Tot. score:
1:0
Benfica Lisbon
1
:
0
Ended
Fenerbahce Istanbul
1st meeting
Fenerbahce Istanbul
0:0
Benfica Lisbon

Benfica vs Fenerbahce Prediction 27 August 2025

Details
Key points

    🔊 Can José Mourinho guide Fenerbahçe back to the Champions League for the first time since the 2008/09 season? The first leg in Istanbul left both clubs uncertain about advancing to the group stage of Europe's premier club competition. For Benfica, a draw could be seen as a positive result, especially after being reduced to ten men. However, Mourinho's teams are known for their ability to play on the counter, making it challenging for Benfica to break down the Portuguese tactician's defense, even in Lisbon. How will the "Eagles" perform with a full squad from the first whistle at home, and how effectively will the Turks unleash their counterattacks? We'll delve into these questions and more in our editorial's insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The upcoming clash marks the 6th official encounter in the history of these two clubs. They first met in the Europa League semi-finals during the 2012/13 season, where the Portuguese side advanced (3-2 on aggregate). In the 2018/19 Champions League qualifiers, Benfica came out on top (0-0 in Istanbul and 1-1 in Lisbon). The current scenario is unfolding similarly, with the first leg at “Şükrü Saracoğlu” ending in a goalless draw (0-0).

    Head-to-head statistics Benfica - Fenerbahce

    50%
    3 Wins
    33%
    2 Draws
    17%
    1 Win
    Total games
    6
    Avg. total goals
    1.5
    Both teams scored
    33%
    1
    Average total
    0.5
    3.17
    Yellow cards
    2.83
    Last matches
    27.08.25
    UCL
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    1
    1.35
    0.36
    4
    1
    11
    20
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.35
    0.36
    4
    1
    11
    20
    2
    3
    20.08.25
    UCL
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    0.36
    0.34
    4
    4
    16
    18
    3
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.36
    0.34
    4
    4
    16
    18
    3
    4
    14.08.18
    UCLQ
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    Benfica
    Benfica
    -
    -
    -
    -
    14
    20
    -
    -
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    14
    20
    -
    -
    07.08.18
    UCLQ
    Benfica
    Benfica
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    15
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    15
    -
    -
    02.05.13
    UEL
    Benfica
    Benfica
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    Empty
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    Benfica Lisbon Team Overview

    🔴 As expected, the Portuguese took control of the ball right from the start. By the 2nd minute, after a neat three-touch combination, the ball reached newcomer Richard Rios, who took a low shot from outside the box-Fener's goalkeeper managed to save it. In the first half, Benfica's midfielder Akturkoglu also stood out with a dangerous strike-a powerful 30-meter shot that was heading under the crossbar but was parried and turned into a corner. Overall, Benfica can claim the first half in terms of possession (57% to 43%), but they had very few touches inside the opponent's penalty area-just seven.

    ⚪ In the 70th minute of the second half, midfielder Florentino of the "Eagles" received a second yellow card, which forced his team to finish the match in a low block. Bruno Lage's players successfully managed this and kept a clean sheet. Their streak without conceding continued into Saturday's second round of the Primeira Liga against Tondela, where the Lisbon side won 3-0-bringing their current run to six matches.

    🔝 Given how the match unfolded for Benfica, their defensive line was predictably prominent. One of the best performers was their seasoned captain, 37-year-old Nicolas Otamendi, who dominated in aerial duels and didn't lose out in speed over short distances against the Turks' rapid attack. However, Ukrainian goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin was particularly impressive. Despite a slip-up after Talisca's powerful shot-where he only managed to deflect the ball onto the crossbar instead of out for a corner-Trubin made six saves out of six attempts, earning him the man of the match honors.

    Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Liga Portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    2.07
    1.07
    3
    3
    17
    12
    3
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    2.07
    1.07
    3
    3
    17
    12
    3
    4
    L
    16.09.26
    UEL
    Milan
    Milan
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.3
    0.87
    10
    1
    14
    12
    1
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.3
    0.87
    10
    1
    14
    12
    1
    5
    W
    13.09.26
    liga portugal
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    2.89
    0.93
    14
    0
    11
    18
    2
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.89
    0.93
    14
    0
    11
    18
    2
    3
    W
    09.09.26
    liga portugal
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.4
    3.1
    3
    7
    17
    10
    4
    2
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.4
    3.1
    3
    7
    17
    10
    4
    2
    W
    05.09.26
    liga portugal
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.17
    1.37
    3
    5
    22
    16
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.17
    1.37
    3
    5
    22
    16
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Fenerbahce Istanbul Team Overview

    🟡 Fenerbahce, under Jose Mourinho, played to their strengths by conceding possession to the opponent in the first half and relying on counterattacks. The strategy met with mixed results: the first real threat came only at the end of the first half when one of the three central defenders, Jayden Oosterwolde, unleashed a powerful shot from outside the box. Despite ceding territorial advantage, the Turkish side were not entirely outplayed and held 43% possession before halftime. They created as many opportunities from quick attacks as the Portuguese side did, managing four shots towards goal with three on target compared to Benfica's five and two.

    🔵 In the second half, the "Canaries" attempted to assert themselves in positional play, especially after their opponent received a red card, raising their possession to 54% by the end of the match. However, this did not translate into significant danger for the "Eagles." The most threatening moment came in the 80th minute when substitute Talisca's shot led to a rebound goal by En-Nesyri. However, the Moroccan's goal was ruled out for offside, as he had ventured offside with his head in pursuit of the ball. In the remaining time, Fenerbahce could not break through, and the match ended goalless. Ahead of the return leg in Lisbon, Mourinho's side played their second league match, comfortably defeating Turkish Super Lig newcomers Kocaelispor 3-1.

    🔝 Milan Skriniar and Anderson Talisca stood out against Benfica. The Slovak defender expertly marshaled the backline, allowing only 15 touches inside their penalty area over 90 minutes, earning the highest rating among all Fenerbahce players. In attack, Talisca's individual brilliance was crucial in positional play-while he typically doesn't engage much in team interactions, his unconventional decisions posed frequent threats, one even resulting in a disallowed goal. Notably, both players found the net in their latest Super Lig outing.

    Match Results: Fenerbahce Istanbul

    Last matches
    03.10.26
    Club Friendlies
    Turan Tovuz
    Turan Tovuz
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    -
    -
    5
    7
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    5
    7
    1
    2
    2
    1
    W
    20.09.26
    super lig
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Eyupspor
    Eyupspor
    4.26
    0.71
    8
    6
    12
    9
    1
    1
    8
    0
    5
    0
    3
    0
    4.26
    0.71
    8
    6
    12
    9
    1
    1
    W
    14.09.26
    super lig
    Gaziantep
    Gaziantep
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    0.64
    1.6
    6
    6
    16
    8
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.64
    1.6
    6
    6
    16
    8
    4
    3
    D
    10.09.26
    UCL
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Roma
    Roma
    1.18
    0.45
    1
    3
    12
    19
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.18
    0.45
    1
    3
    12
    19
    4
    2
    D
    05.09.26
    super lig
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Besiktas Istanbul
    Besiktas Istanbul
    0.61
    1.22
    2
    7
    15
    21
    4
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.61
    1.22
    2
    7
    15
    21
    4
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Benfica Lisbon

    🎙 Bruno Lage responded to José Mourinho's criticism following the match in Istanbul: “How many shots did Fenerbahçe take before the 70th minute? We played with two very quick attackers who could trouble the opposition. Every match has its own story. We prepared to control the game both with and without the ball. We aimed to create more chances-that was our objective. After the 70th minute, the opponent started taking more risks. Space opened up in midfield, but we brought on a forward to try to create danger in attack. Fenerbahçe are very strong in transitions, and this was our way to control the game,” commented Benfica's head coach.

    ❌ Despite all the rumors of an injury, Richard Rios has played from whistle to whistle for the sixth consecutive match. However, Benfica are not without their setbacks: defender Alexander Bah is still recovering from a cruciate ligament tear, and during preseason, forward Bruma ruptured his Achilles-incidentally, this happened in a friendly against Fenerbahçe.

    Fenerbahce Istanbul

    🎙 After the match in Istanbul, José Mourinho shared his thoughts on the opponent's tactics: "There's no criticism to be made. Benfica played the way they did, which shows they respect us. They have greater potential and skill. They saw how we played against Feyenoord. The opponent achieved their strategically desired result by playing with five at the back. It's a good outcome for them. No criticism here. I've used ten men in defense against Barcelona myself," said the Fenerbahçe head coach, who once led Real Madrid.

    ❌ Mert Yandaş and Rodrigo Becão remain in the treatment room since last season. During pre-season, Diego Carlos joined them, and Cenk Tosun, who came off the bench twice in the Champions League and Super Lig, was sidelined with a groin injury after the first league match. Midfielder Mert Müldür's participation against Benfica was in doubt due to shoulder issues, but he not only started but also played 23 minutes against Göztepe in the latest Super Lig game.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by Slovenian referee Slavko Vincic. His career average for yellow cards stands at 4.2. Vincic has overseen 51 Champions League matches and 31 Europa League encounters, with his officiating style in these competitions not differing much from his overall average-4.2 and 4.4 respectively. The 44-year-old has also officiated in two Club World Cup games, where he handed out an average of 4.5 yellow cards.

    Both clubs have played a nearly equal number of official matches this season. Benfica's average for cautions is 2.6, while Fenerbahce's is 1.8. In their first head-to-head clash in Istanbul, the Portuguese players were rougher despite their territorial advantage in the first half-receiving 4 yellow cards and 1 red card compared to Fenerbahce's 3 yellow cards. We anticipate that the intensity of the upcoming match will only increase, given that a spot in the main stage of the Champions League is at stake. We believe that the total number of yellow cards will once again exceed 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    The disparity in scoring between the two halves for both clubs is intriguing: 1.6 to 0.9 for Benfica compared to 2 to 1.2 for the "Canaries." This trend for the Turks is largely due to frequently playing catch-up after the first half-they conceded in 7 out of their last 9 matches during this period. The same occurred in the second round of the Super Lig against modest Kocaelispor and in both legs of the semi-final stage against Feyenoord.

    However, Fener have shown no issues recovering or regaining the lead in the second half, scoring in 6 of their last 7 matches. We think that José Mourinho's ability to play a counter-attacking game, especially with the quality shown by their defense in Istanbul, will remain intact. We expect the coach to be even more cautious with his defensive setup at the start of the match. Our prediction: the second half will be more productive than the first.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In Lisbon, Bruno Lage is likely to set up his team to control the game-Benfica will dominate possession and stay close to Fenerbahce's penalty area, which should naturally lead to a significant number of corners for the hosts. In all competitions this season, "The Eagles" have only been outperformed in corner count once over six matches. Even after going a man down in Turkey, the Portuguese side did not retreat significantly and held their own on set-pieces from the corners (4:4). A bet on Benfica winning the corner count seems the most likely outcome.

    Editorial Prediction

    Benfica continue to flourish in attack following a shortened pre-season due to the Club World Cup. The Eagles' scoring stats are improving with each Primeira Liga match, setting a new season-high with three goals in their last outing. However, expecting a similar spectacle against Fenerbahçe might be unrealistic given José Mourinho’s well-drilled defense. Nonetheless, the Portuguese side will likely adopt a similar approach, maintaining possession and probing the opposition's defensive lines with patient passing.

    The challenge could arise as the Turks await this very strategy, ready to spring their counter-attacking trap with the explosive John Duran and Youssef En-Nesyri leading the charge-an area where Mourinho's teams have always excelled. Therefore, we anticipate Anatoliy Trubin's clean sheet streak to come to an end, with the favorite edging out a narrow victory, perhaps by a scoreline of 2-1. We are hopeful that the encounter at Estádio da Luz will be more thrilling than the one in Turkey, thus our prediction is that both teams will score.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    MyBookie
    Place a bet-125
    Published: 26/08/2025, 06:18

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    Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Fenerbahce Istanbul

    Benfica Lisbon have not lost:
    benfica-lisbonin 9 of last 10 games.
    Benfica Lisbon will not lose
    MyBookie
    -588
    Fenerbahce Istanbul have not lost:
    fenerbahcein 15 of last 17 away games.
    Fenerbahce Istanbul will not lose
    Everygame
    +113
    Fenerbahce Istanbul have scored under 1.5 goals:
    benfica-lisbonfenerbahcein last 5 games against Benfica Lisbon.
    Fenerbahce Istanbul Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Benfica Lisbon have scored:
    benfica-lisbonin 24 of last 25 games.
    benfica-lisbonin 21 of last 22 home games.
    Benfica Lisbon will score goal
    Everygame
    -714
    View more facts

    Benfica - Fenerbahce Table position

    UEFA Champions League 25/26
    MPWDLGPForm
    1.
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    880023-424
    2.
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    870122-821
    3.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    860220-818
    23.
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    823314-159
    24.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    830510-129
    25.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    830511-149

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    8 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    1 - Loss
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 29
    Conceded - 8
    +21
    +12
    21 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    8
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    3
    1
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    29
    Scored
    21
    8
    Conceded
    9
    3.7
    Average total per match
    3
    2.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    31'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats