Fiorentina vs Empoli Prediction 27 April 2025
🎈Will the Tuscan derby between Fiorentina and Empoli be another intense and cautious battle in the 34th round of Serie A? Fiorentina are looking to solidify their position at the top, showcasing confident performances at home. Meanwhile, Empoli are in desperate need of points to avoid relegation. The recent results highlight the contrast in their current form: the hosts have been consistent, while the visitors are struggling to find the back of the net. Nevertheless, both sides' motivation will add extra spice to this derby.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams took place on 04 December 2024, ending with a score of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter: Fiorentina vs Empoli
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Fiorentina and Empoli:
- played 19 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 6, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 25 against 20;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.84, in the 2nd half - 1.53;
- average total goals in the match - 2.37.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Fiorentina Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Cagliari Calcio, away team - Fiorentina). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
🎉Fiorentina are currently sitting in eighth place in the league, showcasing solid form with five wins in their last ten matches. The "Viola" boast a strong attack, averaging 1.55 goals per game. The team effectively utilizes ball possession to create dangerous opportunities in the opponent's penalty area. However, their defense can be prone to errors, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.
In the previous round, Fiorentina secured an away victory over Cagliari with a 2-1 scoreline, despite conceding in the 7th minute. The Florence side showed resilience to clinch all three points. Goals for the "Viola" came from Robin Gosens and Lucas Beltran. This win helped the team solidify their position in the upper part of the standings. Head coach Raffaele Palladino noted that the team demonstrated character and managed to achieve an important result on the road. He also emphasized the importance of focus and discipline in upcoming matches.
Regarding the squad, the team faces a few setbacks. Andrea Colpani (foot injury) and Moise Kean (ankle injury) are doubtful for participation. Additionally, Edoardo Bove remains sidelined due to heart issues.
Match Results: Fiorentina

Empoli Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on as part of the Coppa Italia tournament (the hosts were Bologna, and the visitors were Empoli). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Empoli vs Bologna):
- ball possession: 31% vs 69%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 23 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
🎁Empoli are fighting for survival in Serie A, currently sitting second from bottom. Their form is far from ideal, with just one win in their last ten games and frequent draws keeping them stuck in 19th place. The "Blues" favor a defensive approach with sporadic counterattacks, but poor finishing leads to a low scoring rate of just 0.79 goals per match. However, they have shown they can surprise on the road, as demonstrated in their recent head-to-head clash in the Coppa Italia.
In the 33rd round, Empoli managed to rally late and drew 2-2 with Venezia. In the return leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final, they were narrowly defeated by Bologna 1-2 and exited the tournament. Head coach Roberto D'Aversa remarked after the loss that the team leaves the competition with their heads held high. He emphasized that the players showed character and focus, and if they maintain this mindset in the remaining league matches, they can prove their right to stay in the top flight.
The team faces significant squad issues. Liberato Cacace will miss the match due to suspension, while Nicolas Haas, Pietro Pellegri, and Saba Sazonov are out for the season with cruciate ligament injuries. Ardian Ismajli, Christian Kouamé, and Szymon Żurkowski are also sidelined until early May, and Youssef Maleh remains doubtful. These absences impact all areas of the pitch and severely limit rotation options.
Match Results: Empoli
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 19;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 6, draws - 6.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Empoli
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of wins: 16 vs 4;
- win percentage: 48% vs 12%;
- number of losses: 9 vs 16;
- number of draws: 8 vs 13.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 1;
- number of losses: 2 vs 5;
- number of draws: 3 vs 4.
- Fiorentina have drawn in 5 of last 6 games against Empoli.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.32, the guests - 1.05;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.37;
- both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Empoli
- average total in the tournament: 2.55 vs 2.36;
- average total goals scored: 1.55 vs 0.79;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.3;
- Fiorentina: average total at home in the tournament - 1.59;
- Empoli: average total away in the tournament - 1.12;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.8) vs 0.6 (away - 0.67).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Fiorentina games against Empoli (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88; at home field - 4.35;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; at home field - 3.2.
Empoli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.21, away - 4.35;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 3.5.
- Empoli have taken under 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Fiorentina.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.68 (1.84 for home team and 1.84 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.3 (1.8 for home team and 2.5 for away team).
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.88; at home - 1.65;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 1.8.
Empoli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.67, away - 2.24;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 2.5.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 14 of last 15 Empoli away games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 11 of last 12 Empoli games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Empoli games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 19;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Empoli
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Fiorentina at home - 8 (47%);
- number of BTTS matches for Empoli away - 12 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Fiorentina at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Empoli away - 4 (67%).
Editorial Prediction
The clash between Fiorentina and Empoli is likely to be a cautious affair, a pattern seen in their head-to-head encounters in recent years. In their last six Serie A meetings, the total has consistently been under 2.5 goals. Given the high stakes of this derby and both teams' desire to avoid costly mistakes, a solid defensive approach is expected once again from both sides. With these factors in mind, betting on under 2.5 goals seems a reasonable prediction.