Santos vs Corinthians Prediction 16 October 2025
🔊 In the 28th round of Serie A, Santos will host Corinthians at the Urbano Caldeira Stadium. This is an opportunity for the home side to bounce back after a home defeat to Ceara and improve their standing in the lower part of the table. The visitors arrive in high spirits following a convincing victory over Mirassol. Recent head-to-head history favors Corinthians, as they have won the last three encounters, including the first-round match of this season at the Neo Quimica Arena (1-0).
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 18 May 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's the comparative stats from that encounter (Corinthians were the home side):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 8 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Santos and Corinthians:
- 57 matches played;
- home wins - 18, away wins - 21, draws - 18;
- goals scored - 58 for Santos, 61 for Corinthians;
- average goals in the first half - 0.91, in the second half - 1.18;
- average total goals per match - 2.09.
Head-to-head statistics Santos - Corinthians
Santos Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A competition, featuring Ceará as the hosts and Santos as the visitors. The game concluded with a 3-0 scoreline.
The match statistics are as follows (Santos vs Ceará):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
⚪ In the 27th round, Santos suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat away to Ceará. This setback snapped a five-match unbeaten streak for Juan Pablo Vojvoda's side, which included one win and four draws. After 26 matches, Santos sit in 17th place on the table, just three points above the relegation zone. Every game from now on becomes crucial for the team: they need points to strengthen their position and avoid the imminent threat of relegation from the top division, as slipping into the relegation zone could become a reality in the upcoming rounds.
Match Results: Santos
Corinthians Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, where Corinthians hosted Mirassol. The match ended with a 3-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Corinthians vs Mirassol):
- possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 19 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 0.
⚫ In the previous round, Corinthians confidently defeated Mirassol 3-0 at the Neo Química Arena. This victory marked Dorival Junior's side's second consecutive match without a loss, following a 1-1 draw away against Internacional. After 27 rounds, Corinthians sit in 12th place with 33 points. The "Timão" maintain a comfortable gap from the relegation zone and have promising prospects to solidify their mid-table position, gradually improving their standings and stabilizing their play in the remaining fixtures of the season.
Match Results: Corinthians
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 57;
- Home wins - 18, Away wins - 21, Draws - 18.
Statistics: Santos vs Corinthians
- Matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 27;
- Wins: 7 vs 8;
- Win percentage: 27% vs 30%;
- Losses: 12 vs 10;
- Draws: 7 vs 9.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 5;
- Losses: 3 vs 3;
- Draws: 4 vs 2.
- Santos have failed to win in 7 of their last 8 matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 1.02 goals, the away team - 1.07;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.09;
- Both teams scored: overall - 26 times; at the home team's ground - 10 times.
Statistics: Santos vs Corinthians
- Average total in the tournament: 2.42 vs 2.26;
- Average goals scored: 0.96 vs 1.07;
- Average total in the first half: 0.35 vs 0.37;
- Average total in the second half: 0.62 vs 0.7;
- Santos: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Corinthians: average total away in the tournament - 0.79;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- Total under 2.5 goals has occurred in 12 of Corinthians' last 14 away matches.
Corners Prediction
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.58; at home - 5.75;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; at home - 5.2.
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.52, away - 3.93;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.4; away - 4.6.
- Corinthians have delivered fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Corinthians have delivered fewer than 5.5 corners away in 7 of their last 8 matches (Serie A).
- Corinthians have delivered fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.48 (1.74 for the home team and 1.74 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.5 (1.69 for the home team and 1.81 for the away team).
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.62; at home - 2.83;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; at home - 2.8.
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3, away - 3.36;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.9; away - 3.2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 57;
- Both teams have scored overall - 26 times;
- At the home team's ground - 10 times.
Statistics: Santos vs Corinthians
- Total matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 27;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 14;
- Santos BTTS at home - 5 (42%);
- Corinthians BTTS away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- Santos BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Corinthians BTTS away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the first round, Corinthians edged past Santos with a 1-0 victory. Santos now enter this match after a painful defeat to Ceara, which snapped their five-match unbeaten streak and left them perilously close to the relegation zone. On the other hand, Corinthians are in high spirits following a convincing win over Mirassol, extending their unbeaten run to two games. The hosts will aim to capitalize on their home advantage, but Corinthians seem more confident and capable of controlling the game. The recent head-to-head history also favors the visitors. Our prediction: Corinthians will not lose. We anticipate a low-scoring affair - 0-0 or 0-1.
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Betting Tips: Santos - Corinthians
in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
in 21 of last 23 away games.in 18 of last 20 games (Serie A).in 13 of last 14 away games (Serie A).in 14 of last 15 games.in 10 of last 11 games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 away games.in 12 of last 14 Corinthians away games.
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