Flamengo vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 July 2025
🔊 At the Maracanã, two giants of Brazilian football clash as Flamengo host Atlético Mineiro in the 17th round of Serie A. This matchup is always played at a high tempo and with plenty of intensity. Flamengo are in form: they look solid at home, rarely dropping points, and are in the hunt for the top spot. On the other hand, Atlético Mineiro are experiencing a downturn-unstable results, attacking struggles, and a lack of confidence on the road. A tense match is expected, with the hosts looking more favorable, especially considering the support from the stands and their more cohesive play throughout the season.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 13 November 2024 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's the comparative statistics from that encounter (Flamengo were the home side):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Flamengo and Atlético Mineiro:
- 43 matches played;
- home victories: 20, away victories: 16, draws: 7;
- goals scored: 58 for Flamengo, 59 for Atlético Mineiro;
- average goals in the 1st half: 1.09, in the 2nd half: 1.63;
- average total goals per match: 2.72.
Head-to-head statistics Flamengo - Atl. Mineiro
Flamengo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 16th round of Brazil's Serie A, with Bragantino hosting Flamengo. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Flamengo vs Bragantino):
- possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
🔴 Flamengo secured a 2-1 away victory against Bragantino in their last outing. The team showed resilience after trailing, with Leo Pereira leveling the score and Wesley netting the winner in the 85th minute. Currently sitting in second place with 33 points, Flamengo trail Cruzeiro by just one point. A win over Atletico Mineiro could propel Flamengo to the top of the table, should the current leaders slip up. However, a loss could see their rivals close the gap, intensifying the title race once again.
Match Results: Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Round of 32 of the Copa Sudamericana, where Atlético Mineiro hosted Atlético Bucaramanga. The match ended 0-1.
Here are the game statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Atlético Bucaramanga):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
⚫ Atlético Mineiro put on a thrilling yet unsuccessful display in their last match against Palmeiras, losing 3-2. Hulk scored twice, but his efforts weren't enough to prevent the team from suffering their second consecutive defeat. Currently sitting 9th with 20 points, they are gradually losing touch with the leading pack. A win in Rio could help them re-enter the race for a Copa Libertadores spot and ease some of the pressure. However, another setback could push the team into mid-table obscurity and increase the pressure on the coaching staff.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 43;
- First-half wins at home - 9; away - 5; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.09;
- Today's home side averages 0.56 goals, while the visitors average 0.53.
First-half Stats: Flamengo (home) vs Atletico Mineiro (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- Wins: 4 (50%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- Losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 4 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1.13 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.13 vs 0.75.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 2;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 6 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.3).
- Flamengo have drawn the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches (Serie A).
- Atletico Mineiro have drawn the first half in their last 6 away games.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- Home wins - 20, Away wins - 16, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro
- Matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 14;
- Wins: 10 vs 5;
- Win percentage: 67% vs 36%;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
- Flamengo have won at home in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Flamengo have won at home in 6 of their last 7 Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 1.35 goals, away team - 1.37;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.72;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 22 times; at the home team's field - 8 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro
- Average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.21;
- Average goals scored: 1.93 vs 1.14;
- Average first-half goals: 0.67 vs 0.21;
- Average second-half goals: 1.27 vs 0.93;
- Flamengo: average total at home in the tournament - 2.5;
- Atletico Mineiro: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.29) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
- Flamengo have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches.
- Flamengo have scored under 2.5 goals in 6 consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.13; at home - 6.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; at home - 5.14.
Atletico Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 7, away - 5.63;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; away - 3.2.
- Total under 11.5 corners has occurred in 10 of Flamengo's last 11 matches.
- Total under 11.5 corners has occurred in Flamengo's last 9 Serie A matches.
- Total under 11.5 corners has occurred in 6 of Flamengo's last 7 home matches.
- Total under 11.5 corners has occurred in 8 of Atletico Mineiro's last 9 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.34 (1.67 for the home team and 1.67 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home field - 2.9 (1.5 for the home team and 1.4 for the away team).
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.8; at home - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.43.
Atletico Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.5, away - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.3; away - 3.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- Both teams have scored overall - 22 times;
- At the home team's field - 8 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro
- Total matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 14;
- Total matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 4 vs 6;
- Flamengo's BTTS at home - 1 (13%);
- Atletico Mineiro's BTTS away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
- Flamengo's BTTS at home - 2 (29%);
- Atletico Mineiro's BTTS away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Flamengo are heading into the match in fine form: the team confidently dispatches opponents, contends for the top spot in the league, and displays a balanced game both in attack and defense. The "Red and Blacks" are particularly solid at the Maracanã, where they've almost never dropped points this season. Atlético Mineiro, on the other hand, are inconsistent. In recent rounds, they've shown attacking flair but made too many defensive errors. Hulk remains a standout performer, but he can't carry the attack alone. Points are crucial for "Galo" right now, but playing in Rio is not an easy task. Head-to-head stats also favor Flamengo: they have won three of the last five matches against Atlético Mineiro (considering recent league and Brazilian Cup games). Form, standings, and home advantage all favor Flamengo. Atlético can put up a fight, but not much more. Our prediction: Flamengo win.
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Betting Tips: Flamengo - Atletico Mineiro
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