Jamaica vs Guatemala Prediction 26 September 2026
🔊 In the summer of 2025, Jamaica thrashed Guatemala 3-0 at home in World Cup qualifying. Six days later, Guatemala got their revenge in the Gold Cup, winning by a single goal. Neither side made it to the tournament itself, and now it is the CONCACAF Nations League at stake. Two of the six teams in Group B will advance to the quarter-finals.
Head-to-Head
At official level, Jamaica and Guatemala have met four times. The hosts have won three of those meetings, with the visitors winning once. Jamaica also have the edge in goals scored - 8 against 4.
Head-to-head statistics Jamaica - Guatemala
Jamaica Team Overview
In March, Jamaica came within one step of reaching only their second World Cup. They had already missed out on automatic qualification in the autumn, which led to Steve McClaren's departure. Caretaker manager Rudolph Speid took charge for the intercontinental play-offs. Jamaica got past New Caledonia but lost in the final to DR Congo. Axel Tuanzebe scored the only goal in extra time. Speid remains in charge, and Guatemala will be his side's first competitive opponents since March. They will have to start without two wingers: Leon Bailey and Andre Blake have both been ruled out of the squad through injury. The 16-year-old forward Jamari Nolan has been called up in place of Bailey. Jamaica tend to be low-scoring regardless: in 11 of their last 12 home matches, the combined goal tally has been fewer than four.
Match Results: Jamaica
Guatemala Team Overview
Guatemala missed out on the World Cup back in November. In the final qualifying round they finished third in their group, behind Panama and Suriname. Luis Fernando Tena kept his job, but 2026 has been a poor year for his side so far. They have lost all four of their friendlies, with Jehu Fajardo their only goalscorer. In March they were beaten 7-0 by Algeria. Guatemala have conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches, but Tena has called up almost the same squad for the Nations League as he used in qualifying. Injured forward Arquímedes Ordóñez has not been included, nor have defenders José Pinto and José Ardón.
Match Results: Guatemala
Prediction for the 1st half
The first half is Guatemala's weak spot. Away from home in the Nations League, they have conceded in seven consecutive matches before half-time. Jamaica have something to work with there: at home they average two goals per match. We expect the hosts to get on the scoresheet before the break. The bet is Jamaica Team Total 1st Half - Over 0.5.
Total Goals Prediction
Goalless draws and minimal scorelines are rare for Guatemala: more than one goal combined was recorded in 17 of their last 18 Nations League matches. The average figures for both sides point in the same direction. Jamaica score 1.5 goals per match, Guatemala 1.3. And both concede more than one on average. We expect at least two goals in this one. The bet is Total Goals - Over 1.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1:0 (13.21%), 1:1 (12.37%) and 2:0 (9.88%). A narrow Jamaica win by 1:0 has the highest probability.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Jamaica have gone five consecutive home matches without a win in the Nations League. The hosts are also without the injured Leon Bailey and Andre Brooks. Their attack has struggled even with those players available: Jamaica have scored more than one goal in front of their own fans in just one of their last seven matches in the tournament. Guatemala, meanwhile, have avoided defeat in six of their last seven official away matches. They have also scored in seven consecutive away games. If the hosts are again limited to one goal, a single reply from the visitors would be enough for a draw. We do not expect Jamaica to end their run without a home win right now. The bet is Guatemala not to lose. Predicted score - 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Jamaica - Guatemala
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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