Samaxi vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 February 2026

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Samaxi and Neftchi Baku. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 10:30 28 February. The tournament match will take place at the Inter Arena stadium in the city of Baku. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Neftchi Baku):

    • ball possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 0;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Samaxi and Neftchi Baku:

    • played 52 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 28, draws - 11;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 51 against 80;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.52.

    Head-to-head statistics Samaxi - Neftchi Baku

    24%
    13 Wins
    22%
    12 Draws
    54%
    29 Wins
    Total games
    54
    Avg. total goals
    2.56
    Both teams scored
    54%
    0.98
    Average total
    1.57
    1.69
    Yellow cards
    1.43
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    16
    1
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    16
    1
    4
    28.02.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    8
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    8
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    16.08.25
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    07.04.25
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    0
    2
    0
    31.01.25
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    0
    1
    5
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    0
    1
    5
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Samaxi Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on 22 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Imisli, away team - Samaxi). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.

    Here are the game statistics (Samaxi vs Imisli):

    • ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 0 vs 0.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Samaxi has engaged in 21 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 6 wins,
    • 8 losses,
    • 7 draws.

    📈Currently, Samaxi stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 29% and a loss percentage of 38%.

    ⚽️Samaxi has scored a total of 21 goals. On the defensive end, Samaxi has allowed 24 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Samaxi

    Last matches
    28.10.26
    Azerbaijan Cup
    Hypers Guba
    Hypers Guba
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    2
    8
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    5
    0
    2
    1
    3
    -
    -
    2
    8
    -
    -
    1
    2
    W
    25.10.26
    Premier League
    Imisli
    Imisli
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    8
    7
    10
    10
    0
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    7
    10
    10
    0
    3
    L
    16.10.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    FK SAFA
    FK SAFA
    -
    -
    6
    0
    14
    10
    0
    4
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    -
    -
    6
    0
    14
    10
    0
    4
    W
    10.10.26
    Premier League
    Zira
    Zira
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    10
    1
    17
    15
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    17
    15
    1
    2
    D
    20.09.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    4
    4
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    4
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Neftchi Baku Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 15 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kapaz, away - Neftchi Baku). The match ended with a score of 1:3.

    Here are the game statistics (Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz):

    • ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 12 vs 2.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Neftchi Baku has engaged in 20 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 7 wins,
    • 4 losses,
    • 9 draws.

    📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 35% and a loss percentage of 20%.

    ⚽Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 28 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 18 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Neftchi Baku

    Last matches
    24.10.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    1
    Turan Tovuz
    Turan Tovuz
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    D
    17.10.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    12
    0
    13
    18
    0
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    12
    0
    13
    18
    0
    4
    D
    09.10.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Sabah
    Sabah
    -
    -
    4
    3
    17
    15
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    17
    15
    2
    3
    D
    18.09.26
    Premier League
    Gabala
    Gabala
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    18
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    18
    0
    3
    W
    11.09.26
    Premier League
    Imisli
    Imisli
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    2
    7
    10
    4
    0
    1
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    10
    4
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 52;
    • home team wins - 13, away team wins - 28, draws - 11.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Neftchi Baku

    • matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
    • wins: 6 vs 7;
    • win percentage: 29% vs 35%;
    • losses: 8 vs 4;
    • draws: 7 vs 9.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 4;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Neftchi Baku have not lost in last 6 games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Neftchi Baku will not lose (odds: 1.23)

    Total Goals Prediction

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.98, the guests - 1.54;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.52;
    • both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 13.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Neftchi Baku

    • average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.3;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.4;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.52 vs 0.6;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.48 vs 0.8;
    • Samaxi: average total at home in the tournament -  1.1;
    • Neftchi Baku: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Neftchi Baku away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.46)

    Corners Prediction

    Samaxi: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.57; at home field - 4.3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.

    Neftchi Baku: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.05, away - 4.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 2.67.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (8,5) (odds: 1.8)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 52;
    • both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 13 times.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Neftchi Baku

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 8;
    • number of BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 6 (60%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 3 (33%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 3 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 2 (33%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.55)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (15/125, 12%);
    • Samaxi at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/10, 30%);
    • Neftchi Baku away most often play: 0:2 , 2:0 (2/9, 22.2%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 13.03% (odds 5.5)
    1:1 - 12.81% (odds 7)
    0:0 - 11.23% (odds 6.5)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Neftchi Baku away games (Premier League).

    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Odds-192
    Published: 26/02/2026, 11:24

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    Betting Tips: Samaxi - Neftchi Baku

    Neftchi Baku have not lost:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin last 6 games (Premier League).
    Neftchi Baku will not lose
    -435
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 8 of last 9 Neftchi Baku away games (Premier League).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -217
    Under 10.5 corners:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 8 of last 9 Neftchi Baku games.
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 7 of last 8 Neftchi Baku games (Premier League).
    Corners - Total Under (10,5)
    -345
    Over 6.5 corners:
    inter-bakuin last 7 Samaxi games.
    inter-bakuin last 6 Samaxi games (Premier League).
    Corners - Total Over (6,5)
    -333

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 3
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 12
    +6
    +14
    23 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    4
    Draws
    3
    2
    Losses
    1
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    23
    12
    Conceded
    9
    3
    Average total per match
    3.2
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.3
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    8
    Both teams scored
    5
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    39'
    View all stats