St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction 27 December 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between St. Mirren and Kilmarnock promises to be intriguing. Both teams are in the lower half of the table and are struggling with scoring. St. Mirren are playing at home and are eager to climb the standings, while Kilmarnock are also looking for a positive result on the road. In their last head-to-head encounter, Kilmarnock secured a 2-0 victory, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 04 October 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Kilmarnock were the hosts):
- possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 8 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between St. Mirren and Kilmarnock:
- 44 matches played;
- home victories - 14, away wins - 21, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 54 for St. Mirren, 60 for Kilmarnock;
- average goals in the first half - 1.16, second half - 1.43;
- average total goals per match - 2.59.
Head-to-head statistics St Mirren - Kilmarnock

St. Mirren Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Premier League, with St Mirren hosting Livingston. The match concluded with a 1-0 victory.
Here's the match statistics (St Mirren vs Livingston):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
⚫ St Mirren sit ninth in the table, but they head into this match riding a three-game winning streak. In their last outing, the Saints edged out Livingston 1-0, and prior to that, Steve Robinson's side claimed the Scottish League Cup against Celtic with a 3-1 victory. This marked their first trophy since the 2012/13 season when St Mirren lifted their inaugural League Cup. Their playstyle revolves around moderate attacking activity, averaging 0.94 goals scored per match while conceding the same number. However, this current run of three wins and their long-awaited silverware suggest a potential upswing in form for the team.
Match Results: St. Mirren

Kilmarnock Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Premier League, with Kilmarnock hosting Falkirk. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here are the match statistics (Kilmarnock vs Falkirk):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
🔵 Kilmarnock are currently sitting in eleventh place and are going through a rough patch, with eight defeats in their last ten matches telling the story. This run of form led the management to part ways with Stuart Kettlewell, who had been with the club since May 2025, up until December 15, 2025. Chris Doolan is now serving as the interim head coach. Kilmarnock's average goals scored stand at 0.6 per game, while they concede an average of 2.2, highlighting issues both in attack and defense. Nonetheless, the team has experience playing against stronger opponents and could surprise with their unpredictable attacks.
Match Results: Kilmarnock
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 44;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 21, Draws - 9.
Statistics: St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock
- Matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 18;
- Victories: 4 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 25% vs 11%;
- Losses: 7 vs 10;
- Draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 0;
- Losses: 4 vs 8;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- Kilmarnock cover the +1.5 spread in 13 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 1.23, away team - 1.36;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.59;
- Both teams scored: overall - 23 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock
- Average tournament total: 2.31 vs 2.78;
- Average goals scored: 0.94 vs 0.94;
- Average first-half total: 0.38 vs 0.56;
- Average second-half total: 0.56 vs 0.39;
- St. Mirren: average home total in the tournament - 0.78;
- Kilmarnock: average away total in the tournament - 1.25;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.33) vs 0.6 (away - 0.8).
- St. Mirren concede in 10 consecutive head-to-head matches against these teams.
- St. Mirren concede in 9 consecutive head-to-head matches (Premier League).
- Kilmarnock score in 7 out of their last 8 away matches (Premier League).
Corners Prediction
St. Mirren: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.88; at home - 5.11;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.7; at home - 4.33.
Kilmarnock: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.33, away - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.1; away - 3.8.
- St. Mirren deliver fewer than 7.5 corners at home in 19 consecutive matches.
- St. Mirren deliver fewer than 7.5 corners at home in 17 consecutive matches (Premier League).
- St. Mirren deliver fewer than 7.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- St. Mirren deliver fewer than 7.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches (Premier League).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 44;
- Both teams scored overall - 23 times;
- At the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock
- Total matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 18;
- Total season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 10;
- BTTS for St. Mirren at home - 2 (22%);
- BTTS for Kilmarnock away - 6 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS for St. Mirren at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS for Kilmarnock away - 4 (80%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):
- The most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (13/105, 12.4%);
- St. Mirren's most common home results: 0-1, 1-0 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Kilmarnock's most common away results: 2-2, 3-1 (2/8, 25%).
The algorithm predicts the top three outcomes based on statistics and probability distribution:
1-1 - 11.99% (odds: 6.5)
1-0 - 11.23% (odds: 7)
2-1 - 9.45% (odds: 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their standings, a tough contest with few goals can be anticipated. Both teams share a common weakness: an inconsistent defense that often leads to lapses at the back. Based on this information, it is reasonable to bet on a Kilmarnock goal, given that St. Mirren have conceded in 10 consecutive head-to-head matches, while Kilmarnock have scored in 7 of their last 8 away games.