Lokomotiv vs Rubin Kazan Prediction 27 September 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Lokomotiv extend their unbeaten run in the Russian Premier League? Unfortunately, it only secures them fourth place. They've dropped too many points due to draws. Recently, Rubin have also been underwhelming, although they trail the "Railwaymen" by just two points. This gap can be closed in one swift move. However, the Kazan side struggles on the road, and bookmakers' odds peg them as underdogs in the upcoming clash at Moscow's "RZD Arena".

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the span of 42 head-to-head encounters, Lokomotiv hold the upper hand with a 43 percent win rate. Last season, they barely scraped a home victory (1-0), with Artem Timofeev scoring the decisive goal in the 89th minute-his only goal of that campaign. This season, the midfielder has made just one appearance, and that was in the Russian Cup. In Kazan, Rubin emerged victorious (1-0).

    Last season, neither match saw a goal in the first half. In fact, 6 out of the last 7 meetings ended without a first-half winner. Therefore, it's worth considering the option of a draw in the 1st half.

    Head-to-head statistics Lokomotiv - Rubin Kazan

    43%
    19 Wins
    32%
    14 Draws
    25%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    44
    Total Goals Avg
    1.86
    Both teams scored
    30%
    1
    Total average
    0.86
    2.2
    Yellow cards
    2.11
    Last matches
    18.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    18.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    15.03.26
    RPL
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    1
    1.22
    0.45
    4
    4
    13
    21
    1
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.22
    0.45
    4
    4
    13
    21
    1
    4
    27.09.25
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    0.78
    0.31
    4
    6
    18
    14
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.78
    0.31
    4
    6
    18
    14
    3
    1
    12.04.25
    RPL
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    0.97
    0.83
    10
    4
    13
    16
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.97
    0.83
    10
    4
    13
    16
    1
    3
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    Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview

    Lokomotiv kicked off their RPL campaign with four straight wins, surging to the top of the standings. However, their momentum didn't last. The next five matches all ended in draws. Despite this, the "Railroaders" have suffered just one defeat this season-a 2-1 loss to CSKA in the Russian Cup.

    There have been instances where Lokomotiv staged comebacks late in games, but more often than not, they conceded in the dying minutes. Their clash with Dynamo Makhachkala in the last round was no exception. Zelimkhan Bakaev had the chance to be the hero, putting his team ahead early in the second half. But just 11 minutes later, he left them a man down. Even at full strength, they frequently dropped points, and being a man short only compounded their struggles. Ultimately, the "Red-Greens" couldn't hold out, conceding in the fifth minute of stoppage time. Although this was preceded by a controversial free-kick awarded by the referee, the trend remains undeniable.

    Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow

    Last matches
    01.09.26
    Russian Cup
    Akron Tolyatti
    Akron Tolyatti
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    -
    -
    8
    5
    17
    15
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    8
    5
    17
    15
    1
    4
    L
    29.08.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    0.35
    1.84
    1
    2
    13
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.35
    1.84
    1
    2
    13
    13
    3
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    RPL
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    1.84
    1.37
    5
    1
    14
    13
    2
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.84
    1.37
    5
    1
    14
    13
    2
    1
    L
    18.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14
    12
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14
    12
    1
    3
    L
    14.08.26
    RPL
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    2.60
    0.33
    6
    2
    12
    18
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.60
    0.33
    6
    2
    12
    18
    2
    1
    D
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    Rubin Kazan Team Overview

    Rubin remain unbeaten in their last three RPL matches, yet they've only managed to collect five points. Given that all their opponents were positioned lower in the standings, this result can be deemed unsatisfactory. Even at home, the Kazan side struggled to edge past Dynamo Makhachkala, securing a narrow win with a penalty goal.

    Their last two away games ended with identical 2-2 scorelines, though they unfolded quite differently. Against Orenburg, Rashid Rakhimov's men led by two goals but squandered their advantage after the break. Conversely, last week they found themselves trailing by two goals against Akron, but Mirlin Daku and newcomer Jacques Siwe leveled the score. In the dying moments, Rubin missed an opportunity to snatch a victory.

    Match Results: Rubin Kazan

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    RPL
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    0.64
    1.38
    2
    5
    10
    13
    4
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    0.64
    1.38
    2
    5
    10
    13
    4
    3
    W
    24.08.26
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    1.12
    0.65
    6
    3
    12
    10
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.12
    0.65
    6
    3
    12
    10
    0
    1
    D
    19.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    -
    -
    4
    4
    11
    14
    5
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    5
    3
    -
    -
    4
    4
    11
    14
    5
    2
    W
    15.08.26
    RPL
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    0.68
    1.27
    5
    3
    14
    11
    3
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    1.27
    5
    3
    14
    11
    3
    0
    D
    09.08.26
    RPL
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    0.39
    0.71
    7
    1
    13
    14
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.39
    0.71
    7
    1
    13
    14
    2
    1
    D
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    Latest news

    Lokomotiv Moscow

    🎙 Lokomotiv's head coach Mikhail Galaktionov expressed his dissatisfaction with the officiating, though he admitted he had no complaints about his players: "It's definitely two points lost. In terms of quality and content-considering the tough pitch-there's nothing to criticize the team for... The guys fought hard, played with heart and soul, and even when down a man, they remained organized in defense and handled all the long balls."

    ❌ In the upcoming match, Sergei Pinyaev will be sidelined due to injury, and Zelimkhan Bakaev will miss out following a suspension for two yellow cards.

    Rubin Kazan

    🎙 Rashid Rakhimov is pleased with the character his team showed against Akron: "It's a mixed feeling, really. We had the chance to take all three points, but in football, nothing is guaranteed. You can outplay your opponent significantly, yet still not win. Efficiency is key here, and our opponents had it in spades. Still, there are plenty of positives to take from this game."

    📝 The transfer window may be closed, but signing free agents is still on the table. Rubin have added Anton Shvets to their ranks, and he's already made his debut for the club. Additionally, Daler Kuzyaev is expected to join soon, as he couldn't secure a move in Europe.

    ❌ Denil Maldonado remains sidelined in Rubin's injury list. Despite being their sole new signing for a while, he has yet to make his debut for the club.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    This season, Lokomotiv have been picking up more yellow cards on average (3.2 compared to 2.2). Meanwhile, their opponents typically receive only two cautions per game, aligning closely with Rubin's stats. Looking at the head-to-head encounters from last season, the "Railroaders" were penalized more frequently in each matchup. Thus, it's reasonable to go with the option that the hosts won't lose in yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    We've noted that Lokomotiv have been conceding late goals frequently of late. It's not that their performance drops significantly after the break. Their fitness levels are solid, and their bench depth is something most RPL clubs would envy. Yet, the "Red-Greens" have let in goals in the second half in 7 of their last 8 RPL matches. Therefore, it's worth considering a bet on a Rubin goal in the 2nd half.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Rubin take more corners on average in the league (4.8 compared to 3.7). In matches involving these teams, there are typically just over eight corners on average. If the upcoming match doesn't see an early goal, the ball is likely to spend most of its time in midfield or on Rubin's half, away from the penalty area. In this scenario, opting for under 9.5 total corners seems a prudent choice.

    Editor's Prediction

    Lokomotiv have drawn five consecutive matches, and it's hard to imagine this outcome repeating a sixth time. However, neither side has a significant edge in the upcoming clash, suggesting another draw or a narrow Lokomotiv victory, perhaps with a scoreline of 2-1.

    When both teams feature the league's top scorers, goals are certainly on the agenda. Alexey Batrakov and Mirlind Daku have each netted eight times this season and could boost their tally in this encounter. Lokomotiv have scored in every RPL match but have only kept a clean sheet against Sochi. Meanwhile, Rubin have found the net in every away game, with their only failure to concede coming against Akhmat in the opening round, where Grozny had plenty of chances, making it quite fortunate for Kazan not to concede. Therefore, our key bet is both teams to score (yes).

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 26/09/2025, 06:12

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    Betting Tips: Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan

    Lokomotiv Moscow have drawn in the 1st half:
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowfc-rubin-kazanin 6 of last 7 games against Rubin Kazan.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowfc-rubin-kazanin last 5 home games against Rubin Kazan (Premier League).
    1st Half Draw
    +124
    Lokomotiv Moscow have drawn:
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 5 games (Premier League).
    Rubin Kazan have drawn:
    fc-rubin-kazanin last 3 away games.
    Draw
    +278
    Lokomotiv Moscow have not lost:
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowfc-rubin-kazanin 18 of last 19 home games against Rubin Kazan.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowfc-rubin-kazanin 17 of last 18 games against Rubin Kazan.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowfc-rubin-kazanin 15 of last 16 home games against Rubin Kazan (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowfc-rubin-kazanin 13 of last 14 games against Rubin Kazan (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin 16 of last 17 games.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 15 games (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin 13 of last 14 home games.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 10 home games (Premier League).
    Rubin Kazan have not won:
    fc-rubin-kazanin 13 of last 14 away games.
    fc-rubin-kazanin 9 of last 10 away games (Premier League).
    Lokomotiv Moscow will not lose
    -357
    Rubin Kazan have scored under 1.5 goals:
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowfc-rubin-kazanin 20 of last 21 away games against Lokomotiv Moscow.
    Rubin Kazan Total goals Under (1,5)
    -256
    View more facts

    Lokomotiv - Rubin Kazan Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    30206460-2366
    3.
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    301411554-3953
    4.
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    30157847-3952
    7.
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    30129951-4045
    8.
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    301110929-3043
    9.
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    309101135-3937

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    0 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    7 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 7
    Conceded - 13
    -6
    -5
    13 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    0
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    4
    7
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    7
    Scored
    13
    13
    Conceded
    18
    2
    Match goals average
    3.1
    0.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    9
    133'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats