Nottingham Forest vs Man City Prediction
🔊 Which team will advance to the FA Cup final? Manchester City are the favorites for both this match and the entire tournament. However, Nottingham Forest might sit back in a low block throughout the game and capitalize on one of their few counterattacks. This strategy was evident in their last head-to-head encounter. Therefore, we'll explore different scenarios to provide an insightful prediction. It's worth noting that the match will take place at Wembley.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City this decade:
- 7 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 4, draws - 1;
- goals scored - 5 by Nottingham Forest, 14 by Manchester City;
- average first-half total - 1.57, second-half - 1.14;
- average total goals per match - 2.71.
The last game took place on 08 March 2025 at Nottingham Forest's ground, ending in a 1-0 victory for the home side.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Nottingham Forest Team Overview
🔴 Nottingham Forest occasionally hit a slump, but Nuno Espírito Santo keeps steering the team back on track. This has allowed them to spend much of the season in the top five, vying for a Champions League spot. However, recent defeats to Aston Villa (1-2) and Everton (0-1) have somewhat shaken the "Tricky Trees'" standing.
🔗 In the last round, they managed to break their winless streak. Nottingham Forest visited a completely unmotivated Tottenham. By the 16th minute, they were already two goals ahead and then focused on defending their lead. In the second half, they had no counter-attacking play at all, which nearly cost them points (1-2).
📣 After the victory over Tottenham, Nuno Espírito Santo commented on his team: “We have to understand that nobody expected us to be this high up in the table. We're not out to prove anything to anyone-it's about us, we love what's happening, and we have a huge desire to fight. Right now, we're competing with top teams, and we're very proud of that.”
📌 It's hard to say Nottingham Forest faced tough opponents on their way to the FA Cup semi-finals. Nevertheless, they got past Ipswich Town and Brighton, both representing the Premier League. In both cases, success came via penalty shootouts. The same goes for their match against Exeter, although Nuno Espírito Santo started that game with reserves.
❌ The "Tricky Trees" are preparing for the match with almost their full squad. The only injured player is Ola Aina.
Match Results: Nottingham Forest

Manchester City Team Overview
⚪ Manchester City are in solid form, having gone unbeaten in their last seven matches, securing five wins during this stretch. The Manchester derby ended in a goalless draw, but in the other games, the Citizens scored at least two goals. This run has kept them firmly in the race for a Champions League spot.
🔗 Recently, Manchester City defeated one of their rivals for a top-five finish, Aston Villa, with a 2-1 victory. Bernardo Silva found the net as early as the seventh minute, but the opposition quickly responded. The winning goal came in stoppage time, courtesy of Matheus Nunes, whom Pep Guardiola once deemed not smart enough for a midfielder role. As a result, the Portuguese player now operates as a right-back.
📣 Pep Guardiola noted that his team beat Aston Villa in an uncharacteristic fashion: “We’re not used to this! Last-minute victories are more typical of Liverpool. This is new for us, so I’m really happy. We played very well. Our aggression in challenges was notable, and our four defenders were outstanding. I’m truly pleased.”
📌 Manchester City struggled to reach the FA Cup semi-finals. Their opponents mainly came from lower divisions, yet they posed significant challenges. For instance, Leyton Orient and Plymouth both opened the scoring in their matches. City also conceded first in the quarter-final against Bournemouth but managed to turn the game around during regular time (2-1).
❌ City still have a lengthy injury list. Erling Haaland, John Stones, Nathan Ake, and Rodri will miss the upcoming match. Recently, Ederson also picked up an injury. The Brazilian has been conceding frequently, prompting the club to search for a replacement. Diogo Costa from Porto is expected to join the squad in the summer.
Match Results: Manchester City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 4, draws - 1.
- Nottingham Forest won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 games.
- Nottingham Forest won with a +1.5 handicap in 19 of last 20 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.71, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 4.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 3.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 2.75;
- Nottingham Forest: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Manchester City: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 0.6) vs 1.9 (away - 1).
- Manchester City have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Nottingham Forest: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 8.75; at home field - 9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 4.2.
Manchester City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 10, away - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 3.4.
- Nottingham Forest have taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 home games.
- Nottingham Forest have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.58 (2.29 for home team and 2.29 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2 (1.33 for home team and 0.67 for away team).
Nottingham Forest: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 1.6.
Manchester City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.25, away - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 1.6.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 19 Nottingham Forest games.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in 14 of last 15 Nottingham Forest home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, a fiercely contested match is expected, with the visitors focusing on attack and the hosts relying on solid defense. Given Manchester City's recent goal-scoring statistics, a high-scoring encounter is anticipated. Total over 2.5 goals seems like a smart bet. The trailing side will likely take risks, so we expect the over to be hit.