Samaxi vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 February 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Samaxi and Neftchi Baku. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 10:30 28 February. The tournament match will take place at the Inter Arena stadium in the city of Baku. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Neftchi Baku):
- ball possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 0;
- fouls: 0 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Samaxi and Neftchi Baku:
- played 52 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 28, draws - 11;
- number of goals (home/away) - 51 against 80;
- average total goals in the match - 2.52.
Head-to-head statistics Samaxi - Neftchi Baku

Samaxi Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on 22 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Imisli, away team - Samaxi). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the game statistics (Samaxi vs Imisli):
- ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 0 vs 0.
- 6 wins,
- 8 losses,
- 7 draws.
📈Currently, Samaxi stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 29% and a loss percentage of 38%.
⚽️Samaxi has scored a total of 21 goals. On the defensive end, Samaxi has allowed 24 goals over the season.
Match Results: Samaxi

Neftchi Baku Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 15 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kapaz, away - Neftchi Baku). The match ended with a score of 1:3.
Here are the game statistics (Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 12 vs 2.
- 7 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 9 draws.
📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 35% and a loss percentage of 20%.
⚽Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 28 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 18 goals over the season.
Match Results: Neftchi Baku
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 52;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 28, draws - 11.
Statistics: Samaxi vs Neftchi Baku
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- wins: 6 vs 7;
- win percentage: 29% vs 35%;
- losses: 8 vs 4;
- draws: 7 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Neftchi Baku have not lost in last 6 games (Premier League).
Total Goals Prediction
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.98, the guests - 1.54;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.52;
- both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Samaxi vs Neftchi Baku
- average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.3;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.52 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.48 vs 0.8;
- Samaxi: average total at home in the tournament - 1.1;
- Neftchi Baku: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Neftchi Baku away games (Premier League).
Corners Prediction
Samaxi: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.57; at home field - 4.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.
Neftchi Baku: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.05, away - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 2.67.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 52;
- both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Samaxi vs Neftchi Baku
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 6 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 3 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 2 (33%).
Correct Score Prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (15/125, 12%);
- Samaxi at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/10, 30%);
- Neftchi Baku away most often play: 0:2 , 2:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.03% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 12.81% (odds 7)
0:0 - 11.23% (odds 6.5)
Editorial Prediction
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Neftchi Baku away games (Premier League).