Newcastle vs Everton Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 February 2026
🔊 A clash between two table neighbors! We have a match from the 28th round of the English Premier League. Can Newcastle extend their winning streak in the EPL after advancing to the Champions League Round of 16, or will David Moyes' Everton leave St. James' Park with points in hand? Let's try to find answers to these questions.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams are quite evenly matched in their head-to-head stats, although Everton have one more win in their last five encounters. However, their previous clash in the 13th round of this season was disastrous for the Toffees. The Magpies had a field day, handing Everton a crushing 4-1 defeat.
Head-to-head statistics Newcastle - Everton
Newcastle United Team Overview
Newcastle have struggled with consistency throughout the season-they're capable of defeating any opponent, yet also vulnerable to losing to any team. However, their recent form paints a brighter picture: four wins in their last five matches, with the only loss coming against Manchester City (1-2), who are competing with Arsenal for the top spot in the league. Overall, Newcastle currently sit in 11th place, with 36 points to their name.
The club recently celebrated a significant milestone: the Magpies secured their place in the Champions League Round of 16 by thrashing Azerbaijani side Qarabag with an aggregate score of 9-3. The standout performer in this tie was forward Anthony Gordon, who scored four goals in the first leg.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Everton Team Overview
Everton have climbed to ninth place in the league standings, accumulating 37 points. Not too shabby for the Toffees. However, they've suffered back-to-back defeats in front of their home fans: first, they fell to Bournemouth with a 1-2 scoreline, despite outplaying them on xG by more than double, and then to Manchester United (0-1), where they struggled to create any significant chances.
This season, Everton have been quite unpredictable. They might go three matches without scoring, only to then net a brace against a strong opponent. Particularly surprising are David Moyes' side's away performances-based on their road results, the Blues rank in the top six of the Premier League and remain unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 away games.
Match Results: Everton
Latest news
Newcastle United
🎙 On Tuesday, Alex Murphy made his first-ever start in a Champions League match: "I feel fantastic. It's not often you get your first start in the Champions League. There's a lot of adrenaline. I'm thrilled. This is everything you wanted as a kid, so it was special," said the player.
❌ Due to injuries, key midfielder Bruno Guimarães, defenders Valentino Livramento and Fabian Schär, who were sidelined in January, as well as defender Emil Krafth, who has played just one match this season, will miss the game.
Everton
📝 The management is considering bringing back center-back John Stones, whose contract with Manchester City expires next summer. The Englishman donned Everton's colors from 2013 to 2016 and would certainly be a valuable addition for David Moyes.
❌ For the upcoming match, the Toffees will be without Jack Grealish, who suffered a leg injury in mid-January and is out for the rest of the season. Additionally, Carlos Alcaraz picked up an injury during training ahead of the clash with Man United, but he is not a regular starter.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
When it comes to discipline, both Newcastle and Everton maintain a clean sheet. Both teams average fewer yellow cards than their opponents: the hosts at 1.63 per game and the visitors at 1.85. In their first head-to-head this season, the referee didn't issue a single yellow card. We believe that if there are any fouls, they'll be minimal.
The referee for this match will be Stuart Attwell. Known for his strictness, Attwell has shown 74 yellow cards across 16 matches, averaging 4.6 per game. However, such sternness might not be necessary in this encounter. Considering the teams' stats, we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
There are reasons to anticipate a high-scoring match here. Statistically, both teams average just over a goal per game, while their defense isn't exactly watertight. Recent performances by the hosts indicate an upward trend in scoring: the last five matches have seen the "over" hit. We expect at least 3 goals in this match and recommend betting on total goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Let's dive into corner statistics. The Magpies spend considerable time in the attacking third, averaging 7 corners per match. As for Everton, they managed to take 10 corners in their last game against Manchester United. There's also an interesting pattern: in 7 of Newcastle's last 8 home games, there were more than 10.5 corners. We predict a high number of corner kicks in this fixture and suggest betting on total corners over 9.5.
Editorial Prediction
Let's move on to the main prediction now. After their recent high-profile victories, Newcastle might face a mental burnout, whereas Everton are highly motivated to rectify their past mistakes. Moreover, the Toffees know how to upset the hosts at St James' Park: their last head-to-head encounter at this venue ended with a 1-0 victory for them. This season, David Moyes' men have been particularly strong on the road. We can foresee this match ending in a 2-2 draw, as both sides boast strong attacking players, but their defenses can be unreliable at times. We believe the visitors have a solid chance to leave with points and suggest betting on Everton to win with a (+1) handicap.
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Betting Tips: Newcastle United - Everton
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