Sport Rec. vs Ceara Prediction 15 October 2025
🔊 At Ilha do Retiro Stadium, Sport Recife will host Ceara in the 28th round of Serie A. For the home side, this is one of their last opportunities to pick up points and try to climb away from the bottom of the table. Ceara, sitting comfortably in mid-table, approach the match with more composure but are eager to solidify their position. The hosts will be looking for any chance to secure points, while the visitors aim to control the game and avoid any unpleasant surprises.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 10 July 2025 and ended in a goalless draw, 0-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match, with Sport Recife as the home side:
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 7 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Sport Recife and Ceara:
- 23 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 10, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 23 for Sport Recife, 28 for Ceara;
- average first-half total - 1.13, second-half total - 1.09;
- average total goals per match - 2.22.
Head-to-head statistics Sport Rec. - Ceara
Recife PE Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Atlético Mineiro as the home side and Sport Recife as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Sport Recife vs Atlético Mineiro):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
🔴 In their last away match, Sport Recife fell to Atletico Mineiro with a 1-3 defeat. The team tried to put up a fight but conceded two goals in the first half and only managed to reduce the deficit after the third goal, with Derik Lacerda converting a penalty in the 82nd minute. This marked Sport's second loss in their last five matches, during which they also recorded two draws and one win. Daniel Paulista's squad continues their battle for survival, currently sitting at the bottom of Serie A with 16 points from 26 matches. Every game now carries critical importance as they strive to climb out of the relegation zone.
Match Results: Recife PE
Ceara Team Overview
The visitors last took to the pitch on in a Serie A fixture featuring Ceara as the hosts and Santos as the guests. The match concluded with a decisive 3-0 victory.
Here's a breakdown of the game statistics (Ceara vs Santos):
- possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
⚫ In the 27th round, Ceará confidently defeated Santos with a 3-0 scoreline on their home turf. This victory is part of a consistent run for the team: over the last five matches, Ceará have secured two wins, drawn twice, and suffered one defeat. Currently sitting in 10th place on the league table with 34 points, they are comfortably positioned in the mid-table. The outlook is positive: if Ceará continue to collect points in the remaining rounds, they could solidify their spot in the top ten and even challenge for higher positions while minimizing the risk of dropping into the lower half of the standings.
Match Results: Ceara
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 23;
- First-half wins for the home side - 6; for the visitors - 1; draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.13;
- Today's home team averages 0.61 goals, while the visitors average 0.52.
First-Half Statistics: Sport Recife (home) vs Ceará (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 13;
- Wins: 3 (25%) vs 1 (7.69%);
- Losses: 3 (25%) vs 3 (23.08%);
- Draws: 6 (50%) vs 9 (69.23%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.92;
- Average goals conceded: 0.58 vs 0.54.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Losses: 4 vs 1;
- Draws: 4 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2).
- Ceará have drawn the first half in 6 of their last 7 away matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 23;
- Home wins - 8, Away wins - 10, Draws - 5.
Statistics: Sport Recife vs Ceara
- Matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- Wins: 2 vs 9;
- Win percentage: 8% vs 35%;
- Losses: 14 vs 10;
- Draws: 10 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Losses: 4 vs 4;
- Draws: 4 vs 3.
- Sport Recife have failed to win at home in 14 of their last 15 matches.
- Sport Recife have not won at home in 11 of their last 12 Serie A matches.
- Sport Recife have not won in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home team averages - 1, away team - 1.22;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.22;
- Both teams scored: overall - 11 times; at home team's ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Sport Recife vs Ceara
- Average total in the tournament: 2.35 vs 1.92;
- Average goals scored: 0.77 vs 1;
- Average first-half goals: 0.31 vs 0.46;
- Average second-half goals: 0.46 vs 0.54;
- Sport Recife: average total at home in the tournament - 0.92;
- Ceara: average total away in the tournament - 0.92;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.75) vs 0.9 (away - 0.67).
- Sport Recife have conceded in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches.
Corners Prediction
Sport Recife: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6; at home - 6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; at home - 6.25.
Ceara: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.85, away - 3.15;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; away - 2.5.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 5.04 (2.52 for home team and 2.52 for away team);
- Average total yellow cards at home ground - 5.28 (2.73 for home team and 2.55 for away team).
Sport Recife: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.54; at home - 2.75;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 3.75.
Ceara: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.23, away - 2.54;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 2.33.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 23;
- Both teams scored overall - 11 times;
- At home ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Sport Recife vs Ceara
- Total matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 10;
- BTTS for Sport Recife at home - 6 (50%);
- BTTS for Ceara away - 6 (46%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 6 vs 3;
- BTTS for Sport Recife at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS for Ceara away - 2 (33%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the first round at "Castelão," Ceará defeated Sport Recife 2-0. This summer, they clashed again at "Ilha do Retiro" in the quarter-finals of the Copa do Nordeste, where the regular time ended in a goalless draw, and Ceará triumphed in the penalty shootout 4-2.
Currently, Sport Recife sit at the bottom and are desperately fighting for survival, while Ceará maintain a steady mid-table position and come into this match in high spirits after a convincing win over Santos. The hosts will find it challenging to impose their game, as the visitors aim to control the match and capitalize on any mistakes. It's expected that Ceará will dominate once more, creating more scoring opportunities, while the hosts will likely rely on counterattacks to keep the scoreline close. Our prediction: Ceará will not lose. We wouldn't be surprised if they manage a narrow 1-0 victory.
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Betting Tips: Recife PE - Ceara
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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