Atlas vs Necaxa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 September 2025
📢 The clash between Atlas and Necaxa promises to be thrilling, given their current form and standings in Liga MX. Both teams face challenges in the league, yet each is eager to improve their position. How will their encounter end? Find out in the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place in February, ending in a 0-4 result. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Atlas were the home side):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
📊Statistical Preview of Official Encounters Between Atlas and Necaxa:
- 36 matches played;
- home victories - 14, away wins - 12, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 50 for Atlas, 40 for Necaxa;
- average total in the first half - 1.14, in the second half - 1.36;
- average total goals per match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Atlas - Necaxa
Atlas Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring Tigres as the home side and Atlas as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Atlas vs Tigres):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
Atlas are experiencing a crisis, having gone 12 matches without a win. In their last five games, the team have suffered three defeats and secured two draws. Despite this, Atlas show consistency in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per home game. Following a crushing 4-0 defeat to Necaxa in their most recent head-to-head, Atlas need a redemption. It's crucial for the team to focus on their defense and strive to improve their results as soon as possible.
Match Results: Atlas
Necaxa Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Guadalajara as the home team and Necaxa as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Necaxa vs Guadalajara):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Necaxa are also struggling, with just one win in their last five matches, suffering three defeats and drawing once. Known for their counter-attacking style, Necaxa's scoring remains low, averaging just 0.9 goals per game. Despite their nickname "Rayos" evoking past successes, the club are currently striving to reclaim their lost standing in the Mexican league. Even though they secured a convincing 4-0 victory over Atlas at the start of the season, Necaxa's current form is far from impressive.
Match Results: Necaxa
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- First-half wins at home - 5; away - 6; draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.14;
- Today's home team averages 0.72 goals, while the visitors average 0.42.
First-half Statistics: Atlas (home) vs Necaxa (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 5;
- Wins: 2 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 1 (25%) vs 4 (80%);
- Draws: 1 (25%) vs 1 (20%);
- Average goals scored: 2.5 vs 1.6;
- Average goals conceded: 1.25 vs 1.4.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 1;
- Losses: 4 vs 6;
- Draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 1) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 1.3).
- Necaxa have conceded in the first half in 6 of their last 7 away games.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- Home victories - 14, Away victories - 12, Draws - 10.
Statistics: Atlas vs Necaxa
- Matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- Wins: 1 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 10% vs 20%;
- Losses: 5 vs 5;
- Draws: 4 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 0 vs 2;
- Losses: 7 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- Atlas have covered a +1.5 spread at home in 16 of the last 18 head-to-head meetings.
- Atlas have covered a +1.5 spread at home in 15 of the last 17 head-to-head meetings (Liga MX).
- Atlas have covered a +1.5 spread in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Current home team average goals - 1.39, visitors - 1.11;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.5;
- Both teams scored: overall - 19 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Atlas vs Necaxa
- Average total in the tournament: 3.9 vs 2.6;
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 0.9;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 vs 0.5;
- Average second-half total: 0.7 vs 0.4;
- Atlas: average home total in the tournament - 1.75;
- Necaxa: average away total in the tournament - 0.6;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.33) vs 1 (away - 0.83).
- Atlas score less than 1.5 goals at home in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings.
- Atlas score less than 1.5 goals at home in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Atlas: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.7; at home - 4.25;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.9; at home - 4.33.
Necaxa: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.4, away - 4.2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.3; away - 4.17.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.06 (1.03 for the home team and 1.03 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 2.77 (0.94 for the home team and 1.83 for the visitors).
Atlas: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.5; at home - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; at home - 2.67.
Necaxa: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.4, away - 2.2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2; away - 1.83.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- Both teams have scored overall - 19 times;
- At the home team's ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Atlas vs Necaxa
- Total matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- Total season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 7 vs 6;
- BTTS for Atlas at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS for Necaxa away - 3 (60%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS for Atlas at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS for Necaxa away - 4 (67%).
- Atlas score and concede at home in 8 of their last 9 matches (Liga MX).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams find themselves in a challenging situation and are eager to improve their standings in Liga MX by securing points in every match. Considering the attacking struggles and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides, particularly Atlas, a scenario where both teams find the net seems likely. Therefore, betting on both teams to score appears justified, taking into account the teams' home and away performance trends.
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Betting Tips: Atlas - Necaxa
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