Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 November 2025
📣 Guadalajara host Cruz Azul in the first leg of the Liga MX playoff quarterfinals. Both teams are in excellent form: Guadalajara have won four of their last five matches, while Cruz Azul have secured victories in three of their recent outings. What can we expect from their head-to-head clash? Read the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 1-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Guadalajara were the home side):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 17 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Guadalajara and Cruz Azul:
- A total of 43 matches have been played;
- The home team has secured 11 victories, while the visitors have won 16, with 16 matches ending in a draw;
- Goals scored tally at 41 for Guadalajara and 51 for Cruz Azul;
- Average total in the first half is 0.98, and in the second half, it's 1.16;
- The average total goals per match is 2.14.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Team Overview
The most recent official match took place in Liga MX, featuring Guadalajara as the hosts and Monterrey as the visitors. The game concluded with a 4-2 victory.
Here's the match statistics (Guadalajara vs Monterrey):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 0;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
Guadalajara have been delivering strong performances in their recent matches, securing five wins and suffering just one defeat in their last six games. They currently sit sixth in the standings and are eager to solidify their spot in the Liga MX playoff zone. Chivas are renowned for their ability to control possession and create dangerous opportunities in front of the opponent's goal.
Match Results: Guadalajara
Cruz Azul Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament (home team - Cruz Azul, visitors - UNAM Pumas). The match ended with a scoreline of 2-3.
Here are the match statistics (Cruz Azul vs UNAM Pumas):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 7 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Cruz Azul have secured third place in the championship, showcasing consistent performances: ten wins and only two losses this season speak volumes. The team boasts a strong attacking line with an average of about 1.88 goals per game, while also maintaining a reliable defense, conceding just over one goal on average per match. On the road, they have remained unbeaten for quite some time, with fifteen out of seventeen games ending without a loss for "La Máquina." Their ability to maintain focus until the final whistle could prove decisive.
Match Results: Cruz Azul
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 8; number of draws - 11;
- Average first-half total: 0.98;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.37, while the visitors net 0.6.
First-Half Stats: Guadalajara Chivas (home) vs Cruz Azul (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 8;
- wins: 5 (55.56%) vs 2 (25%);
- losses: 3 (33.33%) vs 2 (25%);
- draws: 1 (11.11%) vs 4 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 0.88;
- Average goals conceded: 0.56 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.7).
- Guadalajara Chivas have lost the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against Cruz Azul (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 16, draws - 16.
Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 9 vs 10;
- win percentage: 53% vs 59%;
- losses: 6 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Cruz Azul won with a +1.5 handicap in last 19 away games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
- Cruz Azul won with a +1.5 handicap in 37 of last 38 games (Liga MX).
- Cruz Azul won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 away games.
- Cruz Azul won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 away games (Liga MX).
- Cruz Azul won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.95, the guests - 1.19;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.14;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3.06;
- average total goals scored: 1.71 vs 1.88;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.76;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.82 vs 1.12;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total at home in the tournament - 2.11;
- Cruz Azul: average total away in the tournament - 1.63;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2.17) vs 1.7 (away - 1.2).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored under 1.5 goals in 17 of last 18 games against Cruz Azul (Liga MX).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games against Cruz Azul (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 5.78;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; at home field - 4.83.
Cruz Azul: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.94, away - 4.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 4.
- Guadalajara Chivas have taken under 6.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.7 (1.35 for home team and 1.35 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.14 (1.64 for home team and 1.5 for away team).
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.06; at home - 2.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.83.
Cruz Azul: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.94, away - 1.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 1.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Guadalajara Chivas at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cruz Azul away - 5 (63%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Guadalajara Chivas at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Cruz Azul away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and their head-to-head history, this match is expected to be highly intense, with each side keen to minimize defensive errors. Despite Guadalajara's strong home performances, historical data highlights their struggles against Cruz Azul's defense: in their last eighteen encounters, they've managed to score more than once only once. This statistical trend, combined with the current scoring metrics of both teams, makes a bet on Guadalajara's individual total under 1.5 quite reasonable. A 1-1 draw is possible.No comments
Betting Tips: Guadalajara - Cruz Azul
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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