Mirassol vs Vitoria Prediction 26 July 2025
🔊 Mirassol will host Vitória in the 17th round of the Brazilian Championship. The hosts are having a strong season, firmly positioned in the upper part of the table, just a step away from the Copa Libertadores spots. Meanwhile, Vitória are battling for survival, striving to distance themselves from the bottom four. Given their current form and standings, Mirassol emerge as the clear favorites for this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 01 September 2023 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Vitória were the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 17 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
📊 The teams have faced each other in three official matches. Here's the breakdown:
- goals: 3 to 2;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 0.67;
- average total goals per match - 1.67.
Head-to-head statistics Mirassol - Vitoria
Mirassol Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 16th round of Brazil's Serie A, with Ceará hosting Mirassol. The match ended 0-2.
Here are the match statistics (Mirassol vs Ceará):
- possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 6 vs 14;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
🟡 In the last round, Mirassol convincingly defeated Ceara away with a 2-0 scoreline, extending their impressive unbeaten streak to seven matches. The team climbed to 7th place in the standings and is just one victory away from the Libertadores zone. A win against Vitoria could solidify Mirassol's position as contenders for international tournaments and continue their unexpectedly successful performance in their debut season.
Match Results: Mirassol
Vitoria Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on during the 16th round of Brazil's Serie A (Vitória hosted Sport Recife). The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Vitória vs Sport Recife):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 10;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 11 vs 9.
🦁 In their last home game against Sport Recife, Vitoria seemed poised for victory as they netted a second goal in the 94th minute. However, the "Lions of Barra" conceded an equalizer in the 99th minute, resulting in a frustrating 2-2 draw. Currently sitting 15th, the team continues their fight to stay in Serie A. A win over Mirassol could help Vitoria distance themselves from the relegation zone, moving closer to 12th place and gaining crucial momentum in their survival battle.
Match Results: Vitoria
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half victories at home - 1; away - 1; draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team averages 0.33 goals, while the visitors average 0.67.
First-half statistics: Mirassol (home) vs Vitória (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 8;
- Wins: 3 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 2 (33.33%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Draws: 1 (16.67%) vs 5 (62.5%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.38;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.38.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 1;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.3 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.2).
- Vitória have drawn the first half in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Vitória have drawn the first half away in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Number of encounters - 3;
- Home wins - 1, Away wins - 1, Draws - 1.
Statistics: Mirassol vs Vitoria
- Matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 16;
- Wins: 6 vs 3;
- Win percentage: 43% vs 19%;
- Losses: 2 vs 6;
- Draws: 6 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 1;
- Losses: 1 vs 5;
- Draws: 4 vs 4.
- Vitoria have covered the +1.5 spread in 22 consecutive matches.
- Vitoria have covered the +1.5 spread in 15 consecutive matches (Serie A).
- Vitoria have covered the +1.5 spread away in 10 consecutive matches.
- Vitoria have covered the +1.5 spread away in 7 consecutive matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home team average goals - 1, visitors - 0.67;
- Average total goals in head-to-head - 1.67;
- Both teams scored: overall - once; at home team's ground - once.
Statistics: Mirassol vs Vitoria
- Average total in tournament: 2.57 vs 1.88;
- Average goals scored: 1.64 vs 0.81;
- Average first-half total: 0.71 vs 0.13;
- Average second-half total: 0.93 vs 0.69;
- Mirassol: Home average total in tournament - 2.17;
- Vitoria: Away average total in tournament - 0.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 0.4 (away - 0.2).
- Vitoria have failed to score away in their last 4 matches.
Corner Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total corners in head-to-head - 8.67 (5 for home team and 3.67 for visitors);
- Average total corners at home ground - 8 (5.5 for home team and 2.5 for visitors).
Mirassol: Statistics
- Season: Average total in tournament - 4.57; at home - 5.67;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.6; at home - 6.
Vitoria: Statistics
- Season: Average total in tournament - 4.94, away - 4.75;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.5; away - 5.6.
- Total under 11.5 corners has hit in 7 of Mirassol's last 8 matches (Serie A).
- Total under 11.5 corners has hit in 16 of Vitoria's last 18 matches.
- Total under 11.5 corners has hit in 15 of Vitoria's last 16 away matches.
- Total under 11.5 corners has hit in Vitoria's last 10 of their last 11 away matches (Serie A).
Card Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head - 5.34 (2.67 for home team and 2.67 for visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at home ground - 5 (2 for home team and 3 for visitors).
Mirassol: Statistics
- Season: Average total in tournament - 2.93; at home - 2.67;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.8; at home - 3.
Vitoria: Statistics
- Season: Average total in tournament - 2.81, away - 3.38;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 3.2; away - 3.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 3;
- Both teams scored overall - once;
- At home team's ground - once.
Statistics: Mirassol vs Vitoria
- Total matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 16;
- Total season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 9 vs 8;
- BTTS for Mirassol at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS for Vitoria away - 3 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 2;
- BTTS for Mirassol at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS for Vitoria away - 1 (20%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Mirasol enter the match in excellent form, with a seven-game unbeaten streak as they push for a Copa Libertadores spot. Vitória, on the other hand, are teetering near the relegation zone and their performances have been inconsistent. Playing away has been particularly challenging for them, as they have yet to secure a win in eight away matches this season. The teams have rarely faced each other, with neither side holding a clear advantage, but Mirasol's current form gives them the edge. Our editorial prediction is a win for Mirasol. The team showcases mature and organized play, especially at home, whereas Vitória are scraping for points more through grit than quality.
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Betting Tips: Mirassol - Vitoria
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