Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 July 2025
🔊 In the 17th round of the Brazilian Championship, São Paulo host Fluminense at home in a match where both sides are desperate for points, albeit for different reasons. The hosts aim to make up lost ground and re-enter the Libertadores qualification zone, while the visitors are focused on maintaining their mid-table position and not letting the top half slip too far out of reach. A hard-fought encounter is anticipated, with much hinging on the first mistake-or the first goal.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 01 September 2024 and ended with a 2-0 victory. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Fluminense were the home side):
- possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between São Paulo and Fluminense:
- 37 matches played;
- home team has 10 wins, away team 17 wins, and 10 draws;
- goals scored - 40 for São Paulo, 57 for Fluminense;
- average goals in the first half - 1.08, second half - 1.54;
- average total goals per match - 2.62.
Head-to-head statistics Sao Paulo - Fluminense
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 16th round of Brazil's Serie A, featuring Juventude as the home side and São Paulo as the visitors. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Juventude):
- possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 0.
⭐ In the last round, São Paulo secured a crucial victory by defeating Juventude 1-0 away, with the lone goal scored by Luciano. This win helped the team break a disappointing streak and slightly improve their standing. Currently sitting in 12th place, they are striving to edge closer to the Copa Libertadores spots. A win against Fluminense would help narrow the gap to the top eight and boost their confidence. However, a loss could see them stuck in mid-table once again, facing another wave of criticism.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Fluminense Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on during the 16th round of Brazil's Serie A, with Fluminense hosting Palmeiras. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the match stats (Fluminense vs Palmeiras):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
⭐ In their latest match, Fluminense fell to Palmeiras at home, losing 2-1, despite a penalty goal by Cano. The team initially led, but conceded goals late in the first half and midway through the second. Currently, the Tricolor sit in eighth place with 20 points from 14 matches and have two games in hand. Potential victories in these fixtures could significantly impact the standings. The upcoming clash with São Paulo is an opportunity to regain confidence and close the gap on the Copa Libertadores qualification spots.
Match Results: Fluminense
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- total encounters - 37;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 17, draws - 10.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Fluminense
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 14;
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- win percentage: 25% vs 43%;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 7 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- São Paulo have avoided defeat at home in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings against Fluminense (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- today's hosts average goals scored - 1.08, visitors - 1.54;
- average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.62;
- both teams scored: overall - 25 times; at the home team's ground - 12 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Fluminense
- average total in the tournament: 2.06 vs 2.36;
- average goals scored: 0.94 vs 1.14;
- average first-half total: 0.5 vs 0.36;
- average second-half total: 0.44 vs 0.79;
- São Paulo: average home total in the tournament - 1;
- Fluminense: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.4) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 10 of São Paulo's last 11 matches.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 7 of São Paulo's last 8 matches (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 6 of São Paulo's last 7 home matches (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 10 of Fluminense's last 11 matches (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 6 of Fluminense's last 7 away matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.38; at home - 5.38;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 4.6.
Fluminense: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.57, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; away - 1.75.
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 5.5 corners away in their last eight head-to-head meetings with São Paulo (Serie A).
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 5.5 corners away in eight consecutive matches (Serie A).
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in six of their last seven matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4 (2 for the hosts, and 2 for the visitors);
- average total yellow cards at the host's ground - 3.27 (1.95 for the hosts, and 1.32 for the visitors).
São Paulo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 3.25; at home - 3.75;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 3.6.
Fluminense: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 1.64, away - 1.86;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; away - 2.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- total encounters - 37;
- both teams scored overall - 25 times;
- at the home team's ground - 12 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Fluminense
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 14;
- matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): São Paulo - 8, Fluminense - 7;
- BTTS for São Paulo at home - 4 (50%);
- BTTS for Fluminense away - 2 (29%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: São Paulo - 6, Fluminense - 3;
- BTTS for São Paulo at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Fluminense away - 0 (0%).
Editor's Prediction
São Paulo and Fluminense approach their head-to-head clash with differing momentum. The hosts aim to extend their unbeaten run (currently two wins and one draw), though their season as a whole remains inconsistent. Fluminense, despite a loss to Palmeiras, appear more cohesive, and with two games in hand, each upcoming match is crucial for them. However, the Tricolor from Rio face significant struggles on the road this season, accumulating only seven points out of a possible 21 away from home. São Paulo have shown confidence at home against Fluminense, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters at Morumbi (three wins and two draws). Both teams are far from their peak form, but the home advantage and positive streak make São Paulo slight favorites here. Final bet: São Paulo with a handicap (0) - with insurance against a draw.No comments
Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Fluminense
in 9 of last 10 home games against Fluminense (Serie A).
in 10 of last 11 Sao Paulo games.in 7 of last 8 Sao Paulo games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 Sao Paulo home games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 Fluminense games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 Fluminense away games (Serie A).in 13 of last 15 Fluminense away games.in 8 of last 9 Fluminense away games (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
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