Heerenveen vs Sparta Prediction 28 February 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match, Heerenveen and Sparta face off, two teams with contrasting playing styles and ambitions. Heerenveen sit mid-table and show inconsistent results, alternating between victories and defeats. Their game is built on an attacking style, often leading to high-scoring matches. Sparta, on the other hand, are more disciplined defensively and hold a 7-point advantage over their opponents due to their ability to maintain focus until the final whistle.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sparta):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 10;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Heerenveen and Sparta:
- played 34 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 10, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 61 against 46;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.12, in the 2nd half - 2.03;
- average total goals in the match - 3.15.
Head-to-head statistics Heerenveen - Sparta

Heerenveen Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, with PSV hosting Heerenveen. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Heerenveen vs PSV):
- possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corners: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 4 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Heerenveen are going through a rough patch, having won only two of their last seven matches. Their attack remains a strong suit, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last ten matches. However, their defense is concerning, conceding 2.1 goals per game in the same period. This high number could hinder their quest for a spot in the Conference League, especially when facing Sparta's organized style of play.
Match Results: Heerenveen

Sparta Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Eredivisie, where they faced AZ Alkmaar away. The match ended with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Sparta vs AZ Alkmaar):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Sparta Rotterdam have displayed consistent form in recent matches, securing six wins in their last ten games, alongside two draws and only two losses. Their strength lies in a balanced play between attack and defense, averaging around 2 goals per game while conceding a relatively low 1.2 goals per match. Although Sparta have distanced themselves from their closest challengers, they can't afford to relax, especially with ambitions to climb higher still intact.
Match Results: Sparta
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 10, draws - 9.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs Sparta
- matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- wins: 8 vs 11;
- win percentage: 33% vs 46%;
- losses: 9 vs 9;
- draws: 7 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.79, the guests - 1.35;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.15;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs Sparta
- average total in the tournament: 3.42 vs 2.96;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.29;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.46;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.83;
- Heerenveen: average total at home in the tournament - 1.83;
- Sparta: average total away in the tournament - 1.42;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2) vs 2 (away - 2.33).
- Heerenveen have scored in 19 of last 21 home games.
- Heerenveen have scored in 18 of last 20 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Heerenveen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 5.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 5.2.
Sparta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.79, away - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; away - 5.67.
- Heerenveen have taken under 5.5 corners in last 7 games.
- Heerenveen have taken under 5.5 corners in last 6 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs Sparta
- number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen at home - 10 (83%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sparta away - 5 (42%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Heerenveen at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Sparta away - 4 (67%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/216, 11.6%);
- Heerenveen at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:1 , 2:2 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Sparta away most often play: 0:1 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.36% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.88% (odds 9)
2:2 - 7.09% (odds 11)