Heracles vs PSV Prediction 28 February 2026

    ⚽️ In the upcoming match between Heracles Almelo and PSV, we witness a clash between the Eredivisie leader and a tournament underdog. The hosts, rooted at the bottom of the table, continue to struggle with both scoring and consistency over an extended period. Meanwhile, PSV confidently sit atop the standings, showcasing formidable attacking prowess. Their play is characterized by aggressive offense and ball control. Considering both teams' form and recent match statistics, we can anticipate an intriguing battle on the pitch.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - PSV):

    • ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 4;
    • fouls: 12 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Heracles Almelo and PSV:

    • played 36 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 31, draws - 4;
    • number of goals - 23 against 97;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.56, in the 2nd half - 1.78;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.33.

    Head-to-head statistics Heracles - PSV

    3%
    1 Win
    11%
    4 Draws
    86%
    32 Wins
    Total games
    37
    Total Goals Avg
    3.35
    Both teams scored
    51%
    0.65
    Total average
    2.7
    1.68
    Yellow cards
    1.27
    Last matches
    28.02.26
    Eredivisie
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    PSV
    PSV
    1.4
    3.44
    3
    5
    15
    14
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    0
    1.4
    3.44
    3
    5
    15
    14
    2
    1
    13.12.25
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    3.99
    2.28
    10
    4
    12
    7
    2
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    2
    3.99
    2.28
    10
    4
    12
    7
    2
    4
    14.05.25
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    3.02
    0.68
    10
    1
    7
    8
    0
    0
    4
    1
    4
    0
    0
    1
    3.02
    0.68
    10
    1
    7
    8
    0
    0
    18.08.24
    Eredivisie
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    PSV
    PSV
    -
    -
    2
    12
    12
    7
    1
    0
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    -
    -
    2
    12
    12
    7
    1
    0
    16.02.24
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    1
    -
    -
    15
    0
    5
    7
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    15
    0
    5
    7
    0
    2
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    Heracles Almelo Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, with Go Ahead Eagles hosting Heracles Almelo. The match ended in a 4-0 victory.

    Here are the game statistics (Heracles Almelo vs Go Ahead Eagles):

    • possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • corners: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 13 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 6.

    Heracles Almelo are enduring a challenging season in the Eredivisie. They currently sit at the bottom of the table in 18th place, with a record of just 5 wins and 17 losses. Their recent form is concerning, having secured only one win in their last five matches while suffering four defeats. On average, they score 1.29 goals per game, but they concede significantly more-around 2.58 goals per match. Despite their struggles, they often manage to avoid heavy defeats at home, thanks to their resilience.

    Match Results: Heracles Almelo

    Last matches
    24.08.26
    Eerste Divisie
    Jong Utrecht
    Jong Utrecht
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    1.54
    2.45
    2
    7
    10
    15
    0
    1
    1
    6
    0
    5
    1
    1
    1.54
    2.45
    2
    7
    10
    15
    0
    1
    W
    14.08.26
    Eerste Divisie
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    Den Bosch
    Den Bosch
    3.25
    1.05
    11
    6
    13
    9
    0
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    3.25
    1.05
    11
    6
    13
    9
    0
    1
    W
    07.08.26
    Eerste Divisie
    Venlo
    Venlo
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    1.13
    3.82
    5
    5
    13
    14
    1
    2
    3
    4
    0
    2
    3
    2
    1.13
    3.82
    5
    5
    13
    14
    1
    2
    W
    24.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    3
    5
    1
    4
    2
    1
    L
    17.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    Emmen
    Emmen
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
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    PSV Team Overview

    The visitors' last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, where PSV hosted Heerenveen. The game concluded with a 3-1 victory for PSV.

    Here are the match statistics (PSV vs Heerenveen):

    • possession: 66% vs 34%;
    • corners: 9 vs 3;
    • fouls: 8 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 4.

    PSV are clearly setting their sights on the Eredivisie title this season, sitting at the top of the table with an impressive record: 20 wins from 24 matches. In their last five outings, they've secured four victories and suffered just one defeat, showcasing their excellent form. They average nearly three goals per game (2.92) and boast a solid defense, conceding around 1.21 goals per match. PSV dominate on the pitch thanks to their balanced squad and effective tactics, particularly when facing teams from the lower half of the table.

    Match Results: PSV

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Groningen
    Groningen
    3.87
    0.94
    9
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    5
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    3.87
    0.94
    9
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    W
    15.08.26
    eredivisie
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    PSV
    PSV
    0.21
    0.16
    1
    7
    9
    3
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.21
    0.16
    1
    7
    9
    3
    1
    0
    W
    08.08.26
    eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Fortuna Sittard
    Fortuna Sittard
    2.65
    0.71
    10
    0
    9
    6
    1
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2.65
    0.71
    10
    0
    9
    6
    1
    1
    D
    02.08.26
    Johan Cruijff Schaal
    PSV
    PSV
    1
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    -
    -
    6
    3
    10
    9
    3
    2
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    10
    9
    3
    2
    L
    28.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    PSV
    PSV
    Eindhoven
    Eindhoven
    -
    -
    6
    3
    5
    7
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    5
    7
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 36;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 9; number of draws - 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.56;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.36, while the visitors net 1.19.

    First-Half Stats: Heracles Almelo (home) vs PSV (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
    • wins: 3 (27.27%) vs 7 (58.33%);
    • losses: 3 (27.27%) vs 2 (16.67%);
    • draws: 5 (45.45%) vs 3 (25%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.91 vs 1.75;
    • Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 2 vs 3;
    • losses: 5 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.9 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Heracles Almelo have lost the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half PSV Win(odds: 1.58)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 36;
    • home team wins - 1, away team wins - 31, draws - 4.

    Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs PSV

    • matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
    • wins: 5 vs 20;
    • win percentage: 21% vs 83%;
    • losses: 17 vs 2;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 6;
    • losses: 8 vs 3;
    • draws: 0 vs 1.
    Trends
    • PSV won with a -1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: PSV Handicap (-1,5)(odds: 1.67)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.64, the guests - 2.69;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.33;
    • both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs PSV

    • average total in the tournament: 3.88 vs 4.13;
    • average total goals scored: 1.29 vs 2.92;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.63 vs 1.54;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 1.38;
    • Heracles Almelo: average total at home in the tournament -  1.82;
    • PSV: average total away in the tournament - 2.58;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.2) vs 2.2 (away - 1.8).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Heracles Almelo home games (Eredivisie).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 PSV away games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3,5)(odds: 1.99)

    Prediction on corners

    Heracles Almelo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.38; at home field - 4.36;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 4.8.

    PSV: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.42, away - 7;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8; away - 8.2.
    Trends
    • Heracles Almelo have taken under 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Heracles Almelo Total Under (3,5)(odds: 1.7)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 36;
    • both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.

    Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs PSV

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 17;
    • number of BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo at home - 6 (55%);
    • number of BTTS matches for PSV away - 8 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
    • BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for PSV away - 4 (80%).
    Trends
    • PSV have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Eredivisie).
    • PSV have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.58)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/216, 11.6%);
    • Heracles Almelo at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 0:3 , 0:7 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:4 , 2:1 , 3:0 , 4:2 , 8:2 (1/11, 9.1%);
    • PSV away most often play: 1:2 (4/12, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:2 - 9.6% (odds 9.5)
    0:2 - 8.34% (odds 9)
    1:3 - 8.07% (odds 10)

    Trends
    • PSV won 2:1 in 3 of last 4 away games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:2)(odds: 9.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the disparity in class and the current standings, PSV are expected to dominate this match. The league leaders face off against the team sitting at the bottom of the table, and even playing away is unlikely to pose a significant hurdle for the favorites. Head-to-head statistics also favor the visitors-PSV have won by at least a two-goal margin in seven of their last eight Eredivisie encounters. All signs point to a strong likelihood of a PSV win with a -1.5 goal handicap.

    PSV Handicap (-1,5)
    Published: 26/02/2026, 18:24

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    Betting Tips: Heracles Almelo - PSV

    Heracles Almelo have lost:
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in 14 of last 15 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in 8 of last 9 home games against PSV.
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in 7 of last 8 home games against PSV (Eredivisie).
    heracles-almelo-1in 8 of last 9 games (Eredivisie).
    PSV have won:
    psv-eindhoven-2in 16 of last 18 games (Eredivisie).
    PSV Win
    Everygame
    -357
    Heracles Almelo have lost the 1st half:
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in 7 of last 8 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
    1st Half PSV Win
    Bovada
    -159
    Heracles Almelo have lost the 2nd half:
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in last 6 home games against PSV (Eredivisie).
    heracles-almelo-1in 7 of last 8 games (Eredivisie).
    2nd Half PSV Win
    Everygame
    -189
    Heracles Almelo have not won:
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in 35 of last 36 games against PSV.
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in 33 of last 34 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in 17 of last 18 home games against PSV.
    heracles-almelo-1psv-eindhoven-2in 16 of last 17 home games against PSV (Eredivisie).
    heracles-almelo-1in 10 of last 11 games (Eredivisie).
    heracles-almelo-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    PSV have not lost:
    psv-eindhoven-2in 21 of last 23 away games.
    psv-eindhoven-2in 19 of last 20 games (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2in 16 of last 17 away games (Eredivisie).
    PSV will not lose
    Everygame
    -1111
    View more facts

    Heracles - PSV Table position

    Eredivisie 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    PSV
    PSV
    342734101-4584
    2.
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    34198770-4465
    3.
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    341611777-5359
    16.
    Volendam
    Volendam
    34881835-5532
    17.
    NAC Breda
    NAC Breda
    346111735-5829
    18.
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    34542535-8519

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 22
    -6
    +16
    32 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    32
    22
    Conceded
    16
    3.8
    Match goals average
    4.8
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    3.2
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    28'
    View all stats