Mantova vs Carrarese Calcio Prediction 1 March 2026
📢 What can we expect from the matchup between Mantova and Carrarese in the 27th round of Serie B? Both teams sit mid-table, yet they face different challenges. Mantova, despite their defensive frailties, are making efforts to attack aggressively and boost their performance in front of their home fans. Meanwhile, Carrarese struggle to convert chances on the road, as evidenced by their recent outings.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Carrarese Calcio):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
📊The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 3 against 2;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.33, in the 2nd half - 1.33;
- average total goals in the match - 1.67.
Head-to-head statistics Mantova - Carrarese Calcio

Mantova Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Mantova, away team - Sampdoria). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Mantova vs Sampdoria):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Mantova sit 16th in the table, striving to climb higher. The team have won two of their last five matches (WLDLW), reflecting inconsistent form. Despite this, they show fighting spirit at home and aim to impose their style on opponents. They average 1 goal per match while conceding 1.58, highlighting defensive issues.
Match Results: Mantova

Carrarese Calcio Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Carrarese Calcio, away - Monza). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Carrarese Calcio vs Monza):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Carrarese currently sit in 11th place and are grappling with offensive struggles, particularly in away games. Their recent form over the last five matches (DLLLL) is far from ideal, with four losses and just one draw. On average, they score only 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.38, a statistic that fails to impress.
Match Results: Carrarese Calcio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 0.33;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.
First-Half Stats: Mantova (home) vs Carrarese Calcio (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 2 (15.38%) vs 2 (15.38%);
- losses: 6 (46.15%) vs 6 (46.15%);
- draws: 5 (38.46%) vs 5 (38.46%);
- Average goals scored: 1.46 vs 1.38;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.92.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.9) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.6).
- Carrarese Calcio conceded in the 1st half in last 7 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 2.
Statistics: Mantova vs Carrarese Calcio
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- wins: 7 vs 7;
- win percentage: 27% vs 27%;
- losses: 14 vs 10;
- draws: 5 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Carrarese Calcio have not won in 11 of last 12 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Mantova vs Carrarese Calcio
- average total in the tournament: 2.58 vs 2.58;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.19;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 0.42;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.62 vs 0.77;
- Mantova: average total at home in the tournament - 1.38;
- Carrarese Calcio: average total away in the tournament - 1.15;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.4) vs 0.8 (away - 0.8).
- Carrarese Calcio have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.66 (3.33 - for home team and 5.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 6 (2 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Mantova: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.04; at home field - 5.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 5.
Carrarese Calcio: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.23, away - 5.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 6.2.
- Over 8.5 corners in 10 of last 11 Carrarese Calcio games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Mantova vs Carrarese Calcio
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Mantova at home - 10 (77%);
- number of BTTS matches for Carrarese Calcio away - 9 (69%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Mantova at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Carrarese Calcio away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (41/260, 15.8%);
- Mantova at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (3/13, 23.1%);
- Carrarese Calcio away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 , 2:2 (2/13, 15.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.54% (odds 5.4)
1:0 - 8.49% (odds 8)
2:1 - 8.15% (odds 9.2)