Necaxa vs America Prediction 27 July 2025
📢 The clash between Necaxa and Club América is set to be a highlight of the third round in the Mexican football championship! It's shaping up to be a thrilling encounter. A victory for the hosts would see them leapfrog América in the Liga MX standings. But do they have what it takes to pull it off? Or will the visitors live up to their favorite status? Find out in the prediction from the Scores24 editorial team!
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place in February, ending with a 3-2 victory for Necaxa. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with América as the home side):
- possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Necaxa and América:
- 36 matches played;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 17, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 44 for Necaxa, 48 for América;
- average goals in the first half - 0.92, second half - 1.64;
- average total goals per match - 2.56.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Necaxa Team Overview
Nexaca faced Querétaro in the previous round and secured a 3-1 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Necaxa vs Querétaro):
- possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
Necaxa show solid performances on their home turf. The team are confident in ball control and favor an aggressive attacking approach, which is evident in their average scoring rate of 2 goals per game over the last 10 matches. However, their defense isn't always dependable, as they also concede an average of 2 goals per match. Recent outings have yielded mixed results: two wins, two losses, and a draw.
Match Results: Necaxa
CF America Team Overview
In their previous match, where the Mexican Super Cup was at stake, América suffered a 1-3 defeat against Toluca.
Here are the match statistics (América vs Toluca):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 17 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Necaxa continue to struggle in away matches, extending their winless streak on the road to eight consecutive games. Their attack is less effective away from home, scoring fewer than 1.5 goals in nearly every away fixture over a span of 10 games. This shortcoming is somewhat offset by a fairly reliable defense, conceding just over one goal per match on average.
Match Results: CF America
Latest news
Necaxa
For the hosts, Agustín Oliveros might miss the upcoming match, while Emilia Laro is completely ruled out.
CF America
For the visiting team, Sebastián Cáceres, Henry Martín, and Santiago Naveda might miss the upcoming match, while Igor Lichnovsky is definitely ruled out.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- Home wins - 11, Away wins - 17, Draws - 8.
Statistics: Necaxa vs America
- Matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Wins: 1 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- Losses: 1 vs 0;
- Draws: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
- Necaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap in 28 of the last 29 head-to-head meetings in Liga MX.
- Necaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 18 consecutive head-to-head matches.
- Necaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 17 consecutive head-to-head matches (Liga MX).
- Necaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap in 13 consecutive head-to-head matches.
- Necaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 7 of the last 8 matches (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's hosts average goals - 1.22, visitors - 1.33;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.56;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 22 times; at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Necaxa vs America
- Tournament average total: 4 vs 3;
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 2;
- First-half average total: 1.5 vs 1;
- Second-half average total: 0.5 vs 1;
- Necaxa: home tournament average total - 3;
- America: away tournament average total - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2) vs 1 (away - 0.4).
- Necaxa score less than 1.5 goals at home in the last 5 head-to-head matches (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Necaxa: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 3.5; at home - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.2; at home - 6.4.
America: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 6, away - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.9; away - 3.6.
- America have taken more than 4.5 corners away in the last 5 head-to-head matches (Liga MX).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.78 (1.89 for the home team and 1.89 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 3.34 (2.06 for the home team and 1.28 for the visitors).
Necaxa: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 2; at home - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; at home - 2.6.
America: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 2, away - 1;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- Both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- At the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Necaxa vs America
- Total matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
- BTTS for Necaxa at home - 1 (100%);
- BTTS for America away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS for Necaxa at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for America away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams boast strong attacking potential, yet recent match statistics indicate low scoring, particularly for America in away games, where the total has fallen under 2.5 goals in six consecutive matches. Considering this trend and the overall odds, a well-founded choice would be to bet on a low-scoring encounter.
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Betting Tips: Necaxa - CF America
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
