Athletic Club vs Avai Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 June 2026
🔊 Athletic Club head into Matchday 15 of the Brazilian Serie B without a win in their last three outings, a run that has dented the squad’s confidence. The visitors, Avaí, remain stuck in the relegation zone, three points adrift of safety, but they recently snapped a lengthy winless streak with a much-needed victory. The current league standings only increase the pressure on both sides - every result now carries huge significance in the fight for survival. Let’s break down this clash and suggest the best bet for the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Avai):
- ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊The teams Athletic Club MG and Avai have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 01 November 2025 at the home ground of Avai and ended with a score of 2:1.
Head-to-head statistics Athletic Club - Avai
Athletic Club MG Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Londrina EC PR, away team - Athletic Club MG). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Athletic Club MG vs Londrina EC PR):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 22 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
Over their last five matches, Athletic Club have picked up two wins, two draws, and suffered one defeat. However, if we widen the lens to their last ten games, they have managed just two victories while losing three times.
Their average of only 0.9 goals scored per game across those ten rounds highlights significant attacking struggles. This trend is further underscored by their home form: Athletic have scored under 1.5 goals in nine of their previous ten Serie B fixtures. Despite trailing the automatic promotion spots by six points and retaining strong motivation in the table, their current form offers little reason to expect a major improvement in either performance or results.
Match Results: Athletic Club MG
Avai Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Avai, away - Cuiaba Esporte Clube). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Avai vs Cuiaba Esporte Clube):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 13;
- fouls: 10 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
Avai currently sit 18th in the table and are under pressure to close a three-point gap to safety. With just one win and four defeats in their last five matches, these are the kind of results you’d expect from a side fighting to avoid relegation.
Over their past ten fixtures, Avai have averaged 1.3 goals per game while conceding 1.6 - numbers that highlight both their attacking struggles and defensive vulnerabilities. Motivation is running high as every match becomes crucial; another slip-up would make their survival bid even tougher, even with half the season still to play.
Match Results: Avai
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Athletic Club MG (home) vs Avai (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 6;
- wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (50%);
- draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 3 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 0.86 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.29 vs 1.17.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8).
- Avai conceded in the 1st half in last 9 away games.
- Avai conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Athletic Club MG vs Avai
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- win percentage: 29% vs 21%;
- losses: 3 vs 7;
- draws: 7 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 5 vs 1.
- Avai won with a +1.5 handicap in 21 of last 23 games (Serie B).
- Avai won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 15 away games.
- Avai won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games (Serie B).
- Avai won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.5, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Athletic Club MG vs Avai
- average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.07 vs 1.07;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 0.64;
- Athletic Club MG: average total at home in the tournament - 0.86;
- Avai: average total away in the tournament - 1.17;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.6) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Athletic Club MG games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 9 Avai away games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Avai away games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 11.5 (6 - for home team and 5.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 12 (5 - for home team and 7 - for away team).
Athletic Club MG: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.36; at home field - 5.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; at home field - 6.4.
Avai: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.71, away - 3.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.8.
- Athletic Club MG have taken over 4.5 corners in last 5 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Athletic Club MG vs Avai
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Athletic Club MG at home - 4 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Avai away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Athletic Club MG at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Avai away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/141, 15.6%);
- Athletic Club MG at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%);
- Avai away most often play: 2:1 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.74% (odds 6)
1:1 - 13.06% (odds 6)
0:0 - 10.21% (odds 7.1)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Athletic Club's form remains inconsistent, with the team rarely picking up wins in recent rounds and their scoring rate dropping below one goal per match. The numbers back up this trend - at home, they've managed to score more than 1.5 goals just once in their last 10 outings and frequently drop points on their own turf. Avaí are losing often, but they do show occasional bursts of energy and are playing with maximum motivation as they fight to avoid relegation. Both sides are well aware of how much is riding on this fixture, so we expect a cautious approach with both teams prioritising defence and minimising risks. Our pick: both teams to score (no).No comments
Betting Tips: Athletic Club MG - Avai
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