Puebla vs Guadalajara Prediction 27 September 2025
📢 Puebla and Guadalajara are set to clash in the Mexican football championship. Both teams find themselves at opposite ends of the Liga MX standings, adding an intriguing twist to the match. Puebla sit at the bottom and are desperately in need of points to improve their standing. Meanwhile, Guadalajara aim to solidify their position in mid-table. How will their encounter unfold? Check out our prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place in April and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Guadalajara as the home side):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 7 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Puebla and Guadalajara:
- 42 matches played;
- home team victories - 14, away team wins - 15, draws - 13;
- goals scored - 53 for Puebla, 59 for Guadalajara;
- average total in the first half - 1.33, second half - 1.33;
- average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Puebla - Guadalajara
Puebla Team Overview
The most recent official match took place in the Liga MX, with Puebla hosting Pachuca. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Puebla vs Pachuca):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
Puebla are facing significant challenges, currently sitting at the bottom of the league standings with disappointing performances. Over their last ten matches, they have managed just one victory, suffered seven defeats, and drawn twice. Their attacking potential is notably low, averaging only 0.8 goals per game, while their defense concedes an average of 2.3 goals.
Match Results: Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Guadalajara hosting Necaxa. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Guadalajara vs Necaxa):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Guadalajara have shown inconsistent form, securing four wins in their last ten matches while suffering four losses and drawing twice. They display decent attacking prowess, averaging 1.4 goals per game. However, their defense is prone to errors, conceding approximately 1.6 goals per match. The team favors an attacking style of play and aims to control the game's tempo through ball possession.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 42;
- First-half victories at home - 9; away - 8; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.33;
- Today's hosts average 0.64 goals, while the visitors average 0.69.
First-Half Statistics: Puebla (home) vs Guadalajara (away)
- Tournament matches played: 5 vs 4;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 3 (60%) vs 2 (50%);
- Draws: 2 (40%) vs 2 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1.4 vs 0.5;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 0 vs 2;
- Losses: 7 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 1.1) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8).
- Puebla have lost the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches (Liga MX).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- number of encounters - 42;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 15, draws - 13.
Statistics: Puebla vs Guadalajara
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 1 vs 3;
- win percentage: 10% vs 30%;
- losses: 7 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 1 vs 4;
- losses: 7 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Puebla cover a +1.5 spread in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head clashes against Guadalajara (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- average goals scored by today's home side - 1.26, away side - 1.4;
- average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 24 times; at the home ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Puebla vs Guadalajara
- average total in the tournament: 3.3 vs 3.1;
- average goals scored: 0.9 vs 1.4;
- average first-half total: 0.2 vs 0.5;
- average second-half total: 0.7 vs 0.9;
- Puebla: average home total in the tournament - 1.4;
- Guadalajara: average away total in the tournament - 1.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1.33) vs 1.4 (away - 1.75).
- Puebla score less than 1.5 goals at home in their last 8 head-to-head matches against Guadalajara (Liga MX).
- Puebla score less than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings with Guadalajara (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Puebla: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.6; at home - 4.2;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.1; at home - 3.67.
Guadalajara: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 6.4, away - 7;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.8; away - 6.5.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.86 (1.93 for home side and 1.93 for away side);
- average total yellow cards at home ground - 3.65 (2.04 for home side and 1.61 for away side).
Puebla: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 2.4; at home - 2.6;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 2.67.
Guadalajara: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 2.3, away - 1.75;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 2.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- number of encounters - 42;
- both teams scored overall - 24 times;
- at the home ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Puebla vs Guadalajara
- number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
- Puebla's BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Guadalajara's BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 Matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- Puebla's BTTS at home - 2 (67%);
- Guadalajara's BTTS away - 3 (75%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on the current form of the teams and Puebla's trend of low-scoring home games, it's reasonable to suggest that the hosts will opt for a defensive strategy against Guadalajara. Despite their attacking style, Guadalajara struggle on the road. Therefore, a bet on double chance for Puebla seems quite plausible.
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Betting Tips: Puebla - Guadalajara Chivas
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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