Criciuma vs Sao Bernardo Prediction 27 June 2026
🔊 Criciúma and São Bernardo head into this latest round of Brazil’s Serie B with nearly identical form over their last ten matches: four wins, five draws, and just a single defeat each. Criciúma remain firmly in the hunt for automatic promotion, sitting just one point off the top spots. São Bernardo are also among the frontrunners for a place in Serie A and continue to push for the summit. Both sides have shown impressive defensive organization, which has kept scoring relatively low in their recent fixtures.
Head-to-Head
Criciuma Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - America Mineiro, away team - Criciuma). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Criciuma vs America Mineiro):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Criciúma have been consistently picking up points, suffering just one defeat in their last ten matches. Over their previous five outings, they have claimed three wins and two draws. On average, the team scores 1.14 goals per game while conceding less than one (0.79).
Home form has been particularly notable - seven of Criciúma's last eight matches at their own ground have finished with under 2.5 goals, underlining their pragmatic approach in front of their supporters. The club's main objective is to stay in the promotion zone for Serie A, so even at this stage of the season, they are focused on minimizing risks and maintaining compactness, even when pushing forward.
Match Results: Criciuma
Sao Bernardo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Sao Bernardo, away - Juventude). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Sao Bernardo vs Juventude):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Sao Bernardo sit second in the standings, trailing league leaders Vila Nova by just three points thanks to a consistent run of results - four wins, one defeat, and five draws underline their stability.
The team are a constant threat on the road, having scored in 12 of their last 13 away fixtures. However, their defensive record mirrors that of their upcoming opponents, conceding an average of just 0.79 goals per game. With the race for promotion heating up, Sao Bernardo need to keep collecting points to stay in pursuit of the top spot and maintain their edge over rivals in the battle for a Serie A berth. They also have a point to prove after suffering their only defeat in this stretch last time out, falling 1-0 to Juventude.
Match Results: Sao Bernardo
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Criciuma (Home) vs Sao Bernardo (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- Number of wins: 3 (50%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Number of losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 2 (33.33%) vs 3 (50%);
- Average total goals scored: 0.83 vs 1;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.17 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 1;
- Number of draws: 3 vs 7;
- Average first half total: 1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3).
- Sao Bernardo have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Criciuma vs Sao Bernardo
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 6 vs 7;
- win percentage: 43% vs 50%;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 6 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 1;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
- Sao Bernardo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 26 games.
- Sao Bernardo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 away games.
- Sao Bernardo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 games (Serie B).
- Sao Bernardo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Criciuma vs Sao Bernardo
- average total in the tournament: 1.93 vs 2.21;
- average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.43;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 1;
- Criciuma: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Sao Bernardo: average total away in the tournament - 2.17;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 1.5 (away - 2.25).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Criciuma home games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
Criciuma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.93; at home field - 7.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; at home field - 7.
Sao Bernardo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.57, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Criciuma vs Sao Bernardo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
- number of BTS matches for Criciuma at home - 4 (67%);
- number of BTS matches for Sao Bernardo away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Criciuma at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Sao Bernardo away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/140, 15.7%);
- Criciuma at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/6, 50%);
- Sao Bernardo away most often play: 0:1 , 0:3 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:3 (1/6, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.55% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 11.89% (odds 7)
0:0 - 8.95% (odds 8)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Both sides have played most of their matches this season with a disciplined, pragmatic approach, rarely taking risks - even when trailing. Criciúma’s home games, in particular, reflect this trend, with seven of their last eight fixtures finishing under 2.5 goals. The current standings mean every point is crucial, even at this stage of the campaign, so neither team will want to open up or take unnecessary chances. We expect a cautious contest, with both teams patiently waiting for the other to make a mistake. Given these circumstances, backing under 2.5 goals looks like a logical choice.
Will this prediction come true?
Betting Tips: Criciuma - Sao Bernardo
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