Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction 1 March 2026
🔊 The clash between Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar promises to be intriguing. Utrecht sit in 9th place on the table, displaying inconsistent form. AZ Alkmaar are in 5th place and aim to solidify their position in the European competition zone. Both clubs have their strengths: Utrecht boasts a more organized defense, while AZ are known for their attacking prowess.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 26 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 4 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar:
- played 39 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 16, draws - 10;
- number of goals - 61 against 72;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.59, in the 2nd half - 1.82;
- average total goals in the match - 3.41.
Head-to-head statistics Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar

Utrecht Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Utrecht, away team - PEC Zwolle). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Utrecht are showing average form with two wins and two draws in their last five matches. Despite their lackluster attacking efficiency, averaging just 1.1 goals per game over the last ten matches, Ron Jans' side are striving to break into the top eight. The issue, however, is their dismal home record, with just one win in their last 10 home games.
Match Results: Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away - Noah). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.
Here are the match stats (AZ Alkmaar vs Noah):
- ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 19 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
AZ Alkmaar are confidently navigating the season, boasting five wins in their last ten matches. Their attack proves effective, averaging around 1.6 goals per game over this stretch. A key element of their strategy is their high activity during set pieces, including corners. Whether this will pay off in their away fixture against Utrecht remains to be seen.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 16, draws - 10.
Statistics: Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
- matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- wins: 8 vs 11;
- win percentage: 33% vs 46%;
- losses: 9 vs 7;
- draws: 7 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Utrecht have not won in 8 of last 9 games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
- Utrecht have not won in last 6 home games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
- Utrecht have not won in last 8 home games.
- Utrecht have not won in last 5 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 1.85;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.41;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
- average total in the tournament: 2.79 vs 3.33;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.58 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.92 vs 0.88;
- Utrecht: average total at home in the tournament - 1.58;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total away in the tournament - 1.42;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.4) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Utrecht have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 home games.
- Utrecht have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Utrecht: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.17; at home field - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 4.6.
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5, away - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 4.75.
- Over 8.5 corners in last 9 Utrecht games against AZ Alkmaar.
- Over 8.5 corners in last 8 Utrecht games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.88 (1.44 for home team and 1.44 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.37 (1.37 for home team and 2 for away team).
Utrecht: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.42; at home - 1.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; at home - 1.2.
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.25, away - 2.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 1.75.
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in last 6 Utrecht games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in last 5 Utrecht games against AZ Alkmaar.
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 AZ Alkmaar away games (Eredivisie).
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in last 5 AZ Alkmaar away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Utrecht at home - 7 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 7 (58%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Utrecht at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 2 (50%).
- Utrecht have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games against AZ Alkmaar.
- Utrecht have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/217, 11.5%);
- Utrecht at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/12, 25%);
- AZ Alkmaar away most often play: 0:1 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.31% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 9.75% (odds 9)
2:1 - 9.42% (odds 8)