Fortaleza vs Sport Rec. Prediction 28 June 2026
🔊 The clash between Fortaleza and Sport Recife in Matchday 15 of Brazil’s Serie B draws attention due to the contrasting recent form and high-stakes motivation on both sides. Fortaleza currently sit at the lower end of the top ten, but trail the automatic promotion spots by just three points. Sport Recife, meanwhile, hold firm in the top three and are only three points off the league leaders. In recent weeks, the hosts have suffered more defeats, while the visitors have displayed greater consistency and rarely lose. Let’s break down this matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Recife PE):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Fortaleza and Recife PE:
- played 15 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 2, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 18 against 6;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.73, in the 2nd half - 0.87;
- average total goals in the match - 1.6.
Head-to-head statistics Fortaleza - Sport Rec.
Fortaleza Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Brasil, away team - Fortaleza EC CE). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Fortaleza vs Brasil):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Fortaleza have endured a challenging ten-game stretch, picking up just three wins alongside six defeats and a single draw. Over this period, they are averaging 1.1 goals scored per match while conceding 1.3, highlighting issues at both ends of the pitch.
In their last five Serie B outings, the team have claimed two victories, suffered two losses and recorded one draw - results that are unlikely to satisfy either the club’s management or their supporters. While the gap to the league leaders remains manageable, ongoing inconsistency and frequent slip-ups hardly inspire confidence. It’s also worth noting that Fortaleza’s home fixtures tend to be high-scoring affairs: over 2.5 goals have been scored in eight of their last nine matches at home, underlining their tendency toward open, attacking football.
Match Results: Fortaleza
Recife PE Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Recife PE, away - Goianiense). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Recife PE vs Goianiense):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Sport Recife are firmly positioned among the league leaders, displaying a well-balanced run of form: five wins, two defeats, and three draws in their last ten outings. During this stretch, they average 1.2 goals scored per match while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.8 goals per game.
On the road, Sport have proven tough to beat - avoiding defeat in thirteen of their fourteen away fixtures this Serie B season. Their attacking play away from home has also impressed, with the team finding the net in eight of their last nine league matches on the road. In a championship where home sides enjoy a significant advantage, Sport’s ability to consistently pick up points away is a crucial asset in their push for promotion to Serie A.
Match Results: Recife PE
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 2, draws - 3.
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Recife PE
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- win percentage: 43% vs 43%;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 6 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Recife PE have not lost in 13 of last 14 games (Serie B).
- Recife PE have not lost in 12 of last 13 away games.
- Recife PE have not lost in last 6 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.2, the guests - 0.4;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.6;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Recife PE
- average total in the tournament: 2.21 vs 1.86;
- average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.21;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.36;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 0.86;
- Fortaleza: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Recife PE: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.25) vs 1.2 (away - 1.5).
- Fortaleza have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Recife PE
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Fortaleza at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Recife PE away - 2 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Fortaleza at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Recife PE away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/141, 15.6%);
- Fortaleza at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:3 , 2:1 , 3:0 , 3:2 , 4:1 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Recife PE away most often play: 0:0 (3/6, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.83% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.44% (odds 6)
0:1 - 11.1% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
While the hosts are known for playing open football at home, the visitors’ run of six consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals highlights their cautious style and solid defensive setup. The stats back up this trend: Sport rarely concede more than once per game, while Fortaleza have also struggled to find the net in recent rounds. With both sides fighting for positions near the top of the table, expect another pragmatic encounter as neither will want to drop crucial points. Our pick: under 2.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Fortaleza - Recife PE
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
