RP Montevideo vs LA LUZ Prediction 28 June 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams River Plate Montevideo and LA LUZ. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 15:00 28 June. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi stadium in the city of Montevideo. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 26 November 2023 and ended with a score of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown from that encounter (home team - River Plate Montevideo):
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊 The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 3 against 2;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.33, in the 2nd half - 1.33;
- average total goals in the match - 1.67.
Head-to-head statistics RP Montevideo - LA LUZ

River Plate Montevideo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 20 June 2026 as part of the Segunda Division tournament (home team - Colon, away team - River Plate Montevideo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (River Plate Montevideo vs Colon):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, River Plate Montevideo delighted their fans with 4 victories, settled for a draw in 1 matches, and lost 5 times.
⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.6, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 2.25, and the average number of goals conceded is 1.9.
Match Results: River Plate Montevideo

LA LUZ Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 21 June 2026 as part of the Segunda Division tournament (home team - LA LUZ, away - Cerrito). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (LA LUZ vs Cerrito):
- ball possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 19 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 6;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team LA LUZ gifted its fans with 3 victories, played to a draw 4 times, and finished 3 games with a defeat.
⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:
- total number of goals - 8;
- average goals scored - 0.8;
- average goals conceded - 1.
Match Results: LA LUZ
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 0.33;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.
First-Half Stats: River Plate Montevideo (home) vs LA LUZ (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
- wins: 2 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (25%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- draws: 1 (25%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- Average goals scored: 2.75 vs 0.67;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 2.3 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 1) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5).
- LA LUZ have drawn in the 1st half in 12 of last 14 away games (Segunda Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 2.
- LA LUZ have drawn in 7 of last 8 away games (Segunda Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: River Plate Montevideo vs LA LUZ
- average total in the tournament: 3.88 vs 1.63;
- average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.38 vs 0.13;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.38 vs 0.38;
- River Plate Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 2.25;
- LA LUZ: average total away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2.25) vs 0.8 (away - 0.25).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 River Plate Montevideo games (Segunda Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 River Plate Montevideo home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 LA LUZ games (Segunda Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (10/63, 15.9%);
- River Plate Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:0 , 2:1 , 6:4 (1/4, 25%);
- LA LUZ away most often play: 0:0 (2/3, 66.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.03% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 9.06% (odds 7)
0:1 - 8.34% (odds 6.5)
- LA LUZ drew 0:0 in 4 of last 5 away games (Segunda Division).
Editorial Prediction
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 LA LUZ away games (Segunda Division).