Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 November 2025
🔊 The upcoming 36th round match in Brazil's Serie A between Fluminense and São Paulo promises to be a tense battle, as both teams sit mid-table and are eager to solidify their positions. Fluminense have been formidable at home, winning their last seven matches in a row. They are renowned for their solid defense, especially on their own turf, where they rarely concede. São Paulo, on the other hand, are known for their resilience on the road, although their results have been less consistent. In their previous head-to-head encounter, São Paulo emerged victorious with a 3-1 scoreline. A strategic game with a focus on ball possession is anticipated.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 July 2025 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (São Paulo were the home side):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 9 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Fluminense and São Paulo:
- 38 matches played;
- home victories - 17, away victories - 11, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 58 to 43;
- average first-half total - 1.08, second-half - 1.58;
- average total goals per match - 2.66.
Head-to-head statistics Fluminense - Sao Paulo
Fluminense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 35th round of Serie A, with Palmeiras hosting Fluminense. The match ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Palmeiras):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
🔴 Fluminense are feeling confident at the Maracanã, sitting seventh in the Serie A standings. The team is in fine form, unbeaten in their last four matches: the "Tricolores of Rio" secured victories against Mirassol (1-0) and Flamengo (2-1), while drawing with Cruzeiro (0-0) and Palmeiras (0-0). Fluminense's defensive prowess deserves special mention, as they have kept clean sheets in six of their last seven home games. Despite an average scoring rate of 1.14 goals per match, their ability to control the tempo makes them a formidable opponent for any visitor.
Match Results: Fluminense
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on during the 35th round of Serie A, with São Paulo hosting Juventude. The match ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (São Paulo vs Juventude):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 15 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
⚪ São Paulo are experiencing a period of inconsistency, alternating between victories and losses, as reflected in their last five matches: two wins, one draw, and two defeats. They currently sit just behind Fluminense in the league standings and are unlikely to overtake them, given that they trail their upcoming opponents by 7 points with only three rounds remaining in the championship. The "Tricolor" have a higher average scoring rate (1.3 goals per game), but their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match over the last 10 games.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Home wins - 17, Away wins - 11, Draws - 10.
Statistics: Fluminense vs São Paulo
- Matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- Wins: 16 vs 13;
- Win percentage: 46% vs 37%;
- Losses: 12 vs 13;
- Draws: 7 vs 9.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Fluminense have won their last 7 home matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals scored - 1.53, visitors - 1.13;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.66;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 26 times; at the home team's ground - 12 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs São Paulo
- Average total in the tournament: 2.23 vs 2.29;
- Average goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.14;
- Average first-half total: 0.46 vs 0.6;
- Average second-half total: 0.69 vs 0.54;
- Fluminense: average home total in the tournament - 1.35;
- São Paulo: average away total in the tournament - 0.94;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 1.2) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
- Total over 1.5 goals occurred in 13 of the last 14 head-to-head matches at the home ground (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals occurred in 9 of São Paulo's last 10 matches (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals occurred in São Paulo's last 5 away matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season average total in the tournament - 4.57; at home - 5.53;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; at home - 6.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season average total in the tournament - 4.91, away - 4.71;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; away - 5.2.
- São Paulo have taken over 3.5 corners in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head encounters (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.1 (1.55 for the home team and 1.55 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.82 (1.76 for the home team and 2.06 for the visitors).
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season average total in the tournament - 2.17; at home - 2.06;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 3.2.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season average total in the tournament - 2.77, away - 2.47;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; away - 2.
- Total under 6.5 yellow cards occurred in São Paulo's last 25 away matches.
- Total under 6.5 yellow cards occurred in São Paulo's last 17 out of 18 matches (Serie A).
- Total under 6.5 yellow cards occurred in São Paulo's last 16 out of 17 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Both teams scored overall - 26 times;
- At the home team's ground - 12 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs São Paulo
- Total matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 15;
- Fluminense BTTS at home - 7 (41%);
- São Paulo BTTS away - 7 (41%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 2 vs 4;
- Fluminense BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
- São Paulo BTTS away - 1 (20%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the head-to-head statistics at the Maracanã, a high-scoring game seems likely-over 1.5 goals has occurred in 13 of the last 14 encounters at the hosts' venue. Therefore, this option is appealing, with a prediction that Fluminense will secure a 2-0 victory, extending their home winning streak to eight matches. Luis Zubeldía's squad have faced the top four of Brazil's Serie A in their last four outings without suffering a defeat.
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Betting Tips: Fluminense - Sao Paulo
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