Stoke City vs Hull City Prediction 25 August 2026
🔊 EFL Cup, Stoke City vs Hull City. The two sides come into this match in very different form. Stoke have struggled in recent weeks, winning just one of their last five matches and looking shaky defensively. Hull, by contrast, arrive on an unbeaten run, having picked up momentum both in terms of results and goals conceded. The gap in form and freshness between the two sides is the defining storyline heading into this one.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between the sides took place on 01 January 2026 and ended 0-1. Here are the key stats from that match (Hull City were the home side):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 6 vs 6;
- Fouls: 13 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 6.
📊 Stoke City and Hull City have met 31 times in official competition. Stoke have won 16 of those matches, Hull eight, with seven draws. Stoke have scored 44 goals across those meetings, Hull 28. On average, one goal is scored in the first half and 1.32 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.32 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Stoke City - Hull City

Stoke City Team Overview
Stoke City are in the middle of a prolonged slump. They have lost four of their last five matches, with just one win in that run. Over their last ten games, they have managed only two wins against seven defeats, which points to serious problems picking up points. They are averaging just 0.9 goals scored per game over that stretch, while conceding 1.8 - figures that reflect both a leaky defence and a lack of attacking output over the long run. A decline across all areas of the pitch is affecting the team's confidence and makes it hard to expect them to dominate even at home.
Stoke beat Oldham in the previous round (2-0) to reach this stage of the competition. In the Championship, however, they lost both of their opening fixtures - to Swansea (1-2) and Southampton (1-3).
Match Results: Stoke City

Hull City Team Overview
Hull City arrive in fine form, having won four and drawn one of their last five matches without a single defeat. Over the previous ten games, they recorded four wins, four draws and two losses - a record that speaks to their consistency. The team's numbers are well-balanced: they average 1.2 goals scored per match and concede just 0.8, a defensive solidity that helps them limit risk even against more attack-minded opponents. That reliability at the back, combined with their recent run of results, gives the squad confidence heading into an away fixture.
As a Premier League side, Hull are only just beginning their cup run. Their league season got off to a remarkable start with a 2-0 home win over Manchester United.
Match Results: Hull City
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average totals):
- home team - 1.42, away team - 0.9;
- combined in head-to-head matches - 2.32;
- both teams scored: all time - 15 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
- Stoke City have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Match Result Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 31;
- home wins - 16, away wins - 8, draws - 7.
- Stoke City have failed to win in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Hull City are unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Looking at where both sides are right now, the contrast is clear: Stoke City have been struggling to create chances, their defence has been unreliable, and they have not been able to string results together for several weeks; Hull City, meanwhile, have been picking up points consistently, built on a solid defensive base and better finishing. Even though Stoke edged the earlier meeting between these two 1-0, current form points in Hull's favour. The pick here is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 0-1.