Patronato vs Guemes Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Patronato Paraná go into this match in the relegation zone, with plenty to play for four rounds from the end of the season. Atlético Güemes are bottom of the table and have little left to play for as the season draws to a close. In their last five matches, the hosts have been picking up points regularly but rarely winning, while the visitors are on a long losing run and have barely been scoring. The contrast in form and objectives between the two sides makes this a potentially low-scoring match.
Atlético Güemes hold the edge in the head-to-head, remaining unbeaten.
Atlético Güemes won the last head-to-head meeting against Patronato Paraná 1-0. In that Primera B Nacional match on 24 May 2026, both sides made the same number of attacks - 107 each - but the difference in shots was decisive: Atlético Güemes had two, Patronato Paraná had none.
Patronato Paraná have yet to beat Atlético Güemes in official matches: of the seven meetings between the sides, Atlético Güemes have won four and the remaining three have ended in draws. The goal difference stands at 8-4 in Atlético Güemes's favour.
Head-to-head statistics Patronato - Guemes
What can we expect from Patronato Paraná going forward?
In their last Primera Nacional match on 4 October 2026, Patronato Paraná lost away to Chacarita Juniors 0-1. Patronato had five shots to their opponents' 14, managed just one shot on target, and had a player sent off.
Patronato Paraná are close to the relegation zone and fighting to keep their place in the league. Over their last ten matches they have won just twice and lost three times, but they have been consistent in picking up at least a point - five draws in that period. Their scoring has been moderate, averaging 1.1 goals scored per match and conceding at the same rate. Their season-long figures tell a similar story: 0.84 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game on average. A long run without any significant success makes even minimal results important for the club.
Match Results: Patronato Parana
Atlético Güemes: Attack falters, defense struggles
Atlético Güemes' last Primera Nacional match was a home defeat against Atlético Colegiales 4 October 2026, losing 1-0. Despite 134 attacking actions, they managed only three shots and failed to register a single one on target.
Atlético Güemes are going through a difficult spell: they have lost all five of their most recent matches and have not won any of their last ten games this season. During that run they managed just four draws and suffered six defeats, while their attack has effectively dried up - they are averaging just 0.3 goals per match over those ten games, against a season average of 0.72. Defensive problems persist too, with opponents scoring close to one and a half goals per game (1.5 conceded per match), which compounds their situation at the bottom of the table.
Match Results: Club Atletico Guemes
Match Result Prediction
Atlético Güemes have lost five matches in a row, and their average goals conceded stands at 1.69 for the season. Patronato Paraná have a notably better record at home: five wins against four defeats this season. It is worth noting, however, that in head-to-head meetings Patronato Paraná have gone seven matches in a row without a win, which tempers confidence in the outcome somewhat. Despite this conflict, the overall balance favours the home side. The odds on a Patronato Paraná win are 1.54*.
Total Goals Prediction
Atlético Güemes have failed to score in four consecutive matches, and their average goals per game over their last 10 matches is just 0.3. Across the season as a whole, the team are averaging only 0.72 goals per game, and 0.69 away from home. These figures point to an extremely low scoring output from the visitors, which makes the Atlético Güemes Team Total - Under 0.5 Goals at 1.65* look justified.
Risky Bet
Atlético Güemes have lost by a two-goal margin (0-2) in three consecutive matches, and their attacking output is extremely low. Patronato Paraná, meanwhile, average 1.25 goals per game at home this season and 1.6 over their last 10 home matches. Although Patronato Paraná have not won in head-to-head meetings, the visitors' form and current numbers make a more aggressive handicap worth considering. Patronato Paraná - Handicap (-1.5) is priced at 2.56*.
Reliable Bet
Atlético Güemes have conceded in 15 of their last 16 away matches, which points to consistent defensive problems on the road. Patronato Paraná have averaged 1.6 goals per game in their last 10 home matches, which gives reasonable grounds to expect at least one goal from the hosts. The bet on Patronato Paraná Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18* therefore looks very reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16.92%), 2-0 (12.63%) and 1-1 (10.87%). A narrow Patronato Paraná win is the most probable outcome, though a draw cannot be ruled out. The gap between the first and third options is not particularly large, which reflects the generally low-scoring nature of the match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Patronato Paraná remain highly motivated by their proximity to the relegation zone, so the team will be extremely cautious defensively, looking to minimise risk for the sake of a result even at the cost of low attacking output. Atlético Güemes have nothing to play for in the table and are in the middle of a prolonged goalless run - they have failed to score in four consecutive matches according to this season's trend, and their attacking form confirms they pose little threat to the opposition goal. Editor's prediction: Patronato Paraná to win.
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Betting Tips: Patronato Parana - Club Atletico Guemes
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