Valencia vs Osasuna Prediction 1 March 2026
🔊 Will the unbeaten run of the team from Pamplona continue? One of the standout fixtures in Sunday's La Liga schedule is the clash between Valencia and Osasuna at the Mestalla. Alessio Lisci's side, thanks to a string of successful performances, have pulled away from the relegation zone and now sit just 4 points shy of the top six. Meanwhile, the "Bats" struggle to find consistency, with only a 2-point cushion above the relegation zone. Nonetheless, considering their head-to-head history and the home advantage, the "Oranges" are given a slight edge.
Head-to-Head
📊 Let's take a look at the balanced head-to-head statistics over the last 10 encounters: Valencia have secured 4 wins, there have been 2 draws, and Osasuna have claimed victory 4 times. It's also crucial to consider the average scoring rate for each side during this period: 1.4 goals for the "Oranges" compared to 1.3 for their opponents. In the first round of the current championship, the "Reds" came out on top at El Sadar, with Ante Budimir's decisive strike sealing the outcome of the clash.
Head-to-head statistics Valencia - Osasuna
Valencia Team Overview
🟠 The team from its namesake city has been marked by significant inconsistency over recent seasons. At times, it seemed miraculous how the "Oranges" avoided relegation from the top tier of Spanish football. Currently, Valencia sit 16th in the league standings, just two points clear of the danger zone. In their last five matches across all competitions, the "Bats" have suffered four defeats-disheartening results that underscore an ongoing crisis on the pitch. Notably, Valencia's defense has been their Achilles' heel, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per game (ranking 17th in the league). What Carlos Corberan will do next remains to be seen.
⚫ Last weekend, Valencia were involved in an intriguing encounter. The "Oranges" traveled to "La Cerámica" to face local side Villarreal (1-2). Despite Carlos Corberan's men enjoying a territorial advantage, they failed to convert most of their opportunities into something truly substantial. With 57% possession, the "Bats" managed an expected goals tally of 1.54. Meanwhile, the "Yellow Submarine," with 43% possession, achieved an expected goals tally of 2.34. It's no secret that Carlos Corberan favors vertical football without prolonged positional play-the 4-4-2 formation is a favorite for the Spanish tactician. Hugo Duro remains the club's top scorer in the current campaign with seven goals.
Match Results: Valencia
Osasuna Team Overview
🔴 The "Reds" remain unbeaten in La Liga for six consecutive matches. Currently, the team from Pamplona sits in 9th place in the standings, having accumulated 33 points from 25 games. However, their biggest struggles come on the road, with only 9 points from 13 away matches (15th best in the league). Just two away victories in this La Liga campaign further illustrate this point. Let's take a look at the statistical performance of Alessio Lisci's squad: they score an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.16.
📌 In the last round of La Liga, Osasuna pulled off a sensational victory over Real Madrid (2-1). This is what happens when a coach successfully fine-tunes the team's mechanisms and establishes harmony within the squad. Despite clearly playing as the underdogs, the "Reds" matched their opponents in intensity and attacking threat. A comparison of expected goals-2.29 to Osasuna's favor against 1.7-speaks volumes. Contrary to popular belief, Italian coach Alessio Lisci does not advocate for a "park-the-bus" strategy. He prefers a compact defensive block with high-intensity counter-pressing. This approach allows the team to quickly regain possession and launch counterattacks. Osasuna's top scorer is Ante Budimir, who has netted 12 goals in 24 league appearances.
Match Results: Osasuna
Latest news
Valencia
🎤 Valencia head coach Carlos Corberan spoke to the media following his team's 2-1 defeat to Villarreal in the last round: "I'm not satisfied; this isn't the result we were aiming for. It doesn't reflect the confidence the team had. In the first half, we lacked quality football and attacking momentum, and in the second half, we couldn't play as we had before. In the opening minutes, Villarreal dominated possession, making it difficult for us to break out of our own half. Then we managed to set up counterattacks and play more in their half, and during one of these quick attacks, we earned a penalty and took the lead. The precision in both penalty areas determined the course of the match. In the second half, we conceded a goal and had no choice but to attack and push forward, but we couldn't capitalize on that. We had clear chances but didn't score. I'd say we had more opportunities than Villarreal to succeed."
❌ Valencia's injury list includes José Copete (ankle injury), Mouctar Diakhaby (muscle injury), Dimitri Foulquier (knee injury), and Diego López (ankle injury).
Osasuna
🎤 Following a 2-1 victory over Real Madrid, Alessio Lisci couldn't contain his joy: “Incredible, it was unbelievable. I don't even know what words to choose. Everyone here today felt it-there's nothing more to say. It was fantastic. I really enjoyed the game. Perhaps on other days, we've played more attractive matches, but against Real... When analyzing the match, you always have to consider the level of the opponent, and right now we're in a good place, especially since we talked in the locker room about how our last game was disappointing. We earned a point, but it wasn't good, and we can't be satisfied with what happened in Elche. The team responded well, and we're progressing. The positive thing is that we're navigating a tough schedule and making it easier than it actually is. That's because the team is constantly improving, keeps working hard, and, most importantly, they're not satisfied with what we're doing-they want more, and I like that.”
❌ Among the unavailable players for Osasuna's upcoming match are Iker Benito (knee injury) and Aimar Oroz (suspension).
⚽ Goal Prediction
Both clubs have struggled defensively. Osasuna concede around 1.2 goals per game, while Valencia allow 1.6. Looking at their head-to-head goal averages, it's 1.8 against 1.2 in favor of the "Oranges." It's also noteworthy that in 6 of the last 7 encounters involving the "Reds," both teams found the back of the net. Our editorial choice is both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
Let's first consider the average number of corners each side earns this season: the "Oranges" average 5, while the "Reds" manage 3.2. In 5 of Valencia's last 6 matches, there were no more than 10 corners taken. This trend is similar for 9 of Osasuna's last 10 games. Our editorial choice is total corners under 9.5.
Editorial Prediction
Even though Valencia will have the home crowd advantage, our editorial team doesn't see them as potential winners in this matchup. Carlos Corberán's project is still in its early stages and requires strategic reinforcements. Meanwhile, under Alessio Lisci, Osasuna are enjoying their best spell of the season and are seriously eyeing a spot in European competitions next season. We predict a final score of 1-2, with the key bet being Osasuna will not lose.
No comments
Betting Tips: Valencia - Osasuna
in last 7 games.in last 6 games (La Liga).
in 7 of last 8 Valencia games against Osasuna (La Liga).in last 6 Valencia home games against Osasuna (La Liga).in 20 of last 21 Valencia home games.in 8 of last 9 Valencia games.in 6 of last 7 Valencia games (La Liga).in 13 of last 15 Osasuna away games (La Liga).in 20 of last 22 games against Osasuna.in 18 of last 20 games against Osasuna (La Liga).in 10 of last 11 home games against Osasuna.in 9 of last 10 home games against Osasuna (La Liga).in 17 of last 18 games.in 13 of last 14 games (La Liga).in 8 of last 9 games.
in last 5 home games against Osasuna (La Liga).in 17 of last 19 games (La Liga).in 9 of last 10 home games.in 8 of last 9 home games (La Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
