Benfica vs Gil Vicente Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 29 October 2026
🔊 The most prolific attack in the Primeira Liga will face one of its tightest defences. Benfica have scored 26 goals in nine league matches. Gil Vicente have conceded seven, with only Porto and Santa Clara having let in fewer. But the visitors head to the League Cup quarter-final without a central defender who was sent off on Saturday. Can Luís Pinto's reshuffled backline hold firm in Lisbon?
Head-to-Head
In the most recent meeting between the two sides, Benfica beat Gil Vicente 3-1 in the Primeira Liga.
Benfica have won 14 of their 16 official meetings with Gil Vicente, with Gil Vicente winning the other two. Away from home, Benfica have won all seven matches, and the overall goal difference stands at 40-11 in their favour.
Head-to-head statistics Benfica - Gil Vicente
Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
Benfica beat Santa Clara 2-1 in their last Primeira Liga match, having trailed 0-1 at half-time. Despite winning the shot count 16-13, they managed only three shots on target compared to six from their opponents.
Benfica have won nine of their last ten official matches, including all three in the Europa League. In the Primeira Liga, Marco Silva's side sit second with 22 points. Their only league defeat came against Porto, who have taken a maximum 27 points from 27 and opened up a five-point gap.
Their most recent Primeira Liga match was a difficult one. On Monday in the Azores, Benfica were losing to Santa Clara at half-time, and Silva admitted he told his players they had been nowhere near their level. For the second half, the manager moved Gianluca Prestianni to a different position. Vangelis Pavlidis equalised, and six minutes later Prestianni himself won it 2-1. After the match, Silva warned that the road ahead would be very long and very hard.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon
Gil Vicente Barcelos Team Overview
Gil Vicente lost at home to Porto in their last Primeira Liga match, going down 1-0. The shot count was relatively close at 10-12, but Porto had the better of it in shots on target and expected goals: 4-2 and 1.07 against 0.51.
Gil Vicente sit seventh with 14 points and have been solid defensively, keeping clean sheets in four of their nine Primeira Liga matches. Going into the Porto game, Pinto's side had won three in a row, including away at Braga, who had been leading at half-time. "The team are in good shape, motivated and happy with the results," the manager said at the time.
Porto ended that run on Saturday, with a single powerful strike from Borja Sainz proving enough for the leaders. Late on, Gil Vicente were also reduced to ten men when centre-back Marvin Elimbi was shown a red card. Pinto sees cup competitions as a chance to make a statement, but in Lisbon he will have to rebuild his defensive unit.
Match Results: Gil Vicente Barcelos
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 6; for the visitors (away) - 2; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.44;
- Today's home team averages 1.06 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.38.
- Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games.
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 2, draws - 0.
- Benfica Lisbon have won in last 9 games against Gil Vicente Barcelos.
- Benfica Lisbon have won in last 5 home games against Gil Vicente Barcelos.
- Benfica Lisbon have won in 12 of last 13 games.
- Benfica Lisbon have won in last 5 home games.
Total Goals Prediction
Benfica have scored at least two goals in each of their last 14 consecutive home matches. Against Gil Vicente, the same applies across their last nine head-to-head meetings in a row. Silva's side have scored fewer than two only once in their last ten matches, away at Porto. We're expecting the hosts to score at least a couple here. The bet is Benfica Team Total - Over 1.5.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Referees have shown at least five yellow cards in eight of Benfica's last ten official matches. The most recent example was the game against Santa Clara, which produced nine bookings. Over that same run, Benfica's players collected 30 yellows and their opponents 24. Gil Vicente's players have picked up 20 yellows of their own, with their opponents also receiving 20, and five or more cards were shown in half of their matches. We're expecting five or more yellows here. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 4.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
- Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games against Gil Vicente Barcelos.
- Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
Correct Score Prediction
The three most likely scorelines in this match are 1-0 (10.93%), 2-1 (10.82%) and 2-0 (10.47%). All three are close in probability, with 1-0 holding a marginal edge.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Gil Vicente rarely lose heavily: Pinto's side have lost by more than one goal just once in their last ten matches. Even league leaders Porto needed only a single goal to beat them on Saturday away from home. The fixture schedule also works in the visitors' favour: this is Benfica's third match in eight days, with Polish side Lech coming up in the Europa League on 5 November. We expect the hosts to progress to the semi-final, but Gil Vicente will lose by just one goal. Our pick is Gil Vicente - Handicap +1.5.
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Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Gil Vicente Barcelos
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