at least twice in 7 of their last 8 home matches. The most logical call here is Dinamo total goals over 1.5 at 1.48*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
The Swiss side whipped in an impressive nine corners last week. That was at home, granted - but in our view, Gian-Luca Privitelli's men are capable of troubling the opposition from set pieces in Zagreb too. Thun have delivered over 2.5 corners in 12 of their last 13 away matches. And the bookmakers are offering a very generous 1.73* on that line being cleared.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
At home, Thun switched to full defensive mode too early and couldn't even hold on to a narrow lead. That will weigh on them mentally - though, to be honest, even if the first leg had gone their way, we'd still consider the Croatian champions heavy favourites. The class gap, home ground and squad depth all point to a convincing Dinamo win. A 3-0 scoreline isn't out of the question. If that's how it plays out, the best option is Dinamo Zagreb to win with a -1 handicap.
No comments
Betting Tips: Dinamo Zagreb - Thun
in last 19 games.in 12 of last 13 home games.
in 20 of last 21 games.in 15 of last 16 home games.in last 14 games.in 12 of last 13 away games.in 7 of last 8 Dinamo Zagreb games.
in last 5 Radoslav Gidzhenov games.in 17 of last 19 games.in 7 of last 8 home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
