St Mirren vs Dundee Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 September 2025
🔊 In the sixth round of the Scottish Premiership, St Mirren host Dundee. The home side enter the match in solid form, sitting in 5th place, unbeaten in their last four games, having secured their first win of the season in the previous round, and advancing to the semi-finals of the Scottish League Cup. Dundee, currently in 6th, also notched their first league victory last round. In the last two head-to-head encounters of last season, Dundee came out on top, but with home advantage, St Mirren have a chance to break that streak. Expect a tight and competitive match with a slight edge for the hosts and low scoring.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 05 April 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Dundee were the home side):
- possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corners: 4 vs 10;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between St Mirren and Dundee:
- 31 matches played;
- home wins - 15, away wins - 11, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 44 each;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.16, in the 2nd half - 1.68;
- average total goals per match - 2.84.
Head-to-head statistics St Mirren - Dundee
St. Mirren Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Scottish League Cup quarter-finals, with Kilmarnock hosting St Mirren. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match stats (St Mirren vs Kilmarnock):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 10 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
⚪ On September 13, in the fifth round of the Scottish Championship, St. Mirren secured an away victory against Falkirk with a 2-0 scoreline. This win marked the team's first victory of the new season after an opening loss and three consecutive draws, allowing them to solidify their position in the upper part of the table. Currently, St. Mirren sit in 5th place in the Premiership.
⚫ In addition to their league campaign, the club has also been successful in the Scottish League Cup. In the quarterfinals, St. Mirren faced Kilmarnock; the match ended in a 2-2 draw in regular time, but they triumphed in the penalty shootout with a 5-3 score, securing a spot in the semifinals. St. Mirren will now compete against Motherwell for a place in the final.
Match Results: St. Mirren
Dundee Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Premier League, with Dundee hosting Livingston. The game concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Dundee vs Livingston):
- possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
🔵 Dundee secured their first Scottish Premiership victory at home, edging past Livingston with a 3-2 win. With just seven minutes left on the clock, the team nearly let the lead slip away, but they showed resilience by converting a penalty in the 97th minute to seal the result.
⚪ After five rounds, Dundee sit in 6th place on the table with a record of 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, and a negative goal difference of 6:8. However, their recent success has improved their standing and restored some confidence following the initial rounds.
Match Results: Dundee
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Number of encounters - 31;
- Home wins - 15, Away wins - 11, Draws - 5.
Statistics: St Mirren vs Dundee
- Matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 6;
- Wins: 1 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 20% vs 17%;
- Losses: 1 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 3;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
- Dundee cover a +1.5 handicap in 14 of their last 15 matches.
- Dundee cover a +1.5 handicap in 10 of their last 11 matches (Premier League).
- Dundee cover a +1.5 handicap in 7 consecutive away matches.
- Dundee cover a +1.5 handicap in 5 consecutive away matches (Premier League).
Total Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 1.42, away team - 1.42;
- Average total goals in head-to-head - 2.84;
- Both teams scored: overall - 18 times; at home ground - 10 times.
Statistics: St Mirren vs Dundee
- Tournament average total: 1.6 vs 2.33;
- Average goals scored: 0.8 vs 1;
- First-half average total: 0.2 vs 0.33;
- Second-half average total: 0.6 vs 0.67;
- St Mirren's home average total in the tournament - 0.5;
- Dundee's away average total in the tournament - 0.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.4) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- St Mirren concede in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Corners Prediction
St Mirren: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 4.6; at home - 6.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 4.2.
Dundee: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 3.83, away - 3.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.4; away - 6.25.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head - 2.38 (1.19 for home and 1.19 for away);
- Average yellow cards at home ground - 1.94 (1.06 for home and 0.88 for away).
St Mirren: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 2.4; at home - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 3.
Dundee: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 1.5, away - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.1; away - 1.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 31;
- Both teams scored overall - 18 times;
- At the home ground - 10 times.
Statistics: St Mirren vs Dundee
- Tournament matches played: 5 vs 6;
- Matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): 3 vs 4;
- BTTS for St Mirren at home - 1 (50%);
- BTTS for Dundee away - 1 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 8 vs 5;
- BTTS for St Mirren at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS for Dundee away - 2 (50%).
- St Mirren score and concede in five consecutive matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
St Mirren are in good form heading into this match, having gone unbeaten in four consecutive rounds and performing well in the Scottish League Cup. Dundee have also secured their first win of the season and sit in 6th place, though their negative goal difference highlights some inconsistency in their results.
Considering Dundee's current form and their first win of the season, they approach the match against St Mirren with a positive mindset and readiness to challenge away from home. However, the hosts maintain a slight edge due to their more consistent play and home advantage. Our prediction: both teams to score (yes). This takes into account the attacking potential of both sides, along with key statistics showing that St Mirren have both scored and conceded in five consecutive matches. A likely outcome is a 2-1 victory for the hosts.
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Betting Tips: St. Mirren - Dundee
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