Monaco vs Freiburg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 October 2026
๐ Monaco and Freiburg suffered their first defeats of the season on the same day. On Sunday, Filipe Luรญs's side conceded a single penalty goal away at Lorient, while the Germans lost at Leverkusen despite leading. "We need to turn the page very quickly," Monaco midfielder Lamine Camarร said after the match. Who will manage it on Thursday?
๐ We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before kick-off so you don't miss any important changes.
Head-to-Head
๐ These two clubs have never met in an official match. That said, German sides have visited the Cรดte d'Azur before, and with success. Last autumn in the Europa League, Freiburg fell behind first but hit back three times before half-time to beat Nice 3-1. Meanwhile, Monaco could field German forward Paris Brunner against his compatriots. In the opening round of the Conference League, he scored against CSKA in Sofia and provided an assist for Ansu Fati.
Monaco: Unbeaten Run Continues Against Sluggish Lorient
Until Sunday, Monaco had gone nine consecutive official matches without defeat and were the last club in Ligue 1 yet to lose. The standout result in that run was a trip to Paris, where Filipe Luรญs's side got the better of PSG 2-1. Monaco currently sit fifth in the table with 14 points, with leaders Lyon ahead only on goal difference.
Lorient ended that run, and Luรญs was critical of his players after the match, pointing to their sluggishness. "In the first half the ball moved too slowly," the manager admitted. "It's very hard to attack space against a low block." There is another concern: Monaco have conceded in the second half in five consecutive matches. Toulouse, for instance, were two goals down at half-time but left with a point.
Match Results: Monaco
Freiburg: Europa League finalists and a week at the top
Freiburg came into the Conference League as finalists from the previous Europa League, and had already gone top of the Bundesliga in the new season. The lead came courtesy of a win over Schalke (2:1) achieved with ten men: the team played more than 20 minutes without the sent-off Yuito Suzuki, and late on Keisuke Goto headed in a cross.
The top spot lasted a week. At Leverkusen, Freiburg took the lead through a Derry Scherhant goal, but Bayer responded twice. "Both goals we conceded were far too easy," said manager Julian Schuster. Three days earlier in the Conference League it had been much the same: Jablonec managed only two shots on target, and both went in, though the Germans still held on for the win. In the Bundesliga, Freiburg now have 13 points and sit third, one point behind Bayern and Dortmund.
Match Results: Freiburg
Latest news
Monaco
โ Defender Eric Dier is a doubt as he recovers from a thigh injury, and Stanis Idumbo has a hip flexor problem - both missed the match at Lorient.
Freiburg
โ Yuito Suzuki has served his suspension following a red card against Schalke and is now eligible to return to the squad in Leverkusen.
Probable Lineups
๐ Monaco likely starting XI: Hradecky - Vanderson, Sane, Salisu, Nazinho - Camara, Zakaria - Brunner, Golovin, Fati - Abline.
๐ Freiburg likely starting XI: Backhaus - Treu, Ginter, Lienhart, Makengo - Eggestein, Engelhardt - Beste, Scherhant - Suzuki, Matanovic.
Total Goals Prediction
Monaco have scored at least two goals in 11 of their last 12 home matches. Among this season's visiting sides, Marseille, Lens and Toulouse have each conceded that many, while Gรณrnik Zabrze conceded twice as many. Freiburg, meanwhile, have kept a clean sheet in just one of their last 10 away matches. We're expecting Monaco to score at least two. The bet is Monaco Team Total - Over 1.5.
Corners Prediction
Fewer than 11 corners were taken in 11 of Freiburg's last 12 away matches. Across their last 10 official matches, the Germans have recorded 60 corners to their opponents' 28. Monaco's picture is the reverse: 36 corners of their own against 58 for their opponents. Even in Leverkusen, the two sides managed just seven between them. We are not expecting 11 corners here. The pick is Total Corners - Under 10.5.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Freiburg received more than two yellow cards in just one of their last 10 official matches - against Paderborn. Schuster's players have accumulated 13 bookings over that period, while their opponents Monaco have picked up 17 in the same span. We're expecting no more than two from the visitors. The bet is Freiburg Team Total Bookings - Under 2.5.
๐ Editorial Prediction
Freiburg have scored in 15 of their last 16 matches. Julian Schuster's side keep clean sheets rarely, conceding in 18 of their last 20. In 6 of their last 7 away matches, both teams have scored. Monaco, meanwhile, have found the net in 10 of their last 11 matches. Their only recent slip was Sunday's defeat at Lorient, and we don't expect a second consecutive blank against this defence. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-2.
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Betting Tips: Monaco - Freiburg
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